Robert Fisk: "Le Genocide Armenien Est Encore Trop Neglige"

ROBERT FISK: “LE GENOCIDE ARMéNIEN EST ENCORE TROP EGLIGE”

Le Temps, La Suisse
2 mars 2015

Etienne Dubuis

Le journaliste britannique Robert Fisk dénonce le négationnisme de
la Turquie et de certains gouvernements occidentaux

En homme de terrain, Robert Fisk aime répondre aux questions par des
anecdotes. Et le grand reporter britannique, entré dans la légende
pour avoir interviewé a trois reprises Oussama ben Laden, n’en manque
pas. Invité a parler lundi du génocide arménien au Festival du film
et forum international sur les droits humains, il se souvient s’être
promené en Turquie avec un survivant, qui a reconnu devant lui la
porte de sa maison familiale. Une porte close a jamais. ”En Pologne,
un Juif spolié lors de l’Holocauste peut récupérer sa demeure,
observe-t-il. En Turquie, un Arménien dans le même cas n’a pas ce
droit. Pourquoi?”

Depuis quarante ans qu’il couvre le Moyen-Orient, Robert Fisk a eu de
nombreuses occasions d’étudier cette page de l’histoire moderne. ”Le
massacre des Arméniens a été le premier génocide du XXe siècle,
rappelle-t-il. Il est lié par ailleurs au deuxième, le génocide des
Juifs, puisque certains instructeurs allemands de l’armée turque y ont
assisté avant de se retrouver dans les rangs de l’armée allemande
a perpétrer les mêmes atrocités en Biélorussie et en Ukraine. Et
pourtant, il est non seulement nié par les autorités turques mais
aussi négligé par certains gouvernements occidentaux.”

Contradictions britanniques

”Winston Churchill n’a pas hésité a qualifier cette tragédie de
génocide, poursuit le journaliste. Des décennies plus tard cependant,
un autre premier ministre britannique, Tony Blair, s’y est refusé. Je
vis a Beyrouth, une ville qui abrite 350â~@~I000 Arméniens. Je
compte moi-même dans cette communauté beaucoup d’amis dont les
grands-parents ont été victimes d’un génocide. Et mon propre pays
n’ose pas appeler cette tragédie par son nom.”

Robert Fisk évoque un dernier souvenir. Il s’est retrouvé il
y a quelques années a table avec des dizaines de Turcs et n’a
pu s’empêcher de leur demander ce qu’ils pensaient du génocide
arménien.

”Un grand silence s’est fait, confie-t-il. Et puis, des voix se
sont élevées pour répondre que tous les Turcs savent bien qu’il
a eu lieu.

Les citoyens ordinaires ne sont pas dupes. C’est l’Etat qui ne le
reconnaît pas.”

From: Baghdasarian

http://www.letemps.ch/Page/Uuid/97496694-c118-11e4-a445-d520cd1a7313/Robert_Fisk_Le_g%C3%A9nocide_arm%C3%A9nien_est_encore_trop_n%C3%A9glig%C3%A9

Entertainment: Famous Belly Dancer Sofinar Arrested Over ‘Insulting

FAMOUS BELLY DANCER SOFINAR ARRESTED OVER ‘INSULTING EGYPTIAN FLAG’, RELEASED ON BAIL

Ahram Online, Egypt
March 2 2015

Also known as Safinaz, the well-known Armenian dancer was summoned
for the second time on charges of insulting the Egyptian flag

Ahram Online , Monday 2 Mar 2015

Famous Egyptian-based Armenian belly dancer Sofinar (also known
as Safinaz) was arrested Monday by tourism police in Egypt’s Giza
governorate for allegedly insulting the Egyptian flag, Al-Ahram Arabic
news website reported.

She was released on an EGP 20,000 ($2,620) bail pending investigation
hours after her arrest.

In 2014, Safinaz was summoned for questioning by Egyptian prosecutors
over a report alleging she insulted Egypt and its people by wearing
a dancing costume fashioned after the Egyptian flag.

