Pashinyan says government led Armenia out of ‘predetermined disastrous path’

Armenia18:34, 23 March 2026
Read the article in: ArmenianRussian:

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said his government had led the country out of a “predetermined disastrous path” since 2018.

Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan said in a Facebook live broadcast that his government had demonstrated the leadership entrusted to them by the people and led the country out of a “predetermined disastrous path” between 2018 and 2024.

“I have become convinced that leadership is, first of all, about changing predetermined events and getting out of a predetermined path. It is about possessing the strength, will and determination,” Pashinyan said.

He said that in 2018–2024 the government had fulfilled the leadership responsibilities delegated by the people and had led the country away from that path, including by making a “decisive decision” not to continue the Karabakh movement, which he said helped bring Armenia to a “peaceful harbor”.

According to Pashinyan, now is the most appropriate moment for a public response.

“The people must stand up for peace, and the leadership of the people must follow the previous leadership,” he said, adding that citizens should re-delegate leadership to the current governing majority, which he said had proven its ability to act decisively at a critical moment.

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Published by Armenpress, original at 

Fear of losing power dictates political rhetoric

Nikol Pashinyan, without naming names and without providing concrete facts, accuses some oppositionists of not understanding politics and “inciting war” in the fall with their statements (if they win the elections).


Maybe he wants to honestly admit that he didn’t understand anything from that “damned politics” either. That is why he made statements and steps that inadvertently “brought” Artsakh and Armenia into various wars and catastrophic losses.


Let’s deal a little with the “revisionism” of electoral processes.


2018 on December 9, the majority of RA citizens voted for CP. Shortly after, the disastrous 44-day war broke out and we lost thousands of young lives and about 7,800 square kilometers of territory.


2021 on June 20, apparently the majority of RA citizens went again and allegedly voted for the CP. After some time, there were several short war operations where we lost hundreds of lives, all of Artsakh and Armenia’s 220 sq/km area.


After these facts, Nikol Pashinyan again says roughly the following, that if you don’t elect CP, there will be a war by September.


And maybe the truth is the opposite? if for the third time the citizen of Armenia chooses KP, there is a high probability that after some time, we as a nation will face the next threat.


And maybe in the event of a collective victory of the opposition and nationwide consolidation, there is a possibility that real peace will be established and Armenia will cease to be a tool for the grandiose politics of others.


It can be seen from the statements of the CP that what is scary for them is not the disruption of the existing unstable peace or a possible war, but their loss of power.


P.S. Isn’t it better for the KP to add new articles to the administrative and electoral codes, according to which, if an RA citizen votes in favor of a non-KP, he is considered a “person acting against peace” and is fined a minimum salary, for example a thousand times. In case of repeating the same act for the second time (in the next parliamentary elections), the citizen is deprived of the right to vote. The third time, when there is nothing left of sovereign Armenia led by CP, it is justified.


RPA GM member Artak Zakaryan




Senator Sasha Renée Pérez Endorses Dr. Edit Khachatryan for Glendale Communit


Indian workers in Armenia claim abuse from job agencies (in India)

DW – Deutsche Welle, Germany
Feb 27 2024
HUMAN RIGHTSINDIA
Luise Glum in Yerevan

Recruitment agencies in India promise well paying jobs in Armenia. But when workers arrive, they say conditions are far worse than what they expected.

When Ishan Kumar came to Armenia from southern India early last year, he thought he was coming for a better life.

Kumar, who spoke with DW using a pseudonym, said a friend living abroad introduced him to the idea of moving․

"He said I'd earn a lot of money there, about $1,000 dollars per month. He said it's a European country."

Kumar's friend organized the trip through an agent in Armenia, and paid more than 650,000 Armenian drams (€1,500/$1,600) for an e-visa, the flight and the provision of a job at a delivery company.

There was no agreement other than a WhatsApp chat, but Kumar decided to go.

His new home for the next six months was the Cherry Hotel, located some thirty minutes from downtown Yerevan, the Armenian capital. The hotel provides lodging for many Indian workers in Yerevan, who sleep in cramped rooms, Kumar said.

Kumar soon started working for the delivery service. But the job conditions were not what he had expected.

"They said for one order we would receive 1,900 drams at peak times and 1,400 drams at other times of the day. But when I came here, I realized that it is all a scam. That they were only giving us 1,300 and 900 drams."

But Kumar said he worked hard from morning until midnight. In the end, his first salary was close to what he had expected, the equivalent of around $940.

However, Kumar claims he could only save a small part of that money.

He had to pay for room and board in a space shared with 10 people. He also had to pay to rent the scooter used for the delivery service. Kumar said he had not been informed about these costs before he left for Armenia. "After I paid all that, I had only 50,000 drams to send home."

