The cessation of the month-long war against Iran in the Middle East did not mark the end of the crisis, but its transition to a qualitatively new phase of diplomatic confrontation.

Despite the powerful military arsenal used by Washington and Tel Aviv and the extremely difficult situation created for Tehran, according to experts, the Islamic Republic showed higher resistance than expected. Iran’s containment mechanisms allowed to avoid undermining the foundations of statehood, which ultimately forced the opponents to stop and cease fire. However, the end of the active phase of the war does not mean peace. the lack of a stable agreement leaves the region in the realm of “neither war nor peace” where the next steps are determined by the agreements of the global centers.

In this context, the discussion of the ongoing processes around Iran has moved to the global platform, where the negotiations between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping define the new global conjuncture. