Armenian PM Tipped To Win Presidential Vote

ARMENIAN PM TIPPED TO WIN PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
by Mariam Harutunian

Agence France Presse — English
February 17, 2008 Sunday 1:49 AM GMT

Ex-Soviet Armenia heads to the polls for a presidential election
Tuesday with Prime Minister Serzh Sarkisian widely tipped to emerge
the winner from a bitterly fought campaign.

Polls show Sarkisian well ahead of his eight rivals in the race to
replace President Robert Kocharian, who is constitutionally barred
from running for a third five-year term.

But analysts say Sarkisian may struggle to win the more than 50
percent required to avoid a potentially risky second round.

Opponents have accused the Sarkisian camp of using state resources
to rig the election — a charge the prime minister denies.

Leading opposition candidates have warned they will call supporters
to the streets if they believe the vote is unfair, raising fears of
post-election unrest.

A small mountainous country of about three million, Armenia has seen
political discord erupt into violence before. In 1999, a group of armed
men stormed the country’s parliament and killed seven high-ranking
officials, including the prime minister.

In recent years, however, the country has enjoyed relative stability
and economic growth, which Sarkisian said would continue if he was
elected.

In an interview with AFP, Sarkisian said he expected to win the
election in the first round and dismissed opposition allegations
of fraud.

"Have you ever seen a country where the opposition does not come up
with allegations against the authorities, especially during the time
of elections?" he said. "Ninety-nine percent of these allegations
have nothing to do with reality."

Analysts had initially predicted the campaign would be easy for
Sarkisian, whose Republican Party of Armenia took a majority of seats
in parliamentary elections last May.

But the race was given new life last year when former president Levon
Ter-Petrosian broke 10 years of silence and threw his hat into the
ring as a challenger to Sarkisian.

Ter-Petrosian has staged a series of well-attended rallies ahead of
the vote, including a demonstration in the capital Saturday that drew
tens of thousands of supporters.

"The movement against the regime has already won," he told the
cheering crowd.

Ter-Petrosian has alleged widespread corruption and branded the
government a "criminal regime," while also vowing to be more
conciliatory in relations with neighbours Azerbaijan and Turkey.

The two countries have cut off diplomatic relations with Yerevan and
closed their borders in retaliation for Armenia’s support for ethnic
Armenian separatists in Azerbaijan’s breakaway Nagorny Karabakh region.

Ankara has also been deeply angered by Yerevan’s efforts to have
World War I killings of Armenians by the Ottoman Turks internationally
recognised as genocide. Turkey steadfastly rejects the genocide label,
saying both Armenians and Turks were killed during civil strife.

Former parliamentary speaker Artur Baghdasarian has also emerged as
a contender in the race. Baghdasarian, who joined the opposition in
2006 after being ousted from his post for criticising the government,
has vowed a more pro-Western course than the close ties with Moscow
pursued by Kocharian.

Pre-election polls show Sarkisian hovering at around 50 percent
support, with Ter-Petrosian and Baghdasarian trailing with 10-15
percent. Opposition candidates have questioned the polling companies’
independence.

As the campaign intensified, many analysts predicted a second round,
two weeks after the first vote.

"Everyone is now speaking about the inevitability of a second round,"
said Amyak Hovannisian, head of the Armenian Union of Political
Scientists.

About 600 foreign observers are to monitor the vote and analysts say
the government is keen to win international legitimacy for the result.

Parliamentary elections last May were the first to be declared largely
in accordance with international standards.

Azerbaijani Political Expert: If We Had No Oil And Gas, Nobody Will

AZERBAIJANI POLITICAL EXPERT: IF WE HAD NO OIL AND GAS, NOBODY WILL LISTEN TO US IN KARABAKH ISSUE

arminfo
2008-01-23 12:23:00

ArmInfo. If we had no oil and gas, nobody will listen to us in Karabakh
issue, a political expert Rasim Musabekov said during a "Round Table"
dedicated to the problems of energy security of the Caucasus, the
News-Azerbaijan Agency reports.