Indians are the second largest group of foreign citizens in Armenia after Russians. According to Armenia's economy ministry, 20,000 to 30,000 Indians currently live in the country.

Some 2,600 of them are students – Indians have been coming to Armenia to get higher education since Soviet times.

In 2017, the Armenian government decided to change the law to make it easier for Indian citizens to get an entry visa. Since then, their number has increased. Last year, 3,200 Indians were granted a work visa, compared to 530 the year before and 55 in 2021.

However, many workers told DW that like Kumar, they were promised a high salary and were convinced into paying large sums to agents to move to Armenia.

Some said they spent even more money than Kumar – up to $3,500. Others claimed they weren't provided with any work after arrival, or didn't receive the salary they had agreed to. At the same time, they had to pay high prices for bunk beds in crowded rooms.

Most workers originated from India's southern Kerala region. People from Kerala started migrating in large numbers in the 1970s, said S. Irudaya Rajan, head of the International Institute of Migration and Development in Kerala.

"The main factors then were poverty and unemployment," he told. Today, they are mostly "aspirational migrants" from the middle class who strive for a higher standard of living elsewhere.

Rajan said there are many job agencies in Kerala. "Migration is hope. The recruitment agencies are selling people dreams," he said, adding that the industry is rife with fraud and that migrants are abused and endure bad living conditions in many host countries.

"I know hundreds of cases where people were being cheated," he said. "Often, after migration, their life is much worse than before."

Kumar's experience soon went from bad to worse after he had a scooter accident in the icy streets of Yerevan. After the accident, he wanted to change jobs, but was unemployed for several months. He couldn't afford the rent at the Cherry Hotel, so he had to go into debt with his agents.

Later, several jobs were arranged for Kumar, but they were all short-term. His agents charged him a commission and withheld his wages to pay room and board.

He wanted to leave the Cherry Hotel, but being in a foreign country, he didn't know where to go. "That is why all of us are staying there like this," he said.

Some of his companions eventually found work on their own and Kumar wanted to join.

But then there was another problem. Kumar said the agents were holding his passport. He claimed he had to lie to get it back.

"I said I want to go to India, I want to get a ticket, give me the passport." Kumar said he doubts the agents would have returned the passport otherwise.

Several other Indian men who stayed at Cherry told DW their passports were taken.

One worker said he complained to the Indian embassy in Yerevan. DW contacted the embassy. While Consul Aditya Pandey was open for a background talk, the embassy didn't respond to DW's request for a statement on the allegations.

Kumar's agent, Raihan Sainelabudeen, was once an "aspiration migrant" from Kerala who came to Armenia to study medicine. Sainelabudeen's current business partner is Anna Petakchyan, and a company called "Find Your Progress LLC" is registered under Petakchyan's name at the Cherry Hotel address.

The company operates an additional office in Kollam, Kerala. The company's ads claim they provide "amazing salary and benefits" and a highly attractive "compensation package" that "ensures that employees are rewarded for their hard work and dedication."

However, the Indian workers who used the company said they were exploited and abused.

Yerevan-based labor and migration attorney Ara Ghazaryan told DW that the motivation behind recruitment of workers is crucial to determining malfeasance by recruitment agents.

 "If the purpose is not to give a normal and safe employment environment, but to exploit, then it's already a crime," he said.

Employing a migrant who doesn't have immigration status or a work permit is a crime. The same goes for violating labor rights, he added.

Migrant workers, Ghazaryan notes, shouldn't be paid in cash, they should have a valid employment contract and place of work, normal working hours, annual leave, sick leave, weekends off. "And of course, no ill treatment or threats," he said.

Withholding passports is one of the initial indicators of trafficking and exploitation, Ghazaryan added.

"By holding the passport, they control the movement and the life of the migrant," he said. Generally, only government agencies are allowed to hold on to a person's passport. "The passport is property. No one can keep it."

The Armenian Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs told DW they delt with 14 cases of Indian labor migrants as possible trafficking victims in 2023.

To date, none of them have been acknowledged as trafficking, but violations of labor relations and fraud were found. In some cases, passports were taken by employers, but not by force, the ministry said. They were given to the employer for processing work permit papers.

However, Ghazaryan said that providing the original passport isn't needed during the permit process. A simple copy is sufficient.

"If they claim otherwise, it's a lie. It means a crime is ongoing," he said.

Petakchyan and Sainelabudeen told DW that all workers pay them $1,500 in advance, which covers airfare, job placement and the first month of food and lodging.

Apparently, some of the conditions have changed since Kumar arrived. Petakchyan confirmed that at the time, food and rent were not free, adding that workers were informed about this before their arrival.

In addition, all workers sign contracts now, Petakchyan said. However, a document seen by a DW reporter in a binder full of contracts,did not include the salary or the agent's signature.

