Armenian PM Says GDP Decline Could Range From 9.5%-20% In 2009

ARMENIAN PM SAYS GDP DECLINE COULD RANGE FROM 9.5%-20% IN 2009

Interfax
July 7 2009
Russia

Armenian Prime Minister Tigran Sarkisian has said there are three
scenarios for the country’s economic development in 2009 under which
GDP could decline by 9.5%, 16% or 20%.

Speaking at a conference on Tuesday, he said economic results are
expected to worsen in coming months.

"The country’s GDP will continue to contract in the coming months.

We only expect results to start improving at the end of the year," he
said, adding that the budget for 2010 envisions a 1% increase in GDP.

The Armenian economy declined 15.7% in January-May 2009. The Armenian
Central Bank in May predicted GDP would decline 5.8% in 2009, while
Central Bank Deputy Chairman Vache Gabrielian said in early June that
the economy could contract 7%-8%. The International Monetary Fund
lowered its forecast for the GDP decline in Armenia in 2009 to 9.5%
from 5%.
From: Baghdasarian

Russian Ambassador Completing His Mission In Armenia

RUSSIAN AMBASSADOR COMPLETING HIS MISSION IN ARMENIA

armradio.am
10.07.2009 17:55

Speaker of the National Assembly of Armenia Hovik Abrahamyan received
the outgoing Ambassador of Russia to Armenia, Nikolay Pavlov.

During the conversation the Armenian Parliament Speaker expressed
gratitude to Ambassador Pavlov for close cooperation. Hovik Abrahamyan
hailed the Ambassador’s activity and stressed that Armenia had always
attached great importance to close allied relations with Russia.

The Armenian Parliament Speaker expressed hope that the
Armenian-Russian relations would continue developing in cultural,
political, cultural and other spheres for the benefit of the two
friendly peoples.

The parties appreciated the close contacts and cooperation between
the parliaments of Armenia and Russia.

At the end of the meeting Hovik Abrahamyan wished success to Ambassador
Pavlov in his future endeavors and expressed hope that he would stay
a friend of Armenia even after completing his mission in our country.
From: Baghdasarian

Breaking News: Senate Panel Approves $30 million for Armenia;

Armenian National Committee of America
1711 N Street, NW
Washington, DC 20036
Tel. (202) 775-1918
Fax. (202) 775-5648
[email protected]
Internet

PRESS RELEASE

For Immediate Release
July 9, 2009
Contact: Elizabeth S. Chouldjian
Tel: (202) 775-1918

BREAKING NEWS: SENATE PANEL APPROVES $30 MILLION FOR ARMENIA; $22
MILLION FOR AZERBAIJAN

WASHINGTON, DC – The Senate Appropriations Committee today approved
President Obama’s proposed fiscal year (FY) 2010 foreign assistance
levels of $30 million for Armenia and $22 million for Azerbaijan,
as part of a $48.7 billion foreign aid package. Complete
information on economic and military assistance to the Caucasus
region to follow.

The Senate panel’s vote comes in sharp contrast to House
Appropriations Committee approved allocations of $48 million for
Armenia. The full House is scheduled to vote on the FY2010 foreign
aid bill by Friday, July 10th.

Following full Senate and House consideration of the measures, a
conference committee will convene to work out differences between
the two bills.

In an April 3, 2009 letter sent to foreign aid appropriators,
members of the Armenian Caucus, co-chaired by Representatives Frank
Pallone (D-NJ) and Mark Kirk (R-IL), called for strengthening
Section 907, allocating $70 million in economic aid to Armenia, $5
million in assistance to Armenia’s military, $10 million in
development aid to Nagorno Karabagh, and the removal of official
barriers to U.S.-Nagorno Karabagh contacts and communications.

#####
From: Baghdasarian

www.anca.org

Top International Musicians In City Recital

TOP INTERNATIONAL MUSICIANS IN CITY RECITAL

Press and Journal
spx/1299830?UserKey=
09/07/2009

Virtuoso performance is latest in series of lunchtime concerts

MELODIOUS LUNCH: Ani Batikian and Ayako Kanazawa delight their
audience. Picture by David Whittaker-Smith More Pictures INVERNESS
Town House was once more the venue for a top-class lunchtime
recital yesterday. Dozens of people listened to the performance
by prize-winning Armenian violinist Ani Batikian, accompanied by
Japanese pianist Ayako Kanazawa. The duo performed a programme made
up of pieces by Oliver Messiaen, Beethoven and Brahms. The concerts
are part of a series promoted by Inverness Arts Forum and are held
during the day so city-centre workers can attend on their lunch break.

Other concerts planned include Beauly harpist Hannah Phillips who
will perform the premiere of The Poet’s Return, which commemorates
the visit to Inverness by Robert Burns in 1787, on September 2,
and Russian pianist Arten Akopyan plays on January 20, next year.

The forum also promotes a series of evening concerts, which begins with
a piano recital by Perth-based musician Alasdair Beatson on September
16, followed by a performance from the Anglo-Swedish Kungsbacka Piano
Trio, on October 14.
From: Baghdasarian

http://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/Article.a

Should We Worry About Sami Gemayel?

SHOULD WE WORRY ABOUT SAMI GEMAYEL?

Michael Young

Daily Star
Thursday, July 09, 2009
Lebanon

It’s the kind of person that Amine Gemayel is that he had two sons,
one who channeled his father, the other channeling his brother. In
other words, one son, the regretted Pierre, sensitive to the rules
of coexistence with Muslims, as was his namesake Pierre Gemayel;
and the other son, Sami, who seems impatient with those rules, like
his uncle Bashir, his priority above all being the Christians, their
unity and power, who has allocated only an anteroom for Muslims in
his impetuous reflections.

Sami Gemayel often appears to prefer his Christian adversaries to his
non-Christian allies. No sooner had he won a seat in the Metn, than he
congratulated the Armenian supporters of the Tashnag Party for their
exemplary unity – a unity all Christians would do well to learn from,
he added. Last week, Gemayel drove north to meet with Sleiman Franjieh,
the Marada leader, another step in bringing the Christians, and the
Maronites in particular, closer together. All this, it seems, is a way
of ensuring that "no one steps on the Christians anymore," as Gemayel
fervently declared in a hometown rally after his election victory.

I admit to having voted for Gemayel, but without conviction, primarily
to guarantee that Michel Aoun’s candidates would lose. However, the
joke was on us. In essence Gemayel is little different than Aoun and
his followers. All embody the return to a rural Maronite insularism
very different than the composite ideology that made modern Lebanon –
an ideology of the mountain and of the city, to paraphrase the late
historian Albert Hourani. As Hourani explained, modern Lebanon is
the fruit of tough, independent rural insularism, mainly associated
with the mountain communities, softened by the openness of the urban
communities. These characteristics have endured, so that even during
the civil war this valuable amalgam was never really threatened.

Much has changed. An alarming number of Maronites today appear to have
lost any sense of the collective nature of the Lebanese state. The
Aounists, Sami Gemayel, Nadim Gemayel, even Sleiman Franjieh, have
shown an inability to come to grips with the sectarian contract of
1943, the National Pact, and its successor, the Taif Accord. Taif is
the real culprit to them, documentary proof of Christian decline –
a decline they have all received with bitterness, even if their
responses have differed.

For the Aounists, Taif handed Maronite power to the Sunnis, hence
their effort to reverse this by allying themselves with another rural
community, the Shiites, to regain what was lost. For people like Sami
Gemayel, the solution lies in greater Christian unanimity against
the outside, which when you peel away the layers is really just a
strategy bound to enhance Christian isolation. For Franjieh and not
a few Aounists, the way out is through an alliance of minorities,
with the Alawites in Syria and the Shiites in Lebanon, against the
Sunni majority in the Middle East. Each of these notions is foolish
in itself, an avenue toward communal suicide, and all have one thing
in common: antagonism toward the Sunni community.

