Return Of Deposits Or Poverty Overcoming Plan?

RETURN OF DEPOSITS OR POVERTY OVERCOMING PLAN?

A1+
| 17:46:05 | 12-10-2005 | Politics |

During the coalition session yesterday a decision was made about the
principle of returning the deposits of the citizens made in the Soviet
times. According to the Prime Minister, the Government has chosen a
way of compensation which will be considered respectable.

According to the offer, the compensation will take place the following
way: up to 1000 rubles will be compensated by $200, 1000-3000 rubles
– $340, 3000-5000 rubles – $420, 5000-10000 rubles – $460, and above
10 000 rubles – $480.

The compensation will be made according to the degree of the social
status.

The people who are included in the groups recognized “needy” will
receive the money first. The Government has allotted 1 billion ARMD
for this purpose. “The rest will be paid as soon as we can afford
it. The other Governments will decide what to do”, Andranik Margaryan
mentioned.

Nevertheless, it is early to speak about the return of the deposits
as the process will be long. Up to now there have been two Committees
investigating the matter, but now a third one we be created which
will revise the list of those who have deposits.

By the way, oppositional deputy Manouk Gasparyan does not believe
that the deposits will be return. He says, “I have not heard of it
as a program to return deposits. Everyone says – Poverty overcoming
strategic plan”.

Axa Insurance Company Will Pay $17 Million To Heirs Of ArmenianGenoc

AXA INSURANCE COMPANY WILL PAY $17 MILLION TO HEIRS OF ARMENIAN GENOCIDE VICTIMS

Pan Armenian
13.10.2005 21:00 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ Descendants of Armenians, who had fallen victim of
the Genocide in Ottoman Turkey in 1915, agreed to call back their
collective suit against Axa French insurance company. The latter
agreed to pay $17 million to Armenian philanthropic organizations. The
case was heard at a California court. The plaintiffs accused Axa in
unwillingness to pay insurance sums for their relatives’ killed in the
massacre. One of the lawyers of the Armenian community stated their
ultimate goal is to convince Turkey and US to officially recognize the
Genocide fact, when 1.5 million Armenians were killed, reported BBC.

Karabakh Separatists Deny Azeri Report Of Truce Violation

KARABAKH SEPARATISTS DENY AZERI REPORT OF TRUCE VIOLATION

ArmInfo News Agency, Armenia
Oct 12 2005

Yerevan, 12 October: The press service of the Defence Ministry of
the Nagornyy Karabakh Republic [NKR] has flatly denied Azerbaijani
media reports about an alleged cease-fire violation two days ago.

The report is wide of the mark and is disinformation, the NKR Defence
Ministry reports.

The Azerbaijani media has quoted the press service of the Azerbaijani
Defence Ministry as saying that no-one was wounded as a result of the
“cease-fire violation”.

OSCE Gives Mixed Grade For Azerbaijani Election Preparations

OSCE GIVES MIXED GRADE FOR AZERBAIJANI ELECTION PREPARATIONS
Jahan Aliyeva 10/11/05

EurasiaNet, NY
Oct 11 2005

The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe’s first report
on conditions in Azerbaijan in the run-up to the country’s November
6 parliamentary elections promises to further debate over whether
government bans on opposition rallies in downtown Baku violate voters’
right to freedom of assembly.

The nine-page report, published on September 30, focused on events
within Azerbaijan between September 5 and September 23, and did not
include assessments of three recent unsanctioned demonstrations in
the Azerbaijani capital which left scores wounded.

The report praised President Ilham Aliyev’s May 11 decree that called
for officials to provide conditions for a free and fair parliamentary
vote, and warned them against tolerating voting irregularities. The
decree ordered election officials to produce accurate and updated
voter lists and make them available for all candidates, and to ensure
all candidates have equal access to state media.

The report concluded that the decree has improved the overall campaign
atmosphere, but noted that considerable problems still remain.

Although opposition rallies have been permitted throughout
Azerbaijan, the report noted that they occur “under a heavy police
presence.” The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe
(OSCE) observation mission reported that local authorities “assume
considerable discretion to restrict and prohibit rallies,” although
Azerbaijan’s Law on Freedom of Assembly states that rally bans or
restrictions “must be highly needed” or “a measure of last resort.”

To date, no court has overturned a decision to ban an opposition rally,
the report added.

The report went on to state that Azerbaijani authorities have ignored
OSCE recommendations for improving the legislative framework for the
November 6 elections, The Election Code has been amended six times
mostly due to “technical reasons,” the report argues, and does not
address recommendations from the OSCE and the Council of Europe’s
Venice Commission for an equal representation of pro-government and
opposition representatives on the Central Election Commission.