Egypt’s former interim president Adly Mansour issued a law in early
June imposing a jail term of up to one year and a fine with a maximum
penalty of LE30,000 ($4,000) for anyone who insults the flag.

Some forms of insulting the flag, as stipulated by the law, include
raising, displaying or trading a flag if it is damaged, faded or not
suitable in any other way. It is also prohibited to add any slogans,
designs or pictures to the flag.

Safinaz has been an immediate success since her arrival in Egypt over
two years ago, with appearances in several Egyptian movies as well
as paid performances at prestigious weddings.

During her appearance in several talk shows, the dancer stressed her
love for Egypt and that she wishes to marry to an Egyptian man as
well as to spend her entire life in Egypt.

From: Baghdasarian

http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/124277/Egypt/Politics-/Famous-belly-dancer-Sofinar-arrested-over-insultin.aspx

Survey Says . . .: Public Always Saw Opposition As Weak

SURVEY SAYS . . .: PUBLIC ALWAYS SAW OPPOSITION AS WEAK

SOCIETY | 02.03.15 | 15:23

Alina Nikoghosyan
ArmeniaNow intern

According to a Gallup International poll conducted last November,
nearly half of Armenians do not trust the Prosperous Armenia Party
(PAP), Heritage nor the Armenian National Congress (ANC) parties.

The self-declared non-governmental opposition troika collapsed with
PAP leader Gagik Tsarukyan’s capitulation in a recent “war” with
President Serzh Sargsyan. Still in autumn, however, when they were
active, the rallies they organized were not considered trustworthy by
40 percent of 1067 surveyed, and even then the troika was considered
to be destined to a collapse.

In the survey, only 11 percent of responders agreed that opposition
rallies would lead to negotiations with the ruling regime and only
nine percent said the opposition would be powerful enough to force
a change in government.

Gallup International Association’s Armenia Office Director Aram
Navasardyan introduced the results of the study on Monday.

“The results of the study showed that many saw the part of the
ideological leader played by the PAP, and then – the ANC, and lastly –
by Heritage. Another interesting fact is that many refused to answer
the question,” Navasardyan said.

“The numbers are more vivid when we speak of financial leaders,
here, 61 percent said that the financial leader is the PAP; 3 percent
Heritage and 3 percent the ANC.”

From: Baghdasarian

http://armenianow.com/society/61070/gallup_international_armenian_opposition_gagik_tsarukyan

Why Are American Hostages Still Held in Iran?

Commentary Magazine
March 1 2015

Why Are American Hostages Still Held in Iran?

Michael Rubin

Since President Obama initiated high-profile, high-stakes talks with
Iran, the United States has released more than $11 billion in frozen
funds to the Islamic Republic, and that comes on top of billions of
dollars in new investment. To put just the $11 billion in perspective,
that represents more than twice the Congressional Research
Service-estimated official budget of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard
Corps (IRGC), the group responsible for killing hundreds of American
servicemen in Iraq. Now, consider that Iran’s economy had shrunk
between 5.3 and 5.8 percent (depending upon which Iranian figure is
speaking) in the year before Obama began his outreach while, despite
the crash in oil prices, Iran’s current growth is positive, and it’s
hard not to conclude that for the Iranian leadership, Team Obama has
been a dream come true.

Given all that Iran has gained outside of the nuclear arena, what is
most perplexing is how little the United States has received. Take for
example the four American hostages which Iran now holds:

Saeed Abedini. Iran has long been hostile to Christianity. While the
Iranian city of Isfahan hosts a large Armenian community which thrives
today, the Armenian Christians settled in Isfahan only because they
were forcibly relocated there from northwestern Iran as the shah at
the time doubted their loyalty. Non-Orthodox Christians have special
difficulty in Iran. Past State Department human-rights reports, for
example, depict the disappearance and murder of priests and,
especially, evangelical Christians whose community is small but
growing in Iran. Abedini, a 34-year-old from Idaho, was arrested
during a 2012 trip to Tehran to visit family and sentenced to eight
years in prison. He is a married father of two small children.

Robert Levinson. A former FBI agent whom Iran alleges to have worked
for a CIA contractor visited Kish Island, an Iranian free-trade zone
which is visa-free, in an effort to research a cigarette smuggling
case when he was seized by Iranian intelligence in 2007. While the
Iranians have sought at times to deny responsibility or knowledge of
Levinson’s case, the state-run Iranian press acknowledged Iranian
involvement. He remains the longest-held Iranian hostage. Perhaps
reflecting its role as the -de facto lobby of the Islamic Republic,
the National Iranian American Council has distinguished itself by
omitting Levinson in its calls for the release of hostages.

Amir Hekmati. A former American Marine, Hekmati was arrested in August
2011 while visiting family in Tehran. Charged with espionage, he was
initially sentenced to death, a sentence later commuted. While some
Iranians might look askance at his military service, it should be
remembered that because Iran has conscription, many male Iranian
graduate students seeking to come to the United States to continue
their education or to visit family have served in the Iranian
military. The charges were more ridiculous considering Hekmati sought
and received permission from Iranian authorities in the United States
before traveling. Hekmati had briefly launched a hunger strike which
he subsequently suspended.

Jason Rezaian. The Washington Post’s Tehran bureau chief, Rezaian was
arrested on undisclosed security-related offenses on July 22, 2014,
and initially held incommunicado. On January 15, 2015, an Iranian
prosecutor announced that Rezaian would stand trial in a revolutionary
court. His case is slated to be heard by one of Iran’s most notorious
hanging judges.

That three of the four men are Iranian American should be irrelevant.
Immigrants and their children do not check their citizenship at the
door when they visit Iran, even if Iranian authorities insist they
enter only on their Iranian documents. Ronald Reagan famously obsessed
over American hostages held by Iranian proxies in Lebanon. The “Tower
Commission” found that Reagan obsessively peppered his staff with
questions about their condition and the possibilities for their
release. Never has the contrast between two presidents been so great.
Obama seems more concerned with springing terrorists from Guantanamo
Bay than in freeing Americans held captive by one of the world’s most
repressive regimes. And, while Secretary of State John Kerry has
reportedly condemned the Iranian detention of American citizens and
called for their release, Obama and Kerry’s willingness to continue
business as usual in negotiations and in payments to Iran suggests to
the Iranians a lack of seriousness on the Obama administration’s part.

There should not be a single press conference dealing with Iran where
the first, second, and third questions don’t force administration
officials to address those Americans in prison in Iran. The hostages
should be household names. When the State Department counsels quiet
diplomacy, what diplomats are seeking is enough distraction to sweep
the problem under the rug. They should not be able to. Indeed, there
should not be another meeting held, let alone incentive given or
payment made, until they are happily at home and reunited with their
families. Quite the contrary, there should be no end to sanctions and
punishment until the Americans–all four–come home.

From: Baghdasarian

https://www.commentarymagazine.com/2015/03/01/why-are-american-hostages-still-held-in-iran/

Azerbaijani forces kill two Armenian troops: rebels

Agence France Presse
February 28, 2015 Saturday 5:55 PM GMT

Azerbaijani forces kill two Armenian troops: rebels

Yerevan, Feb 28 2015

Azerbaijani forces on Saturday killed two ethnic-Armenian servicemen
of the breakaway Nagorny Karabakh army, the separatist defence
ministry said, in the latest clash along the rebel region’s volatile
frontline.

“On February 28, Azerbaijani army units attempted a reconnaissance
incursion at the north-eastern sector of the frontline and were
repelled by the Karabakh armed forces,” the ministry said in a
statement.

“Two Karabakh army servicemen… were killed in action.”

Azerbaijan and Armenia are locked in a decades-long conflict over
Nagorny Karabakh, an ethnic Armenian enclave in Azerbaijan.

Despite years of negotiations, the two sides have not signed a final
peace deal, with Karabakh internationally recognised as part of
Azerbaijan.

Clashes between Azerbaijani and Armenian forces intensified again in
January following an unprecedented spiral of violence last year.

At least 13 people from both sides were reported killed and 18 wounded
this year in similar incidents on the Armenian-Azerbaijani border, and
along the Karabakh frontline.