There is no small amount of historical irony, and hypocrisy, here. For
decades the Maronites took pride in saying that they were the true
defenders of "Lebanon first." Now that the Sunnis have adopted the
slogan as their own, too many Maronites have reacted as if this were a
threat to the Lebanese entity because Sunnis are extensions of an Arab
majority. Ultimately, the message this sends is that the Maronites
only defended a "Lebanon first" option when the Lebanon in question
was one they dominated. Now that the community feels it is losing
ground, the preference is for Christians to envelope themselves in
a tight defensive shell.

When Sami Gemayel speaks about the Christians "being stepped upon,"
what does he mean? This is the language of demagoguery, and in
some respects of war. Who has stepped on the Christians? Judging by
Gemayel’s actions and statements, the simple answer is "the Muslims"
whoever that may be. Yet being stepped upon is a very different concept
than accepting the reality of Christian numerical regression. It
is very different than grasping that Taif, the hated Taif, hands
Christians representation well beyond their real numbers. When
one feels stepped upon, the world looks like the bottom of a shoe,
and it becomes very difficult to follow a sensible path away from
one’s resentments.

Sami Gemayel may seem easy to dismiss, but one should be careful. He
is a true believer and has adopted the mindset of Bashir Gemayel,
which may bring on powerful approval if Christian frustrations
rise further. There are differences: Bashir saw the finality of his
actions in the context of the Lebanese state; Sami is alienated from
the state. However, both see strength in unity, a concept that some
of us regard with trepidation. Unity can be shorthand for imposed
uniformity, and such an aspiration sidesteps that the wealth of the
Christians lies in their pluralism. True believers are infused with
hubris; they dislike variety, dissent, and feel they have a superior
sense of what is best for their followers. They are also hardnosed
about things, believing that their higher goals justify difficult
compromises. That is why Sami Gemayel was able to meet with Sleiman
Franjieh, the ally of his own brother’s assassins.

Where are the Muslims in all this? The only antidote against
Christian irrelevance is to develop a new relationship with
Muslims, all Muslims, to define together a more consensual Lebanese
polity. For that to happen, Christians must indeed unite around
a common reading of their role in Lebanon, one that is positive,
that advocates neither isolation nor perennial aversion toward
their non-Christian partners. Such negative reflexes may seem to
be a consequence of Christian reaffirmation; in fact, they only
confirm Christian marginalization. Resentment, bitterness, isolation,
hostility, communal self-absorption are qualities of a community mired
in mediocrity, with no sense of the constructive long-term impact it
might have on its environment.

It would be unfair to blame all this on a young Sami Gemayel. But in
many ways he seems far more credible an embodiment of the Christians’
future than the opportunistic politicians around Michel Aoun. He
believes and the Christians want to believe, which is why we should
watch him closely.
From: Baghdasarian

