Al-Monitor
Aug 16 2014
Aleppo’s Christians in Syrian crossfire
August 15, 2014
Aleppo’s forgotten Christians
While the dire situation of Iraq’s Yazidis provoked US military
intervention against the Islamic State (IS) and non-stop media
coverage, Aleppo’s Christians fear they are the war’s forgotten
victims.
As Syrian government forces prepare for what may be a decisive battle
against armed groups in Aleppo, Edward Dark reports that for Aleppo’s
Christians, “fear of a new kind permeates this ancient and deeply
rooted community. Genocide and ethnic cleansing are very real threats
that haunt the collective conscience of Syria’s Christians. The
terrible fate that befell their co-religionists across the border in
Mosul has driven these points home in a rather blunt and frightening
way.”
Most Christians in Syria have attempted to remain neutral in the
three-year civil war, yet they find that, regardless of their
political affiliations, they remain targets:
“Not all Christians in Aleppo support the regime; in fact, a large
number of them do not, but equally significant is that you won’t find
any that support the rebels, either. The recent repeated rebel
shelling of the Syriac Catholic Church, a large and iconic building in
the heart of the old Christian community at Azizeh, is seen by many as
a clear message by the rebels, revealing their true intent toward
their community.”
The plight of Syria’s Christians is a human rights crisis of historic
proportions.
The State Department’s International Religious Freedom Report for
2013, released last month, notes: “In Syria, as in much of the Middle
East, the Christian presence is becoming a shadow of its former self.
After three years of civil war, hundreds of thousands fled the country
desperate to escape the ongoing violence perpetrated by the government
and extremist groups alike. In the city of Homs the number of
Christians dwindled to as few as 1,000 from approximately 160,000
prior to the conflict.”
Meanwhile, for many of Aleppo’s residents, electricity has become a
“luxury,” reports Mohammed al-Khatieb:
“The situation in Aleppo is complicated as the province is divided
between the regime, the rebels and the Islamic State (IS), with each
party controlling part of the electrical grid. Aleppo’s main source of
electricity used to be the thermal power plant in the eastern
countryside, which has been out of service since June 2013 due to
malfunctions caused by the battles raging around it. The plant is
currently under the control of IS.
“Aleppo receives electricity through the Zorba line, which is an
alternative line coming from the central region. Both the regime and
the rebels control parts of it. Thus, any outage practiced by any
party against the other will be treated with reciprocity, i.e., an
electricity outage for all of Aleppo.”
Iran brokers Iraq transition
Ali Hashem reports this week on Iran’s role in brokering the deal that
led to the appointment of Haider al-Abadi as prime minister-designate,
replacing Nouri al-Maliki.
According to Hashem, Iran Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
decided to back Abadi after learning of Iraqi Grand Ayatollah Ali
Sistani’s rejection of Maliki staying on as prime minister.
Ali Mamouri reported earlier this month on the tension between Maliki
and Sistani prior to Abadi’s appointment.
Hashem reports that the Ali Shamkhani, the secretary of the Supreme
National Security Council in Iran, appears to be taking charge of the
Iraq file:
“In Tehran, the murmurs that Shamkhani will oversee the Iraq file have
gotten louder. This is an indication that Iran is about to adopt a new
policy, given Shamkhani’s historic relations with the Gulf countries
and Iraq, his wide experience in dealing politically with regional
conflicts and his closeness to Khamenei, all without ignoring the fact
that he’s an Iranian of Arab origins.”
In an interview with Al-Monitor in April 2013, Abadi said that the
dispute between Baghdad and the Kurdistan Region could lead to the
“disintegration of the country” if not handled properly. Abadi also
warned that terrorist groups in Syria were targeting Iraq, and that
“it would be a shame that we should allow al-Qaeda to regroup.”
The challenge of IS to the next Iraqi government is complicated by a
deterioration in Arab-Kurdish relations in towns bordering the
Kurdistan Region.
Wladimir van Wilgenburg reports this week from Gwer, Iraq, which is 18
miles outside the main checkpoint leading to Erbil, the capital of the
Kurdistan Region, that the rapid advance of IS in Iraq has frayed
relations between Arab and Kurdish residents:
“Many Kurds now worry that Arabs will form sleeper cells in Kurdish
cities after the Islamic State’s major attacks against Kurdish towns
in early August. Reports suggested that many displaced Sunni Arabs
sympathized with IS militants, with some sympathizers arrested by the
Asayish, the Kurdish security police.”
Arsal’s shaky settlement
Although Lebanese forces have reclaimed Arsal after negotiating a
withdrawal by Islamist militants, the settlement brokered by Muslim
clerics may offer only a temporary reprieve.
Jean Aziz writes that the “agreement was made on the basis of two
implicit considerations: The fighters have withdrawn to an unsafe
area, but are betting on being able to launch other pro-IS revolts
inside Lebanese territory or in a neighboring state, once again
allowing them to disturb Lebanon’s affairs. They make this gamble
knowing that their continued possession of 39 Lebanese soldiers gives
them breathing space. For their part, the Lebanese authorities
accepted this agreement, wagering that the scales would tip against IS
in the regional battle against that group, which is taking place from
northwestern Iraq to Syria and the hillsides of Arsal.
“In addition, the Lebanese authorities themselves trust that Hezbollah
fighters will continue to advance in the hillsides east of Arsal and
besiege the fighters in their new positions. The end of summer and the
arrival of the deadly frost in the hills, some of which reach 2,500
meters (8,202 feet) above sea level, will aid Hezbollah in their
siege.”
Esperance Ghanem writes that one of the causes of these clashes is the
Syrian refugee camps established in Lebanon:
“Remarkably, from a geographic viewpoint, the largest number of
refugee centers are located in areas sympathetic to the Syrian
opposition, among them Arsal, which formed an environment that
facilitated their movement and provided them with services and
protection. According to security sources, this reality on the ground
encouraged a considerable number of Syrians to seek refuge in Lebanon
when wounded in fighting inside Syria. It also engendered an amenable
environment for some to commit crimes such as kidnapping, robbery and
drug trafficking for monetary gains, culminating in their involvement
in car bombing attacks and murder.”
Netanyahu no ‘King Bibi’
Ben Caspit rejected Obama’s assertion in an Aug. 8 interview with
Thomas Friedman of the New York Times that Israeli Prime Minister
Benjamin Netanyahu is politically strong in Israel as a result of the
Gaza war. Instead, Caspit argues “that Netanyahu is the weakest prime
minister in Israel’s history. Never before have we had a weaker
premier.”
Netanyahu is facing challenges from within his own coalition, so
Caspit rules out polls showing solid support during the Gaza conflict.
The verdict will come after. Caspit does not share Obama’s analysis of
Netanyahu’s staying power.
“Will Netanyahu be unseated in the coming months? Although this is
hard to believe, it is nevertheless possible. Does he have a
significant rival right now to vie for the premiership? Probably not.
But as was explained earlier, this does not mean that he is strong.
Netanyahu is a weak, petrified and a listless leader,” writes Caspit.
Lobby series
On Aug. 17, Al-Monitor’s series on Middle Eastern countries’ lobbying
efforts will continue with the release of profiles for Bahrain, Qatar,
Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
From: A. Papazian
http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/08/aleppo-christians-iran-iraq-arsal-netanyahu-gulf-states.html