Ethnic Armenian separatists backed by Yerevan seized control of
Karabakh and seven adjacent districts of Azerbaijan during a 1990s war
that left some 30,000 dead.

Baku, whose military spending exceeds Armenia’s entire state budget,
has threatened to take back the territories by force if negotiations
fail to yield results.

Armenia, which is heavily armed by Russia, says it could crush any offensive.

From: Baghdasarian

Agassi’s American dream built on toughest of love

The Times (London), UK
February 28, 2015 Saturday

Agassi’s American dream built on toughest of love

by Matthew Syed

Andre Agassi has spent most of his life trying to come to terms with
his childhood. He started playing tennis in his cot, a mobile of balls
hung above his head, a ping-pong bat taped to his hand, his dad
standing above encouraging little Andre to hit, hit, hit.

When he was old enough to walk, he played in the yard against the
so-called Dragon, a mechanical device custommade by his father to spit
tennis balls from a steep angle at more than 100mph in the Las Vegas
haze. Agassi estimates that he hit one million balls per year
throughout his childhood, his dad screaming every time he missed.

At the age of 13, he was packed off to boarding school to play yet
more tennis at the Bollettieri academy in Florida. “It was more like a
prison than a tennis academy,” he says. “It was on an old tomato farm
and the courts stretched one after the other into the distance. We
only went to school for four hours a day. The rest of the time we
played tennis.”

To meet Agassi in the flesh is to feel the contradictions in one of
the most revelatory of modern sporting lives. He hated tennis, but
loved it, too. He begrudged his upbringing, but acknowledges that it
laid the foundations for everything he has achieved in life. He
resented his dad, but has gradually come to recognise that for all the
pain, mistakes and shouting matches, this complex man, still railing
against the world at the age of 84, acted out of love.

“He is an extraordinary and complex man,” Agassi says. “I have spent a
lifetime trying to understand him. His mum was a Russian Armenian who
moved to Tehran after the Armenian genocide in 1915. Dad grew up in
Tehran as a Christian and he had some pretty horrible experiences.
They were very poor. I think that taught him to fight. He took up
boxing, won two golden gloves and competed in two Olympic Games for
Iran.

“When he came to America, he had one ambition: ‘I will spend my life
trying to create an environment where my kids can have the one thing I
never had, money’. He conditioned us to leave our heritage behind. His
attitude was: ‘We are Americans. We are going to live the American
dream.’ He didn’t want us to learn [Persian]. We changed our name from
Aghassian to Agassi. He didn’t want anyone to think we were Muslim.”

The parental urge for betterment, for leaving a former world behind,
will strike a chord with many second generation immigrants. So will the
vision of a tortured dad, who felt that everyone was against him,
seeking to ensure that his children had every opportunity to succeed.
But the sheer intensity of what Agassi endured will seem extreme, even
to immigrant eyes. He was pushed, cajoled, urged and goaded, every
spare hour, of every day.

“The irony is that I had it pretty easy,” Agassi says. “It was my
three older siblings who really felt the heat of my father’s ambition.
I was the baby. Thank god he had the sense to save me from himself.
That is why he sent me away at 13 to the tennis academy. Our
relationship was on the brink of self destruction. He just couldn’t
stop himself pushing, pushing, pushing.”

The experience has shaped Agassi’s attitude profoundly to his own
children from his marriage to Steffi Graf: Jaden, 13, and Jaz, 11. “I
didn’t want to make the same mistakes,” he says. “Even when the
children were very young, I didn’t define their ambitions for them. I
try to let them decide what they are passionate about. But once they
define it, I hold them to a standard of commitment. Their dreams
become my dreams and I won’t allow them to stop caring just because
they have had a disappointment or two.

“I am not saying it is easy to get the balance right. My daughter used
to ride horses and she flew off a couple of years ago, and the horse
stomped around a foot from her head. And it changed her on a dime. She
didn’t want to get back on her horse. And that was kind of an
interesting one for me. I don’t know if I handled it right. I didn’t
push her to carry on, but that was because I didn’t want to see her on
the back of a 1,200lb animal.