According to the report, the method for forming election commissions
“ensures the pro-government parties a dominant position at all
levels.” The 15-member commission is made up of six representatives
of the ruling Yeni Azerbaijan Party, six from the opposition parties
(three from parties with parliamentary representation, three from
parties not represented in parliament), and three non-partisan members
of parliament. The non-partisan members, however, frequently vote
with the YAP representatives, leaving the opposition in a minority.

The report also took issue with the government’s rejection of
suggestions that voter’s fingers be inked to avoid multiple, or
“carousel,” voting, a problem in both the 2003 presidential elections
and last parliamentary elections in 2000. “The inking of voters’ finger
has not been considered as a mechanism for increasing public confidence
in the election process by diminishing the risk of multiple voting.”

The Azerbaijani government has dismissed the report’s conclusions as
misguided. Traveling in the Kurdamir region in the southwest of the
country on October 6, President Aliyev stated that the Election Code
and his May 11 decree provide sufficiently for free and fair elections.

Sayyad Aran, a member of the parliamentary Legal Policy and State
Development Commission for the ruling Yeni Azerbaijan party, echoed
that position, saying that he does not agree with the complaints on
restrictions of freedom of assembly.

“Both in the regions and in Baku, the opposition is always given
permission to conduct rallies. Simply, they do not agree with the
given place and insist on other places, which then become unsanctioned
rallies,” Aran said.

For its part, the Central Election Commission has rejected OSCE
criticism of the election commissions’ make-up, Natiq Mammadov,
a CEC representative, stated that ruling party members do not hold
the majority representation on election commissions. “Election
commissions were formed equally from government, opposition and
non-partisans,” Mammadov said. As for the inking of voter’s fingers,
Mammadov stressed that the Election Code contains sufficient provisions
to avoid multiple voting.

Criticism of the report was not limited to the government, however.

Isa Gambar, leader of the Musavat Party, one of the three parties that
makes up the largest opposition election alliance, Azadlig (Freedom),
said that although the report took note of overall problems, ranging
from authorities’ control over the election commissions to the issue
of voter identification cards, the report did not include information
on interference in the election campaign by police and violations of
the right to assembly.

“We just hope that the next reports would examine and include the
violence during opposition rallies and especially the violence during
the September 25 protest and October 1 rally,” Gambar said. “All those
facts indicate that the Azerbaijani government is not preparing to
conduct a transparent poll, but [,instead,] flawed elections,”

Democratic Party of Azerbaijan Deputy Chairman Sardar Calaloglu
shared the same point of view, saying that the report could have
been much tougher. According to Calaloglu, the report’s mention of
improvements in registering candidates and granting permission to
hold rallies were simply a poor attempt by the Aliyev government to
show that the election will be transparent.

But Calaoglu, speaking before the October 9 demonstration, said the
election commissions remain under the control of the ruling Yeni
Azerbaijan party, and that the violence during the October 1 rally
indicates that the November 6 elections will be falsified.

The OSCE mission report did not include the unsanctioned demonstrations
by the Azadlig bloc of three major opposition parties on Sept. 25
and Oct. 1, which resulted in clashes between police and protesters.

The report noted as an improvement the registration of more than
2000 candidates, including 48 political parties and blocs, saying
the elections offer the prospect of a broad choice to voters at the
polling stations. Overall, the OSCE considered the work of the CEC
satisfactory, pointing to regular meetings open to local media and
observers.

However, the report raised concern over the internally displaced
persons (IDPs), who make up some 12 percent of the electorate, noting
that 800,000 IDP, mostly refugees from the Karabakh conflict with
Armenia, are living far from their polling stations.

The CEC’s Mammadov put that situation down to simple logistics.

“Polling stations have been organized in the places where many
refugees live close together,” CEC member Mammadov said. “But it is
not possible to create the possibility to vote for each refugee who
is living far away from a polling station.”

The OSCE, however, has not been alone in expressing reservations
about the chances for a democratic vote this November. On October 4,
the New York City-based Human Rights Watch (HRW) organization issued a
statement that argued that abuse against the opposition cast serious
doubt on the Azerbaijani government’s commitment to ensuring a fair
nationwide poll. HRW urged the United States and the Council of
Europe to forcefully condemn the police violence against protestors
during the opposition’s unsanctioned demonstrations in central Baku
on September 25 and October 1.