"For example, about 200,000 people died in Tajikistan in early 1990s
during the Civil War, however, none of the world community paid
attention to that, since Tajikistan is far from the important energy
communications, while our situation fundamentally differs. Three
leading world players: representatives of Russia, USA and the
European Union are co-chairs in the Karabakh conflict settlement
issue. Therefore, the energy problem plays such an important role in
Azerbaijan’s policy", Musabekov said. He thinks that each party, either
Azerbaijan or Europe, sees the energy security problems in its own
way. "For example, Europe sees solution of these problems in starting
an economic cooperation between Azerbaijan and Armenia. However,
we have not to listen to the Europeans in all things. We have to
continue the previous policy of economic pressure with respect to
Armenia", the political expert said. As for the energy security
problems, he is sure that these are rather geopolitical than energy
problems. "Apparently, the growth in prices for oil and oil products
did not cause a world crisis and tragedy. All the countries, even
such poor ones as Georgia and Armenia, find opportunities to buy the
energy carriers", Musabekov resumed.

Armenian Youth Of Moscow To Organize Picket At Turkish Embassy On Fi

ARMENIAN YOUTH OF MOSCOW TO ORGANIZE PICKET AT TURKISH EMBASSY ON FIRST ANNIVERSARY OF HRANT DINK’S MURDER

Noyan Tapan
Armenians Today
Jan 17 2007

YEREVAN, JANUARY 17, NOYAN TAPAN – ARMENIANS TODAY. The Youth Union
of New Nakhichevan and Russian Dioceses of the Armenian Apostolic
Church on January 19 initiates a series of public events dated to
the first anniversary of the murder of the editor-in-chief of "Agos"
weekly newspaper Hrant Dink. The Youth Union proposes remembering
on January 19 all crimes committed by Turkey against ethnic and
religious minorities.

According to "Yerkramas" newspaper of Armenans of Russia, a liturgy
in memory of killed Christians in Turkey will be celebrated in Surb
Harutyun Church in Moscow on January 19. On the same day a picket
will be organized at the Turkish embassy, as well as the round table
"Truth Makes US Free" will be conducted at the spiritual-education
center "Hayordats Tun" of the Armenian Apostolic Church, during which
a film about Hrant Dink will be demonstrated and information about
nationalists’ crimes in Turkey will be made public. A statement
calling on the Turkish authorities to stop prosecution of the
Turkish publisher Recep Zakaroglu who may be sentenced to 3-year
imprisonment for "insulting Turkishness" will be adopted during these
public events. It is also envisaged to adopt and send a resolution
to leaders of the EU, the U.S. and Turkey.

"Yerkramas" reported that the national and cultural autonomy of
Assyrians of Moscow will also join the events’ organizers. The lecturer
of the Swedish University Orebro Fuad Deniz (an Assyrian by origin),
who won international recognition for his studies and publications
on the Assyrian Genocide in the Ottoman Empire at the beginning of
the 20th century, was killed by unknown radicals recently.

260,000 People Get Over Poverty Threshold In Armenia In 2004-2006

260,000 PEOPLE GET OVER POVERTY THRESHOLD IN ARMENIA IN 2004-2006

ARKA News Agency
Dec 21 2007
Armenia

YEREVAN, December 21. /ARKA/. About 260,000 people overcame the
poverty threshold in Armenia in 2004-2006 and the share of the poor
reduced 23.4% in the country, officer of Armenia’s National Statistical
Service Diana Martirosova said in presenting a report on the social
picture and poverty in Armenia.

In 2004 the poor constituted 35% of the overall number of population,
whereas in 2006 the indicator reduced down to 27%.

75,000 of 260,000 people who have got over the poverty were below
extreme poverty line, she said.

According to Martirososva, in 2006 the poverty became less acute
and deep.

"Yet, poverty is still a problem for Armenia as 26.5% of the country’s
population or about 850,000 people are below the poverty line,
including 130,000 extremely poor people," she said.

The report on the social picture and poverty in Armenia was carried
out in the country in the period from January 1 to December 31 2006
among 5,184 households in 29 cities and 112 villages. It has been
prepared with assistance of the World Bank, USAID and the ministries
of labour and social issues, healthcare, science and education.