“My son had a tough experience, too. He is very into baseball and he
was hit by the ball and broke his palate last year. I would have
understood if that had affected him. But he went out the next day and
on the very first pitch, he hit it to deep right. That took character.
I celebrated that. That is what I try to do with my kids: to give them
context. I don’t tell them what to do, but I encourage them to keep
going at the things they love, even when the going gets tough.”

Perhaps it is the experience of mentoring his children that has
triggered a reinterpretation of his upbringing. In recent years he has
come not merely to respect, but to admire his father, a man so
vigilant to insults, so proud, so driven by an inner turmoil that he
never fully resolved, that he would step out of his car and offer to
fight anyone who cut him up on the Vegas strip.

“It is only recently that I have realised how difficult life has been
for him,” he says. “Even my tennis career was tough on him. He watched
me play live on average once a year. I never knew when that time would
be. It might be in Palm Springs. It might be in LA. But he never
missed a single match on TV, wherever I was playing in the world. He
would record it and watch it 50 times. He lived and died with it.
Watching me lose, watching me suffer. He was suffering, too.

“What I can say for certain is that my dad was motivated for all the
right reasons. He was not acting out of betterment for himself; he was
acting out of love for me. Whether he was right or wrong, whether he
made good or bad judgment calls, I know he just wanted his boy to live
the American Dream. All that work, all that pressure, all that angst:
he was pushing me to have the success that was denied to him. And that
realisation goes a long way.”

Today, they are reconciled. They have a relationship that works, at
least in away that they can both live with. Agassi would love to
shower his father with gifts, but he has to be conscious of his dad’s
pride. “To say this man has lifeforce is an understatement,” he says.
“He worked until he was 80. He just kept going. He only accepts gifts
from me today if he is convinced they aren’t costing me much. He
wouldn’t accept a thing if he felt it was a sacrifice for me.”

Today, Agassi lives in a small community a few miles from the Vegas
strip and divides his time between his family and his charitable
foundation. The school that bears his name – he donated a reported $35
million (about £23 million) to create it – has segued into a new
business venture with a social conscience, funding Charter schools
across the United States. He is busy, but has found a balance, both in
his professional life and the personal relationships that matter most.

Perhaps the deepest irony about the fragile rapport he has found with
his father is that it was most imperilled by the book that lifted the
lid on their relationship. When Agassi brought out his tell-all
autobiography in 2010, he was terrified that his father would take
offence. “I called him up before publication and said, ‘Dad, you
haven’t read the book. You haven’t even let me talk to you about the
book. Can I at least walk you through how I have portrayed you, so you
are clear about why I did it?’ “He just said: ‘I am 80 years old. Why
would I give a s*** about what people think about me? I know what I
did and why I did it. And I would do the same all over again.’ I sort
of smiled because that was my dad all over: strong, proud, never
prepared to admit a weakness.

“But then he suddenly said: ‘Actually, there is one thing I would do
different.’ “I had to pull over to the side of the road. I couldn’t
believe he was going to admit a mistake. ‘What would you have done
different, dad?’ I asked. He said: ‘I wouldn’t let you play tennis.
You would be playing baseball or golf if I had my time over. You would
have made a lot more money.’ ” ? Andre Agassi gave this interview as
part of the launch of his BILT by Agassi and Reyes fitness range,
which is available at selected David Lloyd Leisure clubs. More
information at BILT like father like son Sir Alex
Ferguson and Darren Ferguson Darren banned his dad from watching
Peterborough United play while he was in his second spell in charge at
London Road. He claimed that, despite all his father had achieved in
the game, he was a jinx, but Sir Alex saw Darren’s Peterborough win
1-0 against Rochdale in August 2014 and the curse was lifted.

Peter Coe and Lord Coe Peter famously told his son: “You ran like an
idiot,” and chastised him publicly after the 800 metres final of the
1980 Moscow Olympics, where Coe ran badly and lost to Steve Ovett, his
close rival. Peter was Seb’s coach and although his methods were
controversial he clearly got the best out of his son, who understood
his father’s precise nature in their pursuit of excellence.

Floyd Mayweather Sr and Floyd Mayweather Jr Mayweather Sr taught his
son how to throw punches at a young age, but never expected his son to
be throwing them at him. Their relationship has had its ups and downs
since 1993, when Mayweather Sr was jailed for drug trafficking. Over
the past 20 years Mayweather Jr has fired his dad as his coach,
evicted him from a home that he owned and repossessed a car he was
driving.

‘What I can say is that my dad was motivated for all the right reasons’

From: Baghdasarian

http://dl-f.it/

Three Detained On Suspicion Of Murdering Another Serviceman

THREE DETAINED ON SUSPICION OF MURDERING ANOTHER SERVICEMAN

14:46 | March 2,2015 | Official

Three persons have been detained in connection with the death of
soldier Albert Safaryan, Armenia’s Investigative Committee reports.

Subaltern Arayik Sukiasyan, soldier Gevorg Ghazaryan and junior
sergeant Mihran Hovakimyan were detained within the framework of
a criminal case launched by the Chief Investigation Department of
Armenia’s Investigative Committee.

They are suspected of committing crimes under Article 359 (Part 1 and
2) of the Armenian Criminal Code (breach of relations, prescribed by
field manuals, between servicemen not subordinated to each other,
expressed in humiliation of the person’s honor and self-esteem,
persecution or violence) and Article 358.1 (Battery or other violent
actions against the commander related to the performance of his
military duties).

Albert E Safaryan, 19, was fatally wounded on his combat duty post on
February 27. Armenia’s Investigative Service has instituted a criminal
proceeding into the incident based on the provisions prescribed by
Article 110 (1) of the Criminal Code (causing somebody to commit
suicide).

From: Baghdasarian

http://en.a1plus.am/1207056.html

Forum In France Commemorates Sumgait Pogrom

FORUM IN FRANCE COMMEMORATES SUMGAIT POGROM

By MassisPost
Updated: March 2, 2015

ALFORTVILLE, FRANCE – The Social Democrat Hunchakian Party’s Nazarbek
Youth Movement hosted a forum on Feb. 27 at the Hunchakian Armenian
Youth Center in Alfortville, France, to commemorate the Sumgait
pogrom, which took place on Feb 27 – 29 prior to the Artsakh war of
independence in 1988.

The forum began with a moment of silence, initiated by Nazarbek Youth
Movement member and moderator of the evening, Mr. Sevag Sarikaya. In
his opening remarks, Mr. Sarikaya, expressed that the Sumgait pogrom
awoke the dark memory of the Armenian genocide amongst Armenians
throughout the world.

The program began with the screening of the documentary “Soumgait,
un crime impuni,” a documentary on the Sumgait pogrom perpetrated
by the authorities of Azerbaijan against the Armenian minority of
the country, in the context of the fall of the Soviet Union. The
documentary showed the horrors of the pogrom, and the entailing start
of a war for the independence of the Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Following the documentary, the keynote speaker Mr. Hovannes Guevorkian,
Representative of the Republic of Nagorno-Karabagh to France, presented
the day to day social situation in the former Soviet Republic of
Azerbaijan before and after the massacres. Mr. Guevorkian also
read excerpt testimonials from former French Minister of Foreign
and European Affairs Bernard Kouchner’s “La Tragedie de Soumgait,”
confirming the fact the massacres were intentional and methodical.

During the question and answer session of the forum, Mr. Guevorkian
addressed the stagnation and slow progress of the peace process which
is in the best interest of the Aliyev authoritarian government and
his family; the dangers of conflict along the border; the number of
victims due to the recent escalation of the conflict by the Azeri
side; and the economic growth in spite of the conflict within the
Nagorno-Karabakh Republic.

At the end of event, SDHP France Executive Committee Chairman Mr.

Kevork Satchlian reminded the audience of the OSCE Minsk Group’s
mission and the importance of reinstating the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic
to the negotiating table as a full participant.