One day after the HRW statement, the US Department of State expressed
strong concerns about the events of September 25 and October 1 and
urged both the authorities and opposition to “return to the negotiating
table in the four weeks before the election.”

Following the violence that marked the opposition’s October 9
demonstration, the US embassy in Baku issued a statement that called
on “all parliamentary candidates and political parties to work with
voters seriously to gain their trust and support.”

“The US embassy thinks that it is important for Azerbaijan’s future
to hold a successful election,” the statement concluded.

Editor’s Note: Editor’s Note: Jahan Aliyeva is a freelance reporter
currently based in Tbilisi.

Man Charged With Murder Re-Elected Mayor

MAN CHARGED WITH MURDER RE-ELECTED MAYOR

The Associated Press
10/10/05 21:14 EDT

YEREVAN, Armenia (AP) – The mayor of a small Armenian town jailed
on murder charges was re-elected to his post, election officials
said Monday.

Armen Keshishian, the mayor of Nor-Achin about six miles east of the
capital, Yerevan, has been charged in the Sept. 24 shooting death of
Ashot Mkhitarian, the head of a local electric utility. The pistol that
allegedly killed the utility chief had been presented to Keshishian by
Prime Minister Andranik Markarian, according to the prime minister’s
spokeswoman, Mary Arutunian.

Firearms are considered a treasured gift in the Caucasus. Although
their sale is forbidden in Armenia, the president and prime minister
are empowered to present people with weapons.

Since becoming prime minister in 2000, Markarian has presented
589 people with guns, which police officials say have been used in
three murders and a number of attempted murders. Arutunian said law
enforcement bodies were now checking a number of people whom Markarian
plans to present with guns, to make sure they would not use them for
criminal purposes.

With the election victory, Keshishian will govern his town from behind
bars pending trial. If he is convicted, he will lose his post.

Inside the Mind of Jihadists

Huffington Post, NY
Oct 7 2005

Salman Rushdie: Inside the Mind of Jihadists (3 comments )

It goes on and on. Bali was hit last week by suicide bombers. George
Bush upped the ante once again in “the global war on terror” with his
October 6 speech. The New York subway is on a high terror alert. What
is going on in the minds of the jihadists? What is the best way to
challenge the “Islamo-fascists?” I recently spoke to Salman Rushdie,
author of “The Satanic Verses” and, most recently, “Shalimar the
Clown”, about these issues:

Nathan Gardels: It happened again last week in Bali, this time with
suicide bombers. Before this there was London, Madrid and 9/11. There
was the murder Theo Van Gogh on the street in Amsterdam and the
brutal beheading of Danny Pearl in Karachi. In your newest novel,
“Shalimar the Clown,” you’ve imagined what is inside the minds of
jihadists. Is there a common motivation for these different acts. Is
it the “absolutism of the pure” striking out against the hybrid
impurities of cosmopolitan culture, as you’ve often written?

Salman Rushdie: In their minds at least, it is not a very theoretical
or intellectual thing except for a few at the top of these terror
networks.

The most essential characteristic of the person who commits terror of
this kind is the idea of dishonored manhood. I try to show this in my
novel. The character Shalimar picks up the gun not just because his
heart gets broken, but because his pride and honor get broken by
losing the woman he loves to a worldly man of greater consequence and
power. Somehow he has to rebuild his sense of manliness. That is what
leads him down the path to slashing an American ambassador’s throat.
Living in the West, where there is no “honor culture,” it is easy to
underestimate its power.

Judeo-Christian culture has to do with guilt and redemption. In
Eastern cultures, with no concept of original sin, the idea of
redemption from it doesn’t make sense. Instead, the moral poles of
the culture have to do with honor and shame.

The idea of dishonor, of some kind of real or perceived humiliation,
can drive people to desperate acts.
Interestingly, in researching Shalimar, one of the things I
discovered was a kind of bizarre class differential between the
warriors and the suicide bombers. Strapping on a suicide belt is
looked down upon by some who think it is more manly to kill face to
face with a knife. Fighting is manly. Suicide bombing is cheap.

Those drawn into the act of suicide are malleable personalities.
Hezbollah, for example, has developed a quite detailed psychological
profile of the kind of person who can be persuaded to be a suicide
bomber. You have to be a weak personality to be a suicide bomber. You
have to accept the abnegation of the self. If your father or sister
needs a medical operation, the handlers will say, “You do this, and
we’ll take care of that.” There are a whole range of appeals, few of
which have to do with ideology.

Gardels: Certainly, though, what drives the jihadist movement is the
perception of collective humiliation and dishonor of Islamic culture
at the hands of the West. As V.S. Naipaul has written, they blame
their failure on the success of another civilization.