Petakchyan claimed the recruitment agency is working with some of the biggest companies in Armenia, including hotels, restaurants and gas stations. They don't want to register Indian citizens, she said, and that's why "Find Your Progress” hires the workers and provides services.

According to Petakchyan, that is the reason why salaries are not transferred directly to the workers. "We pay them exactly the salary they are receiving," she insisted.

Petakchyan said 40 workers live in stuffy cramped basement rooms of the hotel.

"I don't say it's perfect, but it's the minimal that Indian people need," she said.

During the conversation, three men said they didn't receive their wages and accused Sainelabudeen and Petakchyan of holding on to their passports.

Sainelabudeen disputed this. "You have some proof?"

Petakchyan confirmed that they take worker's passports to file residency applications. "After that we return the passport," she said.

It is hard to say who is telling the truth. In any case, it is clear some of the men were without their passports. 

When DW talked to Kumar one month after first meeting, he was unemployed. The manager of a factory said Kumar had to leave because health problems impacted his performance. Kumar said he had to ask his family in India for money. He hopes he can soon start working as a taxi driver.

Kumar would like to return to India, but that's not an option for him now. He needs money for the plane ticket. And most importantly, he had to borrow a large sum to come to Armenia in the first place and must pay it back.

"After all that, I will go to India," said Kumar. But for now, he is stuck.

Baghdad: Al-Sudani calls for establishment of joint forum for businessmen between Iraq and Armenia

Shafaq News, Iraq – Feb 27 2024


Shafaq News / Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani received the President of the Republic of Armenia Vahagn Khachaturyan and his accompanying delegation, who arrived in Baghdad today on an official visit.


According to a statement issued by the Prime Minister’s media office, Al-Sudani highlighted the significance of this visit, following a series of important meetings between officials of the two countries, expressing appreciation for the Armenian government's efforts in developing bilateral relations.


He pointed out the “investment opportunities and significant projects Armenian companies could contribute to, especially the Development Road and Al Faw Grand Port and related projects.”


Furthermore, Al-Sudani called for “the establishment of a joint business forum between the two countries, emphasizing the need to open an airline route, sign a memorandum to avoid double taxation, and facilitate the issuance of entry visas to encourage mutual tourism.” He affirmed “Iraq's aspiration to cooperate with Armenia in the fields of energy, information technology, and e-governance.”


PM Al-Sudani expressed Iraq's pride in its citizens of Armenian origin, who represent a significant addition to the diversity of Iraqi society through their contributions in various scientific, medical, social, and cultural fields.


He also appreciated “Armenia's stance in voting for a ceasefire in Gaza.”


On his part, President Khachaturyan expressed his gratitude for the warm welcome, indicating that “his visit aims to express a sincere desire to develop relations between the two countries.”


He confirmed that he arrived in Baghdad leading an official delegation, accompanied by a business delegation, “to explore available opportunities and expand the economic partnership between the two nations.”


The Armenian President highlighted several commonalities between the two countries, acknowledging that “Iraq was among the countries Armenians sought refuge in during the days of the genocide.”


He also expressed “his country's readiness to cooperate with Iraq in the fields of information technology, banking, and clean and renewable energy.”


https://shafaq.com/en/Iraq-News/Al-Sudani-calls-for-establishment-of-joint-forum-for-businessmen-between-Iraq-and-Armenia





Armenian Minister Narek Mkrtchyan says expanding ties with India remains a top priority

Feb 27 2024
India Blooms News Service | @indiablooms 27 Feb 2024, 10:25 am

Armenia’s labour minister Narek Mkrtchyan, who recently visited New Delhi to participate in the Raisina Dialogue, has said deepening and expanding ties with India remains a top priority for his nation's foreign policy agenda.

He said the longstanding friendship and mutual support between India and Armenia have strengthened continuously over the past three decades.

Mkrtchyan was speaking last week in New Delhi at Raisina Dialogue, India’s flagship conference on geopolitics and geo-economics hosted by the Observer Research Foundation, an independent think tank, in collaboration with the Ministry of External Affairs of India.

He said both nations have experienced a significant boost in political dialogue.

"The longstanding friendship and mutual support between our countries have strengthened continuously over the past three decades, with the last three years experiencing a significant boost, especially in political dialogue. Deepening and expanding ties with India remains a top priority in Armenia's foreign policy agenda," the minister said in his Raisina Dialogue speech.

"The inter-governmental commission between Armenia and India has gained new momentum in areas like economy, technology, social protection, education, and culture, with enhanced engagement between sectoral departments. Mutual respect for each other's cultures and the preservation of Armenian heritage in India foster collaboration and projects to promote cultural exchange and appreciation," he said.

Tourism and AI

He said both India and Armenia should focus on the tourism sector which has the potential to boost economic growth.