Self-Determination Of Karabakh Armenians Only Possible Within Azerba

SELF-DETERMINATION OF KARABAKH ARMENIANS ONLY POSSIBLE WITHIN AZERBAIJAN’S FRAMEWORK

Russia & CIS General Newswire
December 10, 2007 Monday 7:29 PM MSK

Azeri Deputy Foreign Minister Araz Azimov has protested against
a statement by Armenian Foreign Minister Vartan Oskanian that the
latest, internationally-mediated situation of the Nagorno-Karabakh
settlement is based on the right of nations to self- determination
and Nagorno-Karabakh’s secession from Azerbaijan.

"Oskanian’s statement regarding the right to self-determination is
un-professional and far from reality," Azimov said.

"We hope they understand that when it is said that the conflict must
be resolved peacefully, they shouldn’t expect Azerbaijan to put up
with the prospect of losing of part of its territory. This would be
crazy," the diplomat said.

Karabakh Conflict Cannot Be Settled By Military Means – Saakian

KARABAKH CONFLICT CANNOT BE SETTLED BY MILITARY MEANS – SAAKIAN

Russia & CIS General Newswire
November 6, 2007 Tuesday 11:42 AM MSK

Statements by the Azeri leadership that the Karabakh problem could
be settled by military means have been denounced by President of the
breakaway republic of Nagorno-Karabakh Bako Saakian, who described
such comments as counterproductive.

"We qualify the statements by the leaders of Azerbaijan as
counterproductive, and think they are putting a brake on the
comprehensive settlement of the conflict and on the efforts to
establish a dialogue between the two conflicting parties, between
the two peoples," Saakian told Interfax in Moscow.

"The beginning of a new armed conflict in the region would throw back
the settlement of the Karabakh conflict," he said.

"Plans to settle this problem by military means are illusory. In our
opinion, this scenario is unrealistic," Saakian said.

"A new war would only lead to further loss of life – even greater
than previously," he said.

De-facto, Nagorno Karabakh seceded from Azerbaijan in the 1990s,
following a bloody conflict. Baku is trying to regain control of
the area.

ANKARA; Turkey’s US Envoy Leaves For Washington After "Consultations

TURKEY’S US ENVOY LEAVES FOR WASHINGTON AFTER "CONSULTATIONS" ON ARMENIAN BILL

Anatolia News Agency
Oct 21 2007
Turkey

Istanbul, 21 October: Turkish Ambassador to USA Nabi Sensoy, who
was recalled to Turkey "for consultations" after the approval of a
resolution on Armenian allegations in the US House foreign affairs
committee, departed on Sunday [21 October] to return to United States.

Prior to his flight to Washington D.C., Sensoy told reporters that
he would tell the US authorities about the outrage in Turkey caused
by the US House committee approval of the resolution on Armenian
allegations regarding the incidents of 1915.

Sensoy stayed 9 days in Ankara and had meetings with President Abdullah
Gul, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Parliament Speaker Koksal
Toptan, Foreign Minister Ali Babacan and other high-level officials
to inform them about the developments in the United States.

"I think my stay in Ankara has been a serious message to reflect our
outrage," Sensoy said.

"I will continue to work to further Turkish-US relations," he
continued. "It seems that wind has started to blow in favour of us."

Vartan Oskanian Addresses 62-nd Session Of The UN General Assembly

VARTAN OSKANIAN ADDRESSES 62-ND SESSION OF THE UN GENERAL ASSEMBLY

ARMENPRESS
Oct 04 2007

YEREVAN, OCTOBER 4, ARMENPRESS: Armenia’s foreign minister Vartan
Oskanian addressed the 62-nd session of the UN Assembly Generally on
October 3. Below is the text of his speech.

"Mr. President, each opportunity to speak from this podium is a
humbling experience, knowing that every country in the world is
listening to the other, trying to discern where common approaches
and interests lie.

Those of us representing small countries have a sense that this is
the forum where large states address the ills of the world, and we,
smaller ones, ought to adhere to topics that are specific to us,
to our regions. As if, addressing overarching, global issues would
be pretentious, and they are best left to those with the power to do
something about them.

This is my 10th year here, and I will risk breaking that unwritten
rule. This year, as financial calamities have compounded political
and natural disasters, it is so evident that although our common
problems and challenges threaten us all equally, they affect us
unevenly. Small countries, with less of everything – diversity,
resources, maneuverability, options and means – are at greater peril,
greater risk, greater vulnerability than those with bigger territory,
larger population, greater potential.

At the same time, the major political, social and environmental issues
on this Assembly’s agenda — peace and security, economic growth and
sustainable development, human rights, disarmament, drugs, crime,
international terrorism – know no borders. None of us can tackle
them individually if we expect to resolve them effectively. Their
solutions are in our common interest. The problems are vast and
touch all of humanity. Because they cannot be solved within our
borders alone, does not mean anyone has the right, or the luxury,
to abdicate responsibility for their consequences.

When the speculative market drives the price of a barrel of oil to
$80, those too small to have significant reserves are more quickly
affected. And just as large countries with huge appetites for fuel
make deals sometimes inconsistent with their politics, so do we. For
us, energy security is much more than a matter of global arithmetic;
it’s a matter of life and death.

When climate change causes significant environmental transformation,
it doesn’t take much for prolonged droughts and excessive rains to
harm our agriculture and damage our economy, or for rising shorelines
to reach our cities. But we lack the diversity and the space to adapt
and cope.

When it is news that there are no explosions in Iraq, and when large
scale destruction is a daily occurrence, we in small countries become
more keenly aware of our vulnerability and susceptibility to the will
and capacity of the international community, to their tolerance for
distant violence and humiliation.

When development depends on an absence of bad weather, disease and
war, and when the capacity to ward off at least two of those three
ills lies in the hands of those with huge ability to heal and to make
peace, small countries are at risk and helpless.

When disarmament and arms control cease to be the means to world
peace, and instead become the means to score political dividends,
small countries resort to their own means of self-protection. In
other words, we become part of the problem, because the solution is
neither straightforward, nor within reach.

When Darfur becomes shorthand for hopelessness, we in the small
corners of the world realize that power has become a substitute
for responsibility. The ubiquitous language of human rights cannot
compensate for political will. Genocide must be prevented, not
commemorated. Generation after generation, we find new names for man’s
appalling tolerance for what we think are inhuman machinations, new
names for the places of horror, slaughter, massacre, indiscriminate
killing of all those who have belonged to a segment, a category,
an ethnic group, a race or a religion. Nearly 100 years ago, for
Armenians it was Deir-El-Zor.

For the next generation, it was Auschwitz, then the killing fields of
the Cambodians. And most recently Rwanda. If in each of those cases,
together with genocide, these names evoked ignorance, helplessness,
wartime cover, today Darfur is synonymous with expediency, evasion
and simple inconvenience. Darfur is synonymous with shame.

My appeal, on behalf of small countries, is that the international
community tackle each of these problems in their own right, for
their own sake, and not as pieces in a global power puzzle. When
tensions among the world’s great powers grow, there is an increase in
polarization and a decrease in the effectiveness of the hard-earned
— and costly — policies of complementarity and balance of small
countries. Our own room to maneuver, to participate in global
solutions, diminishes.

But Mr. President and colleagues, let me say the obvious. We rely
on the ability of global powers to put aside their own short-term
conflicts and divergences and to recognize that their power and
influence does not make them immune to the range of problems that
afflict us. It also does not make them immune from the impact of the
failure of appropriately using that power and influence – for the
good of humanity.

Mr. President, Last year we celebrated 16 years of Armenia’s
independence. We have weathered sea changes, and been swept up in
regional and global developments which daily affect our lives.

We can only be proud of what we’ve accomplished — an open, diversified
economy, high growth, strong financial systems; also, improved
elections, stronger public institutions, a population increasingly
aware of its rights. This makes us more determined to solve the
remaining economic ills – uneven growth, rural poverty and low wages –
and further empower people and deepen the exercise of democracy.

We’ve done all this despite a still unresolved conflict and artificial
restrictions, and in the absence of regional cooperation.