Rushdie: The birth of Islamic radicalism is relatively new. Fifty
years ago, during decolonization and the early post-colonial days,
Gamal Abdul Nasser in Egypt or the (National Liberation) Front in
Algeria, for example, were completely non-religious phenomena. Some
movements were led by Marxists. The cause was national liberation
from imperialism.

In time, leaders of many of those movements turned into corrupt fat
cats, and the Islamists, like the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, could
present themselves as the clean, virtuous alternative to secularism.
That gave them a big rhetorical advantage. The nationalists often
used the language of the Islamists, though they didn’t mean it,
because it offered a legitimizing rhetoric for the decolonizing
period. However, by giving away their own tongues, they laid the
groundwork for those who came behind them, who really did mean what
they said. That is how Islamist radicalism grew.

But it grew differently in different places. In Iran, Khomeini was,
in effect, a creation of the Shah because the Shah had killed all the
other political voices. It wasn’t like that in Kashmir. The presence
of the Indian army for so long created a great deal of general
unhappiness, the fertile soil from which radicalism could spring,
even though it was alien to the Kashmiri spirit. Then, when the
jihadists starting coming in from Pakistan, they targeted moderate
Muslim voices because they wanted a polarized situation. The
Kashmiris themselves were squeezed between two forces, neither for
which they had much affinity for.

There is a tendency to look at the jihadist movement as a monolith
globally. The only really global idea they have is this laughable
fantasy of “the return of the Caliphate.” Inevitably they are
disappointed that this doesn’t happen, and thus there is more
resentment.

The whole phenomenon is much more comprehensible when you look at
local sources. Suicide bombing in the Middle East is not the same as
suicide bombing in London.

Gardels: The French philosopher Bernard-Henri Levy argues that,
despite the considerable diversion of Iraq, the center of Islamic
radicalism is moving east to Asia, where most Muslims live. He argues
that “Kashmir is the new Palestine.” Do you agree?

Rushdie: He says this because he is concerned about Pakistan. What he
is right about is that, behind General Musharraf, there is the
possibility of a really terrible situation where radical Islamists
get control of nuclear weapons. If that happens, it would dwarf any
other problem in the world. If Musharraf is assassinated and some
radical from the Pakistani intelligence services take over, then you
essentially have the Taliban with the bomb.

Gardels: After the London bombings, Iqbal Sacranie, the head of the
Muslim Council of Britain, condemned the acts of “our children” and
said they presented a “profound challenge” to local Muslims. Yet he
also had professed sympathy for the fatwa against you, saying “Death
is perhaps too easy” for the author of “The Satanic Verses.” Isn’t
that double standard precisely what created the space for the
children of the Muslim community in Europe to commit acts of
terrorism in their own homeland?

Rushdie: Yes. I think so. (British Prime Minister Tony) Blair is
making a real mistake believing that these ultra-conservative,
ultra-orthodox, non-modernizing – non-terrorist, to be fair – voices
like Sacranie are in some way representative of British Muslims. You
don’t fight radical conservatism with not-quite-so radical
conservatism. Blair has put Sacranie’s main deputy, who is on record
denying the Holocaust, on some committee supposedly fighting Islamic
radicalism!

These are not the people to get in bed with. Unfortunately, Blair’s
own faith-based instincts lead him toward other people of faith as
being the solution.

One problem is that there is no truly representative institution for
British Muslims. Most Muslims in England are not ghettoized, or
particularly Muslim. They deal with their faith in a much lighter
way. They are citizens first and Muslims second or maybe seventeenth.
The conventional wisdom of Blair’s government seems to be that
everyone is a Muslim first and must be dealt with on that basis.
The question is how you persuade this majority to organize. Given the
demonization about what I’m supposed to be, I’m certainly the wrong
person for this job. But still, the job needs to be done. At least I
can talk about it.

Gardels: Tariq Ramadan, the controversial Geneva-based scholar who is
a leading voice of European Muslims, says something similar. He says
the problem is the narrow teaching of the Koran by imams in the
closed communities of big European cities who are trained in the Arab
world. They tell alienated youth they should be ashamed of not being
good Muslims because they are contaminated by the “un-Islamic
environment” in which they live.

Yet, most Muslims, he argues, are engaged in a “‘silent revolution’
led substantially by women, who have committed themselves to
democracy, freedom of conscience and worship and diversity. They are
both citizens of the West and look to Islam for their meaning in
life. This silent revolution is the real enemy of the London bombers
because it refuses to accept the ‘us vs. them’ worldview.”
Do you agree?