"Direct flights between our countries would be a significant facilitator in this regard," Narek Mkrtchyan said.

He said both nations could collaborate in Artificial Intelligence.

"Armenia and India have the potential to collaborate on AI for social good, addressing sectors like healthcare, agriculture, environmental conservation, and urban planning," the Minister said.

"They could also potentially establish a global AI innovation platform to facilitate the sharing of solutions and research, thereby fostering social benefits through international collaboration," he said.

He said Armenia's historical position as a hub connecting North to South and West to East has made it a key player in trade and cultural exchanges.

The Minister said: "Recognizing this legacy, the Armenian government is committed to forming partnerships in major regional and global projects like the North-South International Transport Corridor, the Persian Gulf-Black Sea Transport and Transit Corridor, and the Chabahar Port Development, which is a collaborative effort between India and Iran that includes Armenia as well. With its strategic road network, Armenia is ideally positioned to make significant contributions to these initiatives. To this end, the government is focused on revitalizing and modernizing its infrastructure through the North-South Road Corridor Investment Program, with the goal of boosting Armenia's capacity and securing its active participation in these critical international initiatives."

Raisina Dialogue

The 9th edition of the Raisina Dialogue was held between February 21- 23.

The Raisina Dialogue is India’s flagship conference on geopolitics and geo-economics, committed to addressing the most challenging issues facing the international community.

The 9th Raisina Dialogue witnessed the participation of representatives from over 100 countries.

https://www.indiablooms.com/news-details/N/95228/armenian-minister-narek-mkrtchyan-says-expanding-ties-with-india-remains-a-top-priority.html

Paths to Peace: Numan Kurtulmuş’s Visit to Baku Amidst Azerbaijan-Armenia Treaty Talks

Feb 21 2024
Rizwan Shah
As the sun rises over the horizon, casting a golden hue across the ancient and modern streets of Baku, Azerbaijan, a significant event unfolds that could potentially shape the future of peace in the South Caucasus region. It's not just any diplomatic visit; this one carries the weight of hope and the potential for healing long-standing wounds between neighboring nations. Numan Kurtulmuş, Chairman of the Grand National Assembly of Türkiye, steps onto Azerbaijani soil, not just as a political figure, but as a symbol of solidarity and support in a region riddled with historical complexities.

At the heart of Kurtulmuş's visit is his participation in the 14th Plenary Session of the Asian Parliamentary Assembly. This gathering is not merely a routine diplomatic engagement; it is a testament to the collective desire of Asian nations to foster dialogue, understanding, and cooperation. Kurtulmuş's presence in Baku underscores Türkiye's role as a pivotal player in regional politics, especially at a time when Azerbaijan is navigating the delicate process of peace treaty proposals with Armenia. The significance of this assembly, therefore, cannot be overstated, as it represents a convergence of efforts aimed at securing a stable and prosperous future for the region.

The backdrop of Kurtulmuş's visit is painted with the hopeful yet challenging process of peace negotiations between Azerbaijan and Armenia. Recent developments have seen Azerbaijan submit a new set of proposals concerning a peace treaty to Armenia, marking another step in the arduous journey towards reconciliation. This initiative, mirrored by Armenia's earlier submission of its proposals to Azerbaijan, signifies a mutual acknowledgment of the necessity for dialogue and compromise. The forthcoming meeting between the foreign ministers of the two nations is eagerly anticipated, as it promises to be a critical juncture in the quest for a lasting peace.

The diplomatic arena surrounding the Azerbaijan-Armenia peace process is further enriched by expressions of international support. Notably, the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia's congratulatory message to President Ilham Aliyev following his election victory underscores the global interest in Azerbaijan's stability and prosperity. Such gestures of goodwill are pivotal, as they contribute to an environment conducive to peace negotiations. Moreover, the scheduled court hearing for the individual responsible for a terrorist act against Azerbaijan's Embassy in Iran serves as a reminder of the challenges that lie on the path to peace. It highlights the importance of justice and accountability as foundational elements of lasting reconciliation.

As the sun sets on Baku, the visit of Numan Kurtulmuş concludes, but the journey towards peace continues. The complexities of the Azerbaijan-Armenia relationship, fraught with historical grievances and contemporary challenges, require patience, understanding, and unwavering commitment. The events unfolding in Baku and beyond are more than diplomatic formalities; they are the building blocks of a future where peace is not just an aspiration but a reality. The road ahead is long and uncertain, but the resolve of those dedicated to forging a path to peace remains steadfast. In the heart of the South Caucasus, hope endures, illuminated by the prospect of dialogue, reconciliation, and a shared future.

https://bnnbreaking.com/politics/paths-to-peace-numan-kurtulmu%C5%9Fs-visit-to-baku-amidst-azerbaijan-armenia-treaty-talks