The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is included on the agenda of this
General Assembly session under the topic of protracted conflicts. But
Mr. President any resolution that places all conflicts in one pot
is necessarily flawed. Each of these conflicts is different. The
Nagorno-Karabakh conflict doesn’t belong there. This issue should
not be discussed at the UN, because it is being negotiated in the OSCE.

First, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is not frozen.

We continue to negotiate and we are inching towards resolution. Second,
there is a well-developed negotiating document on the table, based
not on wishful thinking, but on the core issue and the consequential
issues. Together, they add up to a balanced solution. Third, at the
core of the process lies the issue of the right of the people of
Nagorno-Karabakh to determine their own future.

Indeed, the people of Nagorno-Karabakh don’t want anything that is
not theirs – they want a right to live in peace and security and
to determine their own future, they want to exercise the right that
every people here has exercised at some point in their history.

Mr. President, we follow very closely developments on Kosovo. We
hear the international community loud and clear, that Kosovo cannot
be a precedent or other conflicts. While we have no intention to use
Kosovo as a precedent for our conflict, since that would contradict our
own position that all conflicts are different. But at the same time,
we won’t understand or accept the reverse logic – that if Kosovo is
given independence, no other people can achieve self-determination. No
one should tell us that there is a quota on liberty and security.

Mr. President, at the end of the day, small countries awareness of
and place in global processes cannot, will not, substitute for those
with extensive resources and the political will and ability to act.

In this age of openness and inclusion, there is no room for the old
instruments of coercion and exclusion. Instead, the new instruments
of compromise and consensus are necessary to reach humanity’s enduring
goals of peace and prosperity.

Expert Says Russia, Armenia May Conclude Large Arms Contracts

EXPERT SAYS RUSSIA, ARMENIA MAY CONCLUDE LARGE ARMS CONTRACTS

Radio Mayak
23 Aug 07
Moscow

President Vladimir Putin in Sochi today will receive his Armenian
counterpart, Robert Kocharyan. The director of the strategies and
technologies analysis centre, Ruslan Pukhov, believes that defence
cooperation will certainly be discussed at the talks.

[Pukhov] The point is that at the moment Russia is not engaged in
major military-technical cooperation with Armenia. This is due to the
fact that Russia has very much hoped that the problem of Nagornyy
Karabakh will be resolved with the help of international mediators
and that Azerbaijan and Armenia will be able to find some mutually
acceptable solution.

However, it can be acknowledged at the moment that Azerbaijan is
buying large quantities of weapons, primarily abroad and first of
all in Ukraine.

They have bought MiG-29 aircraft and are holding intensive talks
with a number of foreign countries. They have even managed to buy a
certain quantity of equipment for the Ground Troops from us.

Russia only has three military allies in the world – Syria, Armenia and
Belarus. We are aware of large arms deliveries to Syria and Belarus.

Therefore, it can be said with a high degree of certainty that large
armament contracts with Armenia will be concluded in the near future.

This subject will certainly be discussed at the meeting between
President Kocharyan and President Putin in Sochi.

Gas Traffic To Armenia Through Georgia Resumes

GAS TRAFFIC TO ARMENIA THROUGH GEORGIA RESUMES

ITAR-TASS News Agency, Russia
August 21, 2007 Tuesday 3:52 PM EST
Tbilisi

Gas traffic from Russia to Armenia through the North Caucasus-Trans
Caucasus pipeline running across Georgia, suspended Sunday night
for repairs in Georgian territory, resumed earlier on Tuesday, the
Georgian International Oil and Gas Corporation told Prime-Tass.

A stand-by pipeline had to be reactivated for this.

"In the meantime, repairs on the pipeline in Georgia are continuing,
but they no longer interfere with gas supplies from Russia to Armenia,"
the Georgian company’s official said. "The pipeline repairs are
routine ones. Both Russia and Armenia had received early notice,
so no problems have been created. Throughout the suspension Armenia
used gas from its underground gas holders."

Over the past few months gas import from Azerbaijan fully met Georgia’
s own needs, so no Russian gas was taken out of the Armenia-bound
pipeline.

"The ongoing repairs on the North Caucasus-Trans Caucasus pipeline
created no gas supply problems to Georgia, either," the spokesman
for the Georgian oil and gas corporation said.