Rushdie: Oddly, because it comes form Tariq Ramadan, I more or less
agree with that. The central issue here is interpretation, or
itjihad. Conservative Muslims say that only Islamic scholars, ulema,
can interpret the Koran. The religious power elite thus maintains
control because theirs is the only interpretation that is acceptable.
And because they have a literalist reading of the Koran, they never
question first principles. It is from this kind of interpretive
process that so many atrocities are committed, like the one in India
recently where a woman was told she had to leave her husband because
she was “unclean” after being raped by her father-in-law!

One of the reasons my name is Rushdie is that my father was an
admirer of Ibn Rush’d, the 12th century Arab philosopher known as
Averroes in the West. In his time, he was making the non-literalist
case for interpreting the Koran.

One argument of his with which I’ve also had sympathy is this: In the
Judeo-Christian idea, God created man in his own image and,
therefore, they share some characteristics. By contrast, the Koran
says God has no human characteristics. It would be demeaning God to
say that. We are merely human. He is God.

Ibn Rush’d and others in his time argued that language, too, is a
human characteristic. Therefore it is improper – in Koranic terms –
to argue that God speaks Arabic or any other language. That God would
speak at all would mean he has a mouth and human form. So, Ibn Rush’d
said, if God doesn’t use human language, then the writing down of the
Koran, as received in the human mind from the Angel Gabriel, is
itself an act of interpretation. The original text is itself an act
of interpretation. If that is so, then further interpretation of the
Koran according to historical context, rather than literally, is
quite legitimate.

In the 12th century, this argument was defeated. It needs to raised
again in the 21st century. The sad thing, as I discovered in my
research for “The Satanic Verses” and other books, is that so much
scholarship was already done on the Koran in past centuries,
including on the dating of verses and the order they are placed. When
you read the Koran as a writer, you immediately notice places where
the subject changes radically in the middle of a verse and then picks
up several passages later. Obviously, in this “sacred” text, an
editor’s hand was at work.

Today, in a lot of the Muslim world, such historical study is
prohibited. That is why the place to start today is with a new
Islamic scholarship.

I have called for an Islamic Reformation, but that may give the wrong
connotation because of Martin Luther’s puritanical cast.
Enlightenment might be a better term. The point is, Islam has to
change. The dead hand of literalism is what is giving power to the
conservatives and the radicals. If you want to take that away from
them, you must start with the issue of interpretation and insist that
all ideas, even sacred ones, must adapt to new realities.

All other major religions have gone through this process of
questioning, but remain standing. An Islamic questioning might well
undermine the radicals, but it won’t undermine Islam.

Gardels: From where will the impulse of this Islamic enlightenment
come? >From the “silent revolution” of Western Muslims? From Asia?
Problematically, the “dead hand of literalism” reigns most severely
in the Arab world, the cradle of Islam.

Rushdie: It is very improbable that it would come from the
Arab-speaking world. It is more likely to come form the diaspora
where Muslims in the West or India have lived with secularism.
Muslims are well integrated in India, having long known the
secularism to which they adhere protects them and their faith from
the dictatorship of the Hindu majority.

In Europe, integration has been held up as a bad word by
multiculturalists, but I don’t see any necessary conflict. After all,
we don’t want to create countries of little apartheids. No
enlightenment will come from multicultural appeasement. This is very
evident today in Holland, for example. Contrast that with the French
model of secular integration. The headscarf controversy of a year ago
is now a non-issue because a broad agreement emerged there across the
spectrum that secularism is the best for everyone – from Muslims to
Le Pen.

Gardels: Those who favor Turkey’s accession to the European Union
argue it is critical for bridging the gap with Muslim civilization.
But Muslim leaders like (former Malaysian prime minister) Mohamad
Mahathir say Turkey cannot be a model for the Muslim world precisely
because it is committed to European secularism. What would it mean
for better West-Muslim relations if Turkey joined Europe?

Rushdie: Not much. It is a mistake to make it such a big symbol.

Turkish secularism also seems a little rocky right now, though still
holding. But they have big problems they haven’t begun to address,
starting with a penal code that is used against writers and
publishers – some 14 or 15 who are up for trial right now. Orhan
Pamuk, the novelist, has been charged for merely saying there is
something to the Ottoman massacre of Armenians. The power of the
Islamists is still far too great.

