June: 8, 2026
Political scientist Vazgen Hovhannisyan in my opinion, the change in the foreign political vector of any country takes place when there is a potential for it, at the moment, RA foreign policy does not have a clear strategic logic, and this means at least a policy aimed at neutralizing Armenia’s external threats.
“We know that external threats come from Turkey and Azerbaijan. For example, when Aliyev says something, he clearly turns it into politics, his goal is that he wants to lead the statehood of Armenia to its dismantling.
Aliyev talks about the implementation of the “Western Azerbaijan” narrative, that is, he put forward this discourse, a paradigm. He adopts clear resolutions, tries to “probe” the Armenian environment, make it a subject of discussion, and then move from a clear action plan to its implementation.” of 168.am Vazgen Hovhannisyan mentioned in a conversation with
According to the political scientist, Aliyev is talking about the “corridor”, what the TRIPP government will call is another question, but Aliyev had the ideological basis of this “corridor” for which he fought. In other words, this means uninterrupted entry and exit through the sovereign territory of the Republic of Armenia.
“We see that these foreign political dangers exist, but steps aimed at neutralization by the Armenian side are not being implemented,” he emphasized.
Regarding the statements regarding the diversification of foreign policy, Vazgen Hovhannisyan said that for diversification, first of all, you need to have a power resource, but, unfortunately, Armenia does not have that resource.
“What is happening today is not a diversification of foreign policy, but a magic of foreign policy, the price of which will be paid by the Armenian people.
Ensuring the interest of any state is the possible increase in the dose of force and the neutralization of the threat, that is, the behavioral model of the state is conditioned by the fact that it will neutralize the threats and, if possible, increase the dose of force. In the anarchic environment of international relations, you are thus able to ensure the vitality of your state.
If we take this model I mentioned and apply it to the behavior of our state, we will see that we are not a rational actor, that is, our actions are not aimed at neutralizing threats. How can you give a corridor to your opponent and consider it a neutralization of the threat? Not firing at the border does not mean that the threat has been neutralized, this is a negative “peace”, which enables the enemy to gradually implement the plans he has planned,” our interlocutor emphasized.
Continuing the thought, the political scientist also added that states are exclusively guided by their interests in international relations. If at this moment the interests of the states coincide, and they have not even signed an agreement, and if it is in their interests, then the security risks will be immediately neutralized. There may be legal documents, but if it is not in the interests of the countries, they will not neutralize the threat with these documents.
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