On June 14, officials of the United States, Iran, and Pakistan acting as a mediator confirmed the achievement of an agreement between Washington and Tehran. It is planned to be signed in Geneva on June 19. As noted in Tehran, in the 60-day period after the signing of the memorandum, the parties will discuss, among other issues, Tehran’s nuclear program, and from June 15, the end of the naval blockade of Iran by the US is announced, as well as the immediate and permanent cessation of military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon.

After that, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi announced, that the new round of negotiations between the USA and Iran regarding the lifting of sanctions and the settlement of the conflict over the Iranian nuclear program will begin on Friday, after the signing of the memorandum of understanding in Geneva.

Associate Professor of YSU International Relations and Diplomacy Chair, international scholar Grigor Balasanyan speaking about the Iran-USA negotiations and the planned signing of the agreement, he mentioned that the agreement may not be signed on June 19.

“Yesterday, Israel again violated the clause of the declaration, which was signed between Iran and the USA, and hit Lebanon, although it was stated that Israel should withdraw the troops, but the latter declared that the troops will remain. In other words, at this moment the situation is already a wall for Trump, if he was able to break Netanyahu’s resistance by June 19, then it will be signed, if not, it will not be signed.” 168.amGrigor Balasanyan said in a conversation with

Regarding the impact of these processes on the South Caucasus, Grigor Balasanyan said, Iran shows that if the state, the people are fighting for their independence, territorial integrity, sovereignty, then it is not important who is in front of them, what is important is that they stand by that state and support it, if the struggle is fair.

“Iran showed a classic example of all this, that it is possible to fight even against a nuclear superpower and the number one power, such as the United States. Iran showed that if the Middle East should not have Iran, then who needs such a Middle East, and began to turn to ashes all the allies that the United States had in the Persian Gulf. This should also be a clear signal for the states of the South Caucasus, if Iran attacks Oman, which has friendly ties with it, then the states of the South Caucasus cannot avoid Iran’s anger, so to speak, if God forbid, decisions will be made against it,” added our interlocutor.

As for TRIPP, the international expert noted that it is exclusively an economic project, and the trilateral agreement between the United States of Armenia and Azerbaijan is essentially an agreement between Armenia and the United States on the territory of Armenia, and Azerbaijan has no obligations.

“In that agreement it was clearly stated that the parties do not have any legal obligations towards each other, this is a direct transaction between three states, but for some reason, only one state is obligated. It is not understood how Azerbaijan will participate in TRIPP, for example, which part of the road will Azerbaijan cross and where will it exit after Goris.

I am far from thinking that God forbid, if any military action takes place, then Trump or TRIP can stop those actions. The United States could not even protect the construction of one copper smelter in Yeraskh from the Azerbaijani shootings. This means that Trump has no intention to delve into any problem and create an additional problem for himself in the South Caucasus. The Middle East is enough for Trump, where it is still not clear how it will be,” stressed Grigor Balasanyan.

He also reminded that during the 44-day war in Artsakh in 2020, Trump was the US president and did not stop the war, he only announced that he knows Armenians and that they are good people. Therefore, to hope that the leader of a superpower can stop a possible war in the South Caucasus is from the genre of a fairy tale. Each state must think about its own security, and the steps of that state must be thought out.

Let’s remind that the United States and Israel attacked Iran on the morning of February 28. Iran, in turn, retaliated against American military bases in the Middle East. Weeks later, at the beginning of April, the US president agreed to stop attacks against Iran for two weeks, and Tehran announced that it would start negotiations with the US in Islamabad on the 10 points proposed by it.

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