RFE/RL Armenian Service – 02/19/2024

Monday, 
Armenian PM Admits ‘Tensions’ With Iran
Iran - Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi meets Armenia's Deputy Prime Minister 
Mher Grigorian, Tehran, February 15, 2024. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian appears to have acknowledged that Armenia’s 
deepening ties with the European Union and the United States are causing unease 
in neighboring Iran. “Our relations with Iran are deep and Armenia remains committed to those 
relations,” Pashinian said during a weekend visit to Germany. “But this is one 
of those cases where not everything is clear.”
“Our good relations with Iran are causing tensions in some places, while our 
good relations with other countries are causing tensions in Iran,” he added 
without elaborating. In recent months, Iranian leaders have repeatedly told their Armenian 
counterparts that Tehran strongly opposes the geopolitical presence of 
“extra-regional countries” in the South Caucasus. Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi 
conveyed the same message to Armenia’s Deputy Prime Minister Mher Grigorian as 
recently as on February 15. Any intervention of “outsiders” in regional disputes 
could only exacerbate, rather than resolve, them, Raisi said in a clear 
reference to the U.S. and the EU. This was construed by some Armenian commentators as a fresh warning to Yerevan 
which has been seeking closer security ties with the Western powers amid its 
unprecedented tensions with Russia. The latter has openly denounced Western 
efforts to broker an Armenian-Azerbaijani peace deal, saying that their main aim 
is to drive Moscow out of the region. Germany - U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Armenia's Prime Minister 
Nikol Pashinian meet in Municհ, February 17, 2024. Both Russia and Iran have criticized Armenia for hosting a U.S.-Armenian 
military exercise last September. The Islamic Republic is also believed to share 
Russian concerns about the EU’s monitoring mission along Armenia’s border with 
Azerbaijan launched a year ago. Pashinian and his political team say they are “diversifying” Armenia’s 
traditional foreign and security policy in response to what they see Russia’s 
failure to meet its security commitments to its South Caucasus ally. Armenian opposition groups say Tehran’s stance is another reason why Yerevan 
should exercise caution in its dealings with the West. They argue that unlike 
the West, Iran could intervene militarily to prevent Azerbaijan from opening an 
extraterritorial corridor to its Nakhichevan exclave through Syunik, the only 
Armenian region bordering the Islamic Republic. Iran regularly warns against attempts to strip it of the common border and 
transport links with Armenia. Russia, Armenia Also Disagree On Ukraine
Ukraine - In this photo released by Russian Defense Ministry , 
Russian soldiers eliminate the mine danger in the city of Avdiivka captured by 
Russian forces. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian openly criticized Russia at the weekend for 
occupying and annexing Ukraine’s internationally recognized territory, 
underscoring the Armenian government’s deepening rift with Moscow. Pashinian voiced the criticism at the end of a visit to Munich during which he 
attended an annual conference on international security and met with German 
Chancellor Olaf Scholz, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and British 
intelligence chief Richard Moore. He cited a December 1991 declaration in which 
Russia, Ukraine, Armenia and other newly independent Soviet republics recognized 
each other’s Soviet-era borders. “On the question of Ukraine, our position is that the Almaty declaration is the 
basis for recognition of our independence and territorial integrity,” Pashinian 
told members of the Armenian community in the southern German city. “Our logic 
is also valid in the case of Ukraine because that document applies to all of us. And if we demolish that, then we will also demolish everything.”
“I said a long time ago that Armenia is not Russia's ally on the issue of 
Ukraine, and this is our sincere position,” he said. Russia reacted cautiously to Pashinian’s remarks. “Indeed, we have diametrically opposed points of view regarding what is 
happening in Ukraine and the conflict around Ukraine,” said Kremlin spokesman 
Dmitry Peskov. “This is not a secret, this is the well-known position of our 
Armenian friends. We do not agree with them on this and will persistently 
continue to explain that we are right.”
Beglium - Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan and his Ukrainian 
counterpart Dmytro Kuleba meet in Brussels, December 11, 2023. Armenian leaders were until now careful not to criticize Russia’s 2022 invasion 
of Ukraine and subsequent annexation of more Ukrainian territory. Armenia has 
repeatedly abstained from UN General Assembly resolutions denouncing Moscow’s 
actions. Pashinian’s administration appears to have begun changing its stance on the 
conflict in Ukraine last year amid its mounting tensions with Moscow. Pashinian 
made a point of talking to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy during a 
European Union summit in Spain last October. A couple of weeks later, the secretary of Armenia’s Security Council, Armen 
Grigorian, attended multilateral peace talks in Malta initiated by Ukraine and 
sponsored by Western powers. The Russian Foreign Ministry condemned the 
“demonstrative anti-Russian gesture of official Yerevan.” That did not stop 
Grigorian from participating in the next round of the talks held in Switzerland 
last month. Pashinian embarked on the apparent rapprochement with Ukraine despite the 
latter’s strong support for Azerbaijan in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. In 
particular, Kyiv was quick to condemn the September 9 election by Karabakh 
lawmakers of the region’s new president, saying that it is “contrary to the 
rules and principles of international law.” The election came ten days before 
the Azerbaijani military offensive that forced Karabakh’s practically entire 