Reorganising Russia-US Relations

REORGANISING RUSSIA-US RELATIONS

Stabroek News
Thursday, July 09, 2009

By Stabroek staff | July 8, 2009 in Editorial After a virtual
diplomatic interregnum, born of increasing suspicion and a hardening of
perceptions of evolving Russian domestic and international relations
by the George Bush administration, the change of administration in
the United States has brought a resumption of talks with President
Obama’s visit to Moscow. The assumption of the presidency by Mr Putin
after the retirement of President Yeltsin had given George Bush hope
that the general instability of policy-making under an obviously
declining Yeltsin, would allow an opportunity to establish a new basis
for relations in the post-Soviet Russian state. Indeed Bush publicly
announced after his first visit with Putin that he felt certain that
he could "do business" with the new Russian leader. But relations
began to freeze after about two years with both sides attributing
this result to each other’s actions. The United States had first
taken pleasure, in the aftermath of the demise of the Soviet Union, in
Yeltsin’s swift privatization of the Russian economy, the development
of opportunities for widespread capitalist investment in the country,
and the creation of a substantial national investor and capitalist
class there. But the other side of this policy, as time went on,
was a disruption of the traditional Soviet-type economy, widespread
unemployment as companies shed labour once protected by the state, and
a major decline in the generous social provisioning which the socialist
system had provided for its working and middle classes. The result
was much social deprivation and social disruption as the shake-out
continued. On assuming office, President Putin saw as his first task
the staunching of this potential collapse of the Russian economic and
social system, while continuing the liberalization of the economy. But
he also began, after he had established himself politically, to
rebalance the economy as between its state and private sectors,
paying particular attention to the development of influence in the
country’s decision-making processes, by a new set of private-sector
economic czars, achieving dominance over the banking and oil sectors
in particular. The arrest of one of the new capitalist sector’s major
actors, Khodorkovsky, was the signal of his determination to ensure
that they did not attain dominating influence in the Russian state’s
decision-making, and in the evolution of competitive party relations in
the liberalized political order. His initiatives in this direction led
to the first realization, in Western circles, particularly the United
States, that the Russian political order would not be evolving along
orthodox Western lines of multi-party completion, as was seeming to
be the case of the former socialist countries in Eastern and Central
Europe. American criticism of the emerging dominance of Mr Putin’s
own political party now irritated President Putin, leading to a strain
in the normalization process that Bush had hoped to initiate.

Almost simultaneously, President Putin began to take umbrage at the
speed with which the Western powers were proceeding to incorporate
the East-Central European states into their camp, and particularly
the rapid drawing into the European Union, of those countries. When it
appeared that it was the intention of the West to seek to incorporate
countries like the Ukraine and Georgia – countries often referred to
as the pre-Soviet Russia’s "near abroad" – into their camp, Putin’s
political mood began to change. It is well to remember, in that regard,
that many of the Soviet leaders were not native Russians, but came
from the near abroad – Stalin himself from Georgia, Krushchev from
the Ukraine, Mikoyan from Armenia and Shevarnadze from Georgia.

As the United States sought to establish military bases in the former
Soviet Asian republics, and then missile systems (ostensibly aimed
at Iran) in Poland and the Czech Republic, President Putin became
more and more reserved about normalizing relations. He now tended
to hold to the view that there had been an implicit promise from
the West after the demise of the USSR, that there would not be undue
interference in what now Russia continued to consider its own sphere
of influence. The attempt to draw many of these countries into NATO,
Russia considered a serious aggravation. In return, Putin’s response
was to stop negotiations with the West on the reduction of strategic
nuclear weapons – a strategy which, it was originally hoped, would
inhibit nuclear proliferation by other states gaining competence
in the development of nuclear technology. Worsening this situation
in recent years was what has appeared to the NATO powers to be an
attempt by Putin not to accept the alternation of political elites in
Russia as is characteristic of liberal systems. In Western circles his
exchange of offices with then Premier Medvedev, who assumed the office
of President, has not been seen as genuine. And In some measure, new
President Obama has inherited this concern, as indicated in his not
so subtle attempt to differentiate between the political characters
of Putin and Medvedev on the eve of his departure for Russia. But the
world has changed, and both Russia and the United States under Obama
recognize this. The rise of ‘third powers’ like China, but also India,
in Asia, the dramatic shift of the pace of economic development in
that part of the world, and the insistence by these countries that
the old Cold War duopoly of power now has no basis for existence,
has moved both Russia and the United States to come to terms with
each other, in spite of differences about the nature of the state and
of international relations. Russia recognizes that particularly in
Asia and the Far East, deference to herself is no longer akin to the
old deference to the Soviet Union of the Cold War era. Similarly, the
United States recognizes, as it seeks to come to terms with political
relations in Asia, the Middle East and the areas of the ‘Great Game’
including Afghanistan and Iran, that it can no longer hope to assert
the control that it has become accustomed to, and needs the assistance
of Russia to achieve a degree of so-called stabilization of the area.