So, skepticism is warranted about Turkey in Europe. If Turkey wants
to join Europe, it will have to become a European country, and that
might take a long time.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/nathan-gardels/salman-rushdie-inside-th_b_8486.html

Kocharian Presents Current Stage And Prospects Of Settlement Of NKCo

Noyan Tapan News Agency, Armenia
Oct 6 2005

KOCHARIAN PRESENTS CURRENT STAGE AND PROSPECTS OF SETTLEMENT OF NK CONFLICT TO LENMARKER

YEREVAN, OCTOBER 6, NOYAN TAPAN. On October 6, RA President Robert
Kocharian received Goran Lenmarker, the Special Representative on
Nagorno Karabakh Issues of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly Chairman
who arrived in Armenia to participate in a seminar of the NATO
Parliamentary Assembly to take place in Yerevan.

As Noyan Tapan was informed by the RA President’s Press Office the
interlocuters exchanged opinions concerning the OSCE Parliamentary
Assembly Chairman’s Special Representative’s report dedicated to
Nagorno Karabakh.

The President of the republic touched upon the widening cooperation
with the OSCE attaching importance to the interparliamentary
cooperation in that context.

1st Time CBA To Publish Indexes Of Economic Activity,Business Enviro

1ST TIME CBA TO PUBLISH INDEXES OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY, BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE IN DECEMBER 2005

ARKA News Agency, Armenia
Oct 6 2005

YEREVAN, October 6. /ARKA/. The Central Bank of Armenia will publish
the indexes of economic activity, business environment and consumer
confidence in December 2005 for the first time, Chairman of the
Armenian Parliament Tigran Sargsyan said at the RA National Assembly.

He reported that these three indexes are supposed to reflect social
impulses. “They will allow to form stable expectations, and we believe
that within this conditions, the fluctuations of AMD exchange rate
will more smooth and the more stable financial environment will be
formed”, Sargsyan said.

Publication of the indexes is one of the initiatives of the CBA aimed
at development of Armenia’s financial system. The CBA conducted a
survey among 734 households and 361 organizations to compose indexes
of economic activity, business environment and consumer confidence.

The publication n of these indexes will be quarterly at first, and
it will be monthly in future. A.A. -0–

The Numbers Game: Death, Media, And Public Emotion

THE NUMBERS GAME: DEATH, MEDIA, AND PUBLIC EMOTION
Jean Seaton

Open Democracy, UK
Oct 6 2005

When media report wars or disasters, why are death tolls announced
before bodies are counted? And what does this do to our democracy?

Jean Seaton dissects the numbers game.

As hurricanes Katrina and Rita retreat and some ordering of the
after-effects takes place, the magnitude of what has happened is
still unfolding. The role of the reporting of the tragedies is also
being scrutinised.

There are the blistering issues of inequality, and the ways in
which our modern – indisputably man-encouraged catastrophes – have
indisputably man-made effects. Hurricanes, just like famines, produce
precise maps of disadvantage, which shockingly make public all kinds
of usually hidden discrimination.

There is the role of the media in Katrina first in telling us that
the hurricane “was not as bad as expected” when the water was surging
into New Orleans, and then at least why some outlets told us that
while white people “foraged”, black people “looted”.

There is also the more subtle problem of audiences’ sometimes casual
disinterest in any group that looks like a victim. Surely, one reason
people used their mobiles so effectively to take images in the July
2005 bombings in London was that to report on an event (which is what
everyone now knows how to do) meant that by they regained some control
over them: they stopped being merely victims. There is a chilling
audience response to simultaneously feel close to disasters because
now they can be seen – yet because they are watched on a screen to feel
distanced, because they are part of the ongoing litany of disasters.

Reported but uncounted

However, lying around the soggy remains of the cities that have been
devastated are the wrecks of discarded statistics. Were there 20,000
people in the New Orleans Superbowl or 5,000? How many people were
shot: four or 120? How many died in the hospitals – despite heroic
medical efforts – simply because there was no power and no water: 300
or 600? Did most people escape or not? How long is a traffic jam with
500,000 people in it? Can you really evacuate 2 million people? Why at
first was it reported that 10,000 people had died when the final death
toll seems to have been around 800? If most people escaped was it a
success rather than a failure? And, more provocatively, was the death
count the only – or indeed the most important – thing in the story?

So far, at least, the mortality figures have all been steadily
coming down from huge estimates and will now slowly creep up – but
not by large numbers. Unlike the Asian tsunami the death toll will
not become unimaginably high. But how do we get our minds around the
order of magnitude the disaster represents? Is it less of a story if
fewer people died?