population to flee to Armenia. Baku Raps Pashinian After Munich Summit
Germany - German Chancellor Olaf Scholz hosts talks between the leaders of 
Armenia and Azerbaijan, Munich, February 17, 2024. Azerbaijan criticized Prime Minister Nikol Pashinian and again demanded major 
legislative changes in Armenia on Monday two days after his talks with 
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev hosted by German Chancellor Olaf Scholz in 
Munich. The Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders sounded satisfied with the results of the 
talks, with Aliyev calling them “constructive and useful.” Meeting with members 
of the Armenian community in Munich on Sunday, Pashinian confirmed that the 
foreign ministers of the two South Caucasus states will meet soon for further 
discussions on a bilateral peace treaty. He also said that both sides remain committed to their understandings on the 
basic parameters of that treaty reached during their earlier contacts organized 
by the European Union. Earlier this year, Yerevan accused Baku of walking away 
from those understandings and laying claim to Armenian territory. The Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry said on Monday that Armenia itself has 
territorial claims to Azerbaijan. The ministry spokesman, Aykhan Hajizade, 
pointed to Pashinian’s Sunday remark that “Karabakh’s right to 
self-determination is not supported by the international community.” He said 
Pashinian should have said instead that the Armenian “claims to Azerbaijan's 
territory are groundless.”
“This once again indirectly proves that the demands of the Armenian side are 
continuing,” added Hajizade. “In this regard, the claims to our territorial 
integrity and sovereignty reflected in the Armenian constitution and legislative 
acts should be removed.”
Aliyev said on February 1 that Armenia should remove from its constitution a 
reference to its 1990 declaration of independence which in turn mentions a 1989 
unification act adopted by the legislative bodies of Soviet Armenia and the then 
Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast. He reiterated on February 14 that he will 
not sign the peace treaty “if Armenia does not bring its legislation to a normal 
state.”
Pashinian rejected those demands the following day. The Armenian premier himself 
declared last month, before Aliyev’s statements on the issue, that Armenia needs 
a new constitution reflecting the “new geopolitical environment” in the region. He went on to criticize the 1990 declaration. His political foes and other critics say that he wants to enact a new 
constitution under Azerbaijani pressure. Pashinian denies this. Another Armenian Bank Set To Change Hands
Armenia - A view of an office building in Yerevan housing the headquarters of 
Ameriabank. A leading Georgian bank announced on Monday a $303.6 million deal to buy 
Armenia’s Ameriabank partly owned by Ruben Vardanyan, an Armenian billionaire 
jailed in Azerbaijan along with several other former leaders of Nagorno-Karabakh. The deal requires the approval of the Bank of Georgia’s multiple shareholders 
and the Central Bank of Armenia. In a statement, the bank’s British-registered 
parent company, Bank of Georgia Group (BOGG), said it would “significantly 
enhance the Group's presence and growth opportunities within a fast-growing and 
attractive market.”
"This transaction is a significant milestone for the Group and a new chapter in 
our strategic development,” the BOGG chairman, Mel Carvill, was quoted as saying. “Ameriabank has a well-regarded and experienced management team, and I am 
delighted that they will stay on after the transaction is closed,” added Carvill. Ameriabank is one of Armenia’s largest banks with total assets worth $3.4 
billion, compared with $11.7 billion held by the Bank of Georgia. Vardanyan 
owns, through a trust fund, almost 49 percent of Ameriabank, making him its 
biggest shareholder. The tycoon, who had made his fortune in Russia, briefly served as Karabakh’s 
premier in late 2022 and early 2023. He and seven other former political and 
military leaders of Karabakh were arrested by Azerbaijani security services last 
September during the mass exodus of the region’s ethnic Armenian population 
which followed an Azerbaijani military offensive. They remain imprisoned there 
on serious charges. Armenia has demanded their immediate release. Nagorno-Karabakh - Ruben Vardanyan leads a cabinet meeting in Stepanakert, 
January 3, 2023. “Ruben Vardanyan has nothing to do with the possible sale of the bank,” Mesrop 
Arakelian, an Armenian opposition figure linked to him, wrote on Facebook. Arakelian said takeover talks between BOGG and Ameriabank began in 2022. But he 
did not clarify whether Vardanyan approved the resulting acquisition of his bank. Ameriabank is the second Armenian bank which will likely change hands in the 
coming weeks or months. Two weeks ago, HSBC, Europe’s biggest bank, announced 
the sale of its Armenian subsidiary to Ardshinbank, the largest in Armenia. HSBC said the deal, also subject to Armenian regulatory approvals, stems from 
its “strategy to redeploy capital from less strategic or low-connectivity 
businesses into higher-growth opportunities globally.” Reuters reported last May 
that the British bank is considering a possible exit from as many as a dozen 
countries after earlier announcements about selling off parts or all of its 
activities in France, Canada, Russia and Greece. Established in 1996, HSBC Armenia is the only local commercial bank controlled 
by a major Western banking group. The 18 banks operating in Armenia nearly tripled their combined profits, to a 
record 253 billion drams ($626 million), in 2022 amid a dramatic increase in 
cash flows from Russia resulting from the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The 
figure reportedly fell by 9 percent in 2023. Reposted on ANN/Armenian News with permission from RFE/RL
Copyright (c) 2024 Radio Free Europe / Radio Liberty, Inc. 1201 Connecticut Ave., N.W. Washington DC 20036.