From: Baghdasarian

http://massispost.com/2015/03/forum-in-france-commemorates-sumgait-pogrom/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZzGAceY0DDE

Les Arméniens manifestent devant l’Ambassade d’Azerbaïdjan à Buenos

ARMENIENS-ARGENTINE
Les Arméniens manifestent devant l’Ambassade d’Azerbaïdjan à Buenos
Aires pour protester contre les massacres de Soumgaït, Bakou et
Kirovabad

La communauté arménienne d’Argentine a organisé hier une manifestation
devant l’Ambassade d’Azerbaïdjan à Buenos Aires afin de protester
contre les massacres d’Arméniens à Soumgaït, Bakou et Kirovabad
organisés entre 1988 et 1990 par les autorités azéries. Les Arméniens
désiraient également informer l’opinion publique d’Argentine sur la
politique anti-arménienne, agressive et raciste de l’Azerbaïdjan ainsi
que les agissements des diplomates azéris à Buenos Aires. Ari
Asadourian, l’un des membres du mouvement de la Jeunesse arménienne
qui avait pris part à la manifestation a affirmé
From: Baghdasarian

Russia And Region: Moscow Floats Ideas On Ensuring Railroad Link Wit

RUSSIA AND REGION: MOSCOW FLOATS IDEAS ON ENSURING RAILROAD LINK WITH ARMENIA VIA GEORGIA

ANALYSIS | 02.03.15 | 10:09

By NAIRA HAYRUMYAN

ArmeniaNow correspondent

Some Russian media in recent days and weeks have been publishing
analytical forecasts regarding how Russia, by introducing troops
into Georgia, will try to establish a direct link with Armenia. In
particular, this is what an article that recently appeared in Lenta.ru,
a web portal standing close to the Kremlin, says. Many believe this
article is a sort of “probe” to test the situation.

The article notes that Russia could take advantage of the problems
of ethnic minorities in Georgia, in particular, Ossetians and the
Kabardian peoples to send troops for their “protection” as Russian
citizens (many of them have received Russian passports) and open a
land route to Armenia. Many residents of Georgia’s Armenian-populated
region of Javakheti also have Russian passports.

Several factors show that such a scenario is quit real. Firstly,
Russia has the experience of “protecting its citizens” in the Crimea,
Abkhazia, South Ossetia and in Donbass, and Georgia is not the
most powerful opponent for Russia. Secondly, the current Georgian
leadership, which is controlled by ex-prime minister, leader of the
Georgian Dream party Bidzina Ivanishvili from behind the scenes, is
openly called proteges of Moscow. Despite the fact that the Georgian
leadership still cannot overcome the powerful pro-Western public
opinion, it is obvious that at the right time it may open the way
for Russia in Georgia.

Last week saw another meeting at the level of deputy ministers of
Georgia and Russia in Prague. Zurab Abashidze, who represents Georgia,
said after the meeting that Georgia is ready for improving relations
with Russia if the border between the two states is controlled by
a Swiss company. (The agreement on this was signed in 2009, when
Georgia agreed to Russia’s entry into the World Trade Organization).

However, the Russian representative, Grigoriy Karasin, said that
discussed was the issue of opening the Abkhazian railway. The Georgian
Foreign Ministry denied this information, however, the events in
Georgia itself indicated that this was likely true.

Georgia is going to privatize and sell a 25-percent stake in the
railway, and as the most likely buyer it calls Russia. The Russian
company, Rosneft, recently bought a majority stake of the port of
Poti and there are no obstacles to buying the railway, in particular,
its Abkhazian section.

In Georgia, this turn of events may cause a new political turmoil,
because the opening of the road with Abkhazia will require Tbilisi’s
rejection of rights to its former regions. In particular, there
are already talks about the probability of early elections and
that Ivanishvili’s party may be removed from power. The question is
whether Ivanishvili will manage to make the deal with Russia before
the elections.

In Armenia, the opening of the Abkhazian railway from a purely economic
point of view is seen as a positive development – it will provide a
cheap and safe way to Russia. However, from the political point of view
the opening of the railroad will mark the return of Georgia, and with
it of the entire South Caucasus, to the borders of the Russian Empire.

From: Baghdasarian

http://armenianow.com/commentary/analysis/61051/armenia_russia_caucasus_troops_georgia