There are many reasons for the numbers changing – not least that
nobody had the slightest idea of how to begin to estimate the impact
of the catastrophe, they had only their eyes, not, as it turns
out, necessarily reliable. It was chaos, and critically for modern
eyes it looked on television screens like foreign, other, biblical
Armageddon. Actually what looking at it reminded me of was one of
JG Ballard’s early science fiction worlds in which some quality of
civilised life is withdrawn, no power and too much water, and the
veneer of propriety is stripped away from everybody. A very large
disaster must, the scenes implied, have killed a very large number
of people.

But it is also part of such disasters as the New Orleans flood that
the impact was both unparalleled and patchy. If you were at the
heart of the storm everything went, but ten miles away things were
untouched. By a fluke of wind or place, a house or an office might
survive. Your house might fall down but you might have survived,
as many did. Many more escaped than seems likely. Sorting out real
numbers is hard to do in such circumstances.

Another source of wrong numbers were the disaster plans that did
exist. Journalists, hunting for “facts” recycled the numbers
of casualties that plans had estimated might result from such
a catastrophe, and used them as if they were descriptions of the
event that had just occurred – rather than bureaucratic responses to
imagined future ones. As it turned out 20,000 body-bags did not mean
20,000 dead.

Then there is the problem of the relationship between physical
destruction, buildings, houses, streets, things – all of the weighty
material of American civilisation dissipated, gone (not unlike 9/11).

If so much stuff had been destroyed then surely, it seemed, so
must have very many people? Needless to say, it was very difficult
to get reliable information and people intent on saving others may
understandably not make counting a priority. There are lots of good
reasons why counting was insecure. Nevertheless, my brother, one of
the British diplomats much maligned in the country’s tabloid press,
sent a team from Chicago in search of British citizens to care for
and had a remarkably accurate estimate of the casualty figures by
the third day – just as the media figures started to escalate. Why
didn’t the media ask people who knew?

Katrina may well go on claiming lives in unexpected ways, and these
will neither be reported nor counted. A law student friend of my
son had been working in New Orleans on Clive Stafford Smith’s legal
programme to investigate possible cases of wrongful conviction and
thus save prisoners from execution. Having managed to commandeer a
car she was penned in a thirteen-hour traffic jam leaving the city
as the wind blew up, while the police threatened with guns anyone
trying to use the other side of the motorway.

Although she managed to escape from the city, what did not escape was
the painstakingly collected trial evidence and witness interviews,
the years of patient work put in against a hostile judicial system
to free many who had been inadequately represented and whose lives
depended on files and computer records now lost for ever in the
flood. So there are victims still to come.

Think of a number, then use it

Nevertheless, the main reason for the volatility of the original
casualty count had at least something to do with audiences and
journalism as well as practical reality. Mortality figures establish
the claims of an event on our attention. A journalist who missed much
of the story because she was in a remote part of Afghanistan when it
happened observed that it was very odd being so out of touch. But,
she added: “It was the 10,000 figure that had us all jumping about
paying attention when someone got a text message – before that we had
thought, oh yes all of New Orleans flooded, not so important.” The
body-count changed what it meant. So numbers have to be big enough
to catch the eye.

Indeed, not is quite all that it seems on the numbers front.

Mortality and casualty figures have their own life and it is quite
often rather independent from that of the events they describe. Thus
“10,000” dead has a long history. It means something like “an awful
lot”. The original campaigning press reporting of the “the Bulgarian
atrocities” in 1876 had three numbers that reoccur: 30,000 dead, our
good friend 10,000 dead and a local massacre with some more precise
and smaller number, “123” or “over 40 women and children”.

Interestingly, 10,000 in the late 19th century meant that the
inhabitants of a town had been killed; it is – one might say – an
urban sort of number. These figures re-emerged in subsequent late
19th- and early 20th-century Balkan conflicts. It would have been
difficult to get accurate figures so the first modern campaigning
foreign reporters did what they could, and pitched in numbers that
would impress the readers back home – “10,000” dead has popped up in
urban conflicts and disasters ever since.

Another mythic number was the “700,000” Jews it was claimed had been
murdered by the Nazis in 1933. Actually, the figure seems at first
to have been derived from an estimate of the numbers of Armenians
massacred during the first world war. It was a figure that resonated,
and it was repeated in all of the major anti-fascist rallies in
Britain during the 1930s: Hugh Dalton, the Labour politician and
prominent anti-appeaser used it, the Archbishop of Canterbury used it,
the Jewish Chronicle used it, the Chief Rabbi used it, it appears in
Fabian pamphlets and Board of Deputies of British Jews’ reports.