Turkish Press: Azerbaijan slams allegations by EU foreign policy chief during news conference in Brussels

Yeni Safak 
Turkey – Feb 14 2024

Azerbaijan slams allegations by EU foreign policy chief during news conference in Brussels

Josep Borrell ‘turns a blind eye' to Armenia's military provocation, dismisses ‘unprovoked sniper attack' that injured an Azerbaijani serviceman, says Foreign Ministry

Azerbaijan on Wednesday slammed allegations made by EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell during a joint news conference with Armenian Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan a day earlier.

In a statement by the Azerbaijani Foreign Ministry, Baku accused Borrell of “whitewashing” and “turning a blind eye” to Armenia's military provocation, saying the EU side is dismissive of the Azerbaijani serviceman injured due to an “unprovoked sniper attack.”

The cross-border fire came following five months of stability in the Azerbaijani-Armenian border, the statement stressed, and said Baku's response to the provocation was “totally adequate and of a local character.”

“These response measures have also prevented Armenia from further expanding its military escalation,” it added.

The statement also defined Borrell's proposal to distance forces as “regretful,” and said “mercenaries” deployed by Armenia in border regions under the EU's mission in the country “jeopardize the lives of Azerbaijani servicemen and civilians.”

“Furthermore, it is unacceptable to refer to residents of Armenian origin who voluntarily departed Azerbaijan's Karabakh economic region as displaced people and to utilize non-existent names such as ‘Nagorno-Karabakh' referring to this region,” it noted.

Azerbaijan regrets Borrell's “unilateral pro-Armenian stance” which it said creates an impasse between Azerbaijan and EU institutions, while further isolating himself from the Azerbaijan-Armenia normalization process, the statement also said.

During a news conference with Mirzoyan, Borrell said Azerbaijan's measures to the cross-border fire “seems to be disproportionate,” expressing that the recent incident illustrates the need for the “distancing of forces” advocated by the EU for a long time.

Azerbaijan's State Border Service said on Monday that one of its soldiers was injured due to shots fired by Armenian forces toward the country's southwestern Zangilan district.

Baku on Tuesday said it carried out a "revenge operation" in response, destroying the combat post from where its servicemen were fired upon.

According to Armenia's Defense Ministry, four of its servicemen were killed and one injured.

Why Iran doesn’t want a war

IPS
Feb 7 2024

The war in Gaza has now gone where many feared it would, expanding into conflict in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and the Red Sea. With America’s repeated strikes against the Houthis in Yemen this month, fears of a larger regional conflagration are steadily growing.

Present in each of those arenas is Iran — and the question of whether Tehran and its powerful military will enter a wider war.

For years, Iran has provided funding, arms or training to Hamas and Hezbollah, which are fighting Israel, and to the Houthis, who have been attacking ships in the Red Sea. Iran has also launched its own strikes in recent days in retaliation for a deadly bombing earlier this month, claiming to target Israeli spy headquarters in Iraq and the Islamic State in Syria. It has also exchanged strikes with Pakistan across their shared border.

While Iran is clearly asserting its military strength amid the widening regional turmoil, that doesn’t mean its leaders want to be drawn into a wider war. They have said as much publicly, and perhaps more importantly, they have meticulously avoided taking direct military action against either Israel or the United States. The regime appears to be content for now to lean into its long-time strategy of proxy warfare: the groups they back are fighting Iran’s foes and so far, neither Israel nor the United States have signalled any interest in retaliating directly.

At the heart of Iran’s aversion to a major conflict are the domestic issues that have been preoccupying the regime. The elderly supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is seeking to secure his legacy – by overcoming political headwinds to install a like-minded successor, pursuing a nuclear weapon and ensuring the survival of the regime as an Islamist paladin dominating the Middle East – and that means not getting dragged into a wider war.

Ayatollah Khamenei’s government has been trying to keep his political opposition in check since 2022, when the Islamic Republic faced perhaps its most serious uprising since the revolution. The death of Mahsa Amini in the custody of the morality police tapped into widespread frustration with the country’s leaders and triggered a national movement explicitly intent on toppling the theocracy. Using brutal methods, the mullahs’ security forces regained the streets and schools, well aware that even unorganised protests can become a threat to the regime. Iran is also facing an economic crisis because of corruption, chronic fiscal mismanagement and sanctions imposed because of its nuclear infractions.

Today, Iran’s Assembly of Experts, a body of 88 elderly clerics, is constitutionally empowered to select the next supreme leader. Much about that process is veiled in secrecy.

Even under less fraught circumstances, succession would be a delicate task in Iran. The only other time the Islamic Republic has had to choose a new supreme leader since its founding in 1979 was in 1989, when Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the father of the revolution, died. At the time, Ayatollah Khamenei worried that unless the regime got the process right, its Western and domestic enemies would use the vacuum at the top to overthrow the young theocracy.

Today, Iran’s Assembly of Experts, a body of 88 elderly clerics, is constitutionally empowered to select the next supreme leader. Much about that process is veiled in secrecy, but recent reports in Iranian media indicate that a three-man commission that includes President Ebrahim Raisi and the Assembly members Ayatollah Ahmad Khatami and Ayatollah Rahim Tavakol is vetting candidates under Ayatollah Khamenei’s supervision. While the process may be intended to look like an open search in the fractured political environment, it is almost certainly just staging for the installation of another revolutionary conservative into the job.

To Ayatollah Khamenei, a fellow religious hard-liner would be the only candidate fit to continue Iran’s quest for regional dominance, or to lock in another key part of his legacy: the pursuit of a nuclear weapon. As the world has been focused on wars in Ukraine and Gaza, Tehran has been inching closer to the bomb — enriching uranium at higher levels, constructing more advanced centrifuges and improving the range and payload of ballistic missiles. At a time when the bomb seems tantalisingly close, Ayatollah Khamenei is unlikely to jeopardise that progress by conduct that might invite a strike on those facilities.

As he oversees the succession search and Iran’s nuclear ambitions, Ayatollah Khamenei appears to be content, for now, to let the Arab militias across the Middle East do what Tehran has been paying and training them to do. Iran’s so-called ‘axis of resistance,’ which includes Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis, is at the core of the Islamic Republic’s grand strategy against Israel, the United States and Sunni Arab leaders, allowing the regime to strike out at its adversaries without using its own forces or endangering its territory. The various militias and terrorist groups that Tehran nurtures have allowed it to indirectly evict America from Iraq, sustain the Assad family in Syria and, on 7 October, help inflict a deeply traumatising attack on the Jewish state.

As its proxy fighters inflame Israel’s northern front through sporadic Hezbollah missile strikes, instigate attacks on US bases in Iraq and impede maritime shipping in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, Iran is likely hoping to pressure the international community to restrain Israel. And the imperative of not expanding the Israel-Gaza war, which has thus far guided American and Israeli policy, means that neither is likely to retaliate against the Islamic Republic — only against its proxies.

For Ayatollah Khamenei, the home front will always prevail over problems in the neighbourhood.

Of course, Hamas, which Israel has vowed to eliminate, is valuable to Iran. The regime has invested time and money into the group, and unlike most Islamic Republic proxies and allies, Hamas is Sunni, which helps the Shiite theocracy transcend sectarianism in the region. Liberating Palestinians, whom Iranian revolutionaries have been fond of since the Palestine Liberation Organization aided them against the Shah in 1979, is also at the core of the clerical regime’s anti-imperialist, Islamist mission.

But for Ayatollah Khamenei, the home front will always prevail over problems in the neighbourhood. In the end, in the event Israel succeeds in its goal of eliminating Hamas, the clerical state would most likely concede to the group’s demise, however grudgingly.

Of course, the more conflict Iran engages in – directly or indirectly – also increases the chance that a rogue or poorly judged strike could send the violence spinning out of control — in a direction Iran does not favour. History is riddled with miscalculations, and there is a real possibility that Iran could find itself pulled into the larger conflict that it has sought to avoid.

But Iran’s supreme leader is the longest-serving ruler in the Middle East precisely because of his uncanny ability to blend militancy with caution. He understands the weaknesses and strengths of his homeland when he seeks to advance the Islamic revolution beyond its borders.

In other words, Ayatollah Khamenei knows his limits — and he knows the legacy he needs to secure for the revolution to survive his passing.

This article originally appeared in The New York Times.