Putin now appears to link United States’ objectives in Asia and the
Far East to the achievement of a more balanced relationship between
Russia and the United States in the area which General De Gaulle once
used to refer to as "Europe from the Atlantic to the Urals." And no
doubt there will be discussion on the implications of its perspective
on this matter, as the Russians continue to assert, whether under Putin
or Medvedev, that there is a certain illegitimacy about NATO’s attempt
to encroach on its near abroad, including the previous Soviet-Asian
Republics, and on countries which, it assumed after 1990, would form
a kind of neutral belt between Russia itself and traditional Western
Europe. The rapid pulling under Western influence of Latvia, Estonia
and Lithuania certainly surprised and humbled Russia, and has made
it wary of further Western initiatives in Europe.

Nonetheless, there appears to be a sense of mutual recognition that
the globalization of economic relations is having its effect on the
nature of political interaction among all countries, including those,
like both the United States and the old USSR, which previously felt
that they could maintain a certain political and economic autarky, and
a degree of inhibition of external influences on their policy making.

Russia, under its dual Putin-Medvedev leadership, recognizing the
need to reconstruct the outmoded Soviet-type economy for effective
competition not only with its old American competitor, but with the
emerging economic powers of China and what used to be called the Third
World, also recognizes the need for widespread economic engagement in
the global economy. And on the other hand, the United States surely
recognizes, as its complex interdependence with the Chinese economy
proceeds apace, that Chinese objectives do not permit the one-sided
dominance of global economic and geopolitical relations of the recent
past; and that it needs the assistance of other states, including
Russia in coping with China’s global assertiveness. For Japan can
no longer to be seen as a dependable singular bulwark in Asia and
the Far East. All these concerns, and including new ones relating to
energy and environmental issues (climate change), will certainly have
been the objects of deliberation in this week’s Russia-United States
talks – the talks taking the form of preludes to the re-arrangement of
Russia-US relations that President Obama has committed his country to,
as part of his wider commitment to a new global engagement
From: Baghdasarian

Football: Mahlangu Set For Debut

MAHLANGU SET FOR DEBUT

Kickoff
2009-07-07 13:15

South African youngster May Mahlangu could make his Helsingborgs debut
in the Swedish club’s UEFA Europa League qualifier against Armenian
outfit MIKA on Thursday.

The Swedes lead 3-1 from the first leg, but with star striker Henrik
Larssen set to miss the match through illness, Mahlangu could win
a spot on the bench and coach Bo Nilsson is thinking about throwing
him on for the final 30 minutes should they be comfortably ahead in
the tie.

"He is improving all the time and I firmly believe he will develop
into a very good player for us," Nilsson said. "I believe a lot in him,
he just needs experience."

Mahlangu scored one goal and set up two others for the club’s Under-21
side last week as they defeated AFF 5-0; this after the 20-year-old
had won plenty of praise while on loan at third-tier club IFK Hasleholm
in the first half of the year.

Mahlangu is a product of Farouk Kahn’s Stars of Africa Academy,
having also had a spell in the Swedish third division with Osters IF.
From: Baghdasarian

Tigran Sargsyan: Budget 2009 Will Be Executed Despite Difficulties

TIGRAN SARGSYAN: BUDGET 2009 WILL BE EXECUTED DESPITE DIFFICULTIES
Lena Badeyan

"Radiolur"
07.07.2009 15:13

A two day international conference on the "Influence of the global
crisis on Armenia: short-term and long-term prospects" kicked off in
Yerevan today. The participants discuss the short-term and long-term
perspectives that will allow Armenia to overcome the crisis. In
attendance was RA Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan. He assured that
budget 2009 would be executed despite the difficulties due to loans
from international organizations.

The Government does not intend to reduce the expenditure part of the
budget, which makes 940 billion.

The Government takes steps to resist the influence of the global
crisis.

First of all, the perspectives of Armenia’s economy under the crisis
have been assessed. "We should have at least three scenarios at hand.

According to the first scenario, we’ll have a 9.5% fall. The second
predicts a 16% fall, the third one envisages a 20% decline."

This means that the budget deficit will be unprecedented. It will
be at least twice as large as that of the past years. According to
Tigran Sargsian, the main financial sources to cover the deficit of
the state budget are the loan means of the Asian Development Bank
(USD 70mln) and the World Bank (USD 60mln).

Besides those means, the government intends to spend for those
purposes 24bln=2 0AMD from the means of the Russian stabilization
loan, as well as 24bln AMD at the expense of internal funding, Tigran
Sargsian stated.

The Prime Minister informed that the largest investment for state
budget deficit redemption will be the means of the International
Monetary Fund (IMF) at the volume of USD 150mln.
From: Baghdasarian

Armenian Virtual College Will Unite Diaspora Armenians On The Net

ARMENIAN VIRTUAL COLLEGE WILL UNITE DIASPORA ARMENIANS ON THE NET

AZG Armenian Daily
04/07/2009

Diaspora

The Armenian Virtual College is the newest learning institute of
the Armenian General Benevolent Union (AGBU) – one that will carry
on its lifelong dedication to Armenian education with an entirely
innovative approach. Through online education, the AVC’s focus is
helping learners acquire basic knowledge in Armenian studies. It
offers several certificate programs and credit-bearing courses in
Armenian education at the college level. Certificates and credits that
you can earn from home, at work, or while you travel. AVC monitors,
evaluates, and modifies its programs, policies, and procedures to meet
the evolving needs of its student population. The AVC is currently
comprised of three departments – Language, History, and Culture –
each of which offers several courses in varying skill levels. In
order to truly accomplish the institute’s aim to widen the reach of
Armenian education worldwide, the program is been made available
in six languages: Armenian (Eastern & Western), English, Russian,
French and Spanish.

Through the use of both synchronous and asynchronous communications,
AVC allows students to learn new material at their own pace, but also
to confer face-to-face with their virtual teachers and classmates. In
addition to weekly lessons, students will have access to multimedia
study tools, assignments, quizzes, course calendars, syllabi, drop
boxes, and grade books. Moreover, discussion forums, email, and live
chat options will provide students with the opportunities to better
connect with their classmates and to forge friendships with fellow
students from across the globe.
From: Baghdasarian

Georgia Puts Restrictions On Entry Of Armenian Citizens

GEORGIA PUTS RESTRICTIONS ON ENTRY OF ARMENIAN CITIZENS

/PanARMENIAN.Net/
02.07.2009 13:28 GMT+04:00

/PanARMENIAN.Net/ The passenger flow of the South Caucasus Railways
has increased by 30 – 40% during the period from January to June 2009
as compared to last year’s index, said Samvel Galechyan, chief of
directorate of passenger traffic of the South Caucasus Railways JCSC.

This year 12 200 passengers were transported by Yerevan-Batumi route in
2007 and 8 600 passengers in 2008. Galechyan informed that this year
children can be transported with a passport only. At that he warned
that those passengers who have Adler, Avtodorozhnaya and Yuzhnaya
stations sealed as destination in their passports, they will not be
allowed in Georgia. He said parents are not obliged to buy tickets for
children under 5. Tickets are sold at a discount for children from
5 to 10 years old. The whole price of the ticket should be paid for
children over 10. Yerevan-Batumi route will be operated on Mondays,
Wednesdays and Fridays. The train will start at 9.40 pm and will
reach destination at 4 pm the next day. Galechyan also noted that
the Georgian side have imposed some restrictions on the products to
be transported. The list of products banned for transportation will
be posted in each carriage.
From: Baghdasarian