It seemed an appallingly large number, and was used in speeches,
reported in newspapers and then, authenticated by the Times and the
Telegraph, recycled by politicians and campaigners. It was still being
used in 1942. In 1933 it was an overestimate and of course by 1942 it
was a tragically misleading underestimate, but it was a number people
repeated to each other – in circumstances when precise counting was
in any case impossible. The number, in a way, did its work, something
very large and evil was happening, but later it obscured reality and
was rendered meaningless by repetition.

The need for context

The temptation to journalists to jump on large numbers is
understandable – after all they want us to attend, and they want to
get their story a place in the news. Indeed, in any real and large
event there is so much panic and disorder, who is to know how many
have died with any accuracy?

Then there are all the familiar issues about the emotional geography
of casualties. We bother more about people we feel close to, and a few
casualties in one place get more attention than many casualties in a
place (even if it is just down the road in fact) that we do not feel
linked to. There is a media equation that produces – out of distance,
number and news value – a place for any set of numbers in the story
hierarchy.

This is one reason why stories need “faces”, identifiable individuals
whose predicament mediates the experience more tellingly to
audiences. This mechanism concentrates on the human similarity of
another victim and may help us understand the plight of the many
suffering or in danger. Sometimes, of course, this has distorting
side-effects. Our preference for saving known victims rather than
the “statistical” victims of large numbers of casualties can lead to
some strange outcomes. We will the means to save one sick child (or in
Britain on occasions the one trapped dog), at the expense of delivering
the most sensible relief to many. Nevertheless, the mechanism is a
way of helping us understand the experience behind numbers.

Another aspect of media numbers is that they play into what audiences
can imagine. And this may be another problem. There is a wonderful,
empowering moment in children’s lives when they first count to 1,000.

It takes a rather satisfyingly long time, and in my experience is
usually accomplished in the back of a car on a lengthy journey to a
holiday. But it gives the 7-year-old a feeling for the dimensions of
the number. I wonder what feeling for big numbers we usually have?

Antony Gormley, the British sculptor, has a marvellous work The Field,
which includes models, made by community groups of small, clay,
humanoid figures which he then crowds into a space: there are 4,000
of them. It looks both incalculable and human. It makes one take on
the individuality of each figure and the size of the community. It
is a lesson in size. So what we need is some imaginative thinking
about how to explain the numbers of casualties to us, some way of
representing the human dimensions of tragedies in ways we can work
with. Then, perhaps, the figures would be less mythic and more real,
and the soggy numbers floating around New Orleans could settle down
and do their work more accurately.

But what we needed perhaps during hurricane Katrina at least as much
as a reliable estimate of the dimensions of the disaster in human
fatalities, was more explanation of what it meant. What is the role
of New Orleans in America? It is not just a pretty place but a vital
industrial port. Where have all the people gone and how are they
coping? Could we deal with millions of displaced people? It is not
merely a “natural” disaster but a huge social, cultural and economic
one. In order to comprehend what it means we need to know a good deal
more than the fleeting, attention-grabbing horror of the numbers game.

Jean Seaton is professor of media studies at Westminster University.

She is co-author (with James Curran) of Power Without Responsibility:
The Press and Broadcasting in Britain (5th edition, 1997) and official
historian of the BBC. Her most recent book is Carnage and the Media:
The Making and Breaking of News about Violence (Penguin 2005)

http://www.opendemocracy.net/media-journalismwar/numbers_2902.jsp

Kocharyan: Local Elections Important Factor Of Stability Of State

KOCHARIAN: LOCAL ELECTIONS IMPORTANT FACTOR OF STABILITY OF STATE

ARKA News Agency, Armenia
Oct 5 2005

YEREVAN, October 5. /ARKA/. Local elections held in Armenia are
important factor of stability of state, RA President Robert Kocharyan
said during his meeting with President of the Congress of Local and
Regional Authorities of the Council of Europe Giovanni Di Stasi, the RA
Presidential Press-Service reported ARKA News Agency. Kocharyan pointed
out that decentralization is the major direction of territorial policy,
which first of all means development of local government. He also
reported that this policy has also been reflected in draft amendments
to Constitution of Armenia.

The sides also discussed issues of regional cooperation.

Particularly, Di Stasi proposed the idea of establishing the regional
centre of local governments, which will promote economic, social and
cultural partnership among them. Kocharyan welcomed the idea and said
that Armenia always supported regional cooperation, and considers that
such cooperation will promote formation of atmosphere of confidence,
as well as settlement of regional conflicts.