The situation of Nikol Pashinyan and the Political Agreement is sad in the upcoming elections. Nikol Pashinyan’s state of mind shows that he knows the real picture of the elections and the possibility of his defeat. 168 TVof Revue expressed such a view on the air of the program Colonel of the reserve forces of the RA Armed Forces, military expert Hayk Nahapetyanthetalking about the pre-election campaign for the National Assembly elections.

“The state of Pashinyan and the Political Agreement is sad, and the best indicator of this is the state of mind of a person. When a person has problems, his behavior shows his inner state of mind, tensions, outbursts. Do you want to understand, look at Pashinyan’s state of mind in the last 7-8 days? This is not the Pashinyan who used to go by bus with his friends, which he had no right to do, met people with love, showed hearts.

It is true that there were some harsh words, but he was so patient, he accepted what people said with love, and now when you say the word Artsakh, it explodes, when you say about losses, you immediately say insulting words. This is his state of mind, and this state of mind is also transmitted to his teammates,” commented Hayk Nahapetyan.

According to the expert, Nikol Pashinyan’s unbalanced behavior and mental state during the last two weeks of the campaign is a very important indicator. According to the expert, during the last week, Pashinyan often loses his self-control, which speaks about his inner state of mind. According to Hayk Nahapetyan, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s visit to Yerevan is due to this very circumstance.

“I assume that Pashinyan most likely knows about the real numbers and the probability of his defeat. According to different estimates, in Yerevan and in marzes, in rural areas, the number of his rating drop is double-digit. This is an indicator in itself. This means that Pashinyan may not get even 400,000 votes. Pashinyan surely knows about the decline,” Nahapetyan thinks.

Citing the data of various sociological surveys, Nahapetyan predicts that if about one and a half million citizens participate in the NA elections, the percentage of Pashinyan’s fixed electorate in the total number of voters who participated in the voting will be quite low.

According to Hayk Nahapetyan, this means that if, according to opinion polls, the percentage of the votes of the three main opposition forces, “Strong Armenia”, “Armenia” bloc, and the PAP is greater than that of the CP, then the repetition of the Gyumri elections becomes the most undesirable scenario for the current government.

According to Hayk Nahapetyan, if Pashinyan does not manage to raise his rating in the coming days, then the structures and states standing behind him will switch to “Plan B”, so to speak.

“Pre-election activity is quite high today, and Pashinyan knows it too, it is not like the 2021 National Assembly elections or Yerevan Council of Elders elections, according to various estimates, 60-65 percent, maybe even 70 percent, and in this case his defeat is 100 percent.

I assume that he knows about it, and if his rating does not rise sharply after the visit of the US Secretary of State and the May 28 parade, then those institutions and countries that are interested in the restoration of Nikol Pashinyan’s power will go to the second plan or “Plan B”, and the second plan, in my opinion, is the Moldovan scenario, that is, to remove one or two political opposition forces from the elections under various pretexts, with in which, let me say that the authorities are already preparing the political ground to do this.”

The expert adds that it refers, in particular, to Samvel Karapetyan’s “Strong Armenia” bloc and Gagik Tsarukyan’s PAP and the information campaign started against them.

“In Moldova, two opposition forces were not allowed to participate in the elections. If, a few days before the elections, they estimated that Pashinyan would not win, and these three forces that are entering the parliament, their votes will be 5, 6, 7 percent more in terms of money, and that is a significant difference, in that case they will try to leave one or two forces out of the fight.

Even if it is not possible to remove them, or it could lead to internal political upheavals, there is a third scenario: an emergency due to internal political tensions or clashes and shootings on the border. I think no one doubts that Pashinyan is the desired candidate of Aliyev and Erdogan,” Hayk Nahapetyan added.

In this situation, the military expert emphasizes that the fate of Armenia depends on the citizens of Armenia and every voter. According to Nahapetyan, the future of his child depends on every RA citizen.

«I identify June 7 with the battle of Sardarapat in 1918. Ultimately, if the Armenian side lost to the elite Turkish units in the Sardarapat battle, Armenia would no longer exist. I parallel June 7 with May 28, 1918, because the Turkish army, on the instructions of the political leadership of Turkey, had to completely de-Armenianize this area, which was to be completely occupied, and after that it is understandable, isn’t it, what threatened Armenia.

However, we were able to achieve that victory, because the one who did not go to battle was considered a deserter. Now June 7 is equal to May 28 in its significance, because by and large, the Turkic world, represented by Turkey, Azerbaijan and their patron states, have set the task of removing the Armenian wedge from “Great Turan”.

Hayk Nahapetyan also adds that in his opinion, based on the possible results of the war against Iran, the Trump administration is afraid that it may lose TRIPP in Armenia, that is why the US Secretary of State is rushing to Yerevan to sign a document on TRIPP.

According to the military expert, the important thing is to understand the seriousness of the moment and the goal of the ambitious plans of our two neighbors. According to a military expert, June 7 is a new Sardarapat, because the Turkic world, in the form of Turkey, Azerbaijan and their patron states, have set the task of removing the Armenian wedge from the British-Turkish project “Great Turan”, that is, eliminating Armenia geographically. And if the Armenian wedge is removed, we will lose statehood. According to Nahapetyan, we are the ones removing Pashinyan from power, and it is the voice of the citizens of Armenia that will decide the direction of Armenia’s development on June 7.

According to the expert, the danger hangs over Armenia like a sword of Damocles.

“Now the Turkic world continues the same work, the tools are different. The goal of the Turkic world and the British-Turkish project is to push us out of this region, so if the authorities of the day are re-established on June 7, they will implement the plan of the Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem and their patron states. I am against it. The overwhelming majority is against it. The problem is that, being against, to what extent do we show the will to go to the polling station?

Don’t we say take arms, go to battle, but all we need is civil responsibility. If we understand this, there will definitely be motivation to go to the elections on June 7. When we emphasize and understand the extent of the danger, it can directly or indirectly force a person to go to the polling station on June 7.”

Let’s remind that according to the Central Electoral Commission, 2 489 031 (2 million 489 thousand 31) citizens of the Republic of Armenia have the right to vote in the National Assembly elections.

Full interview in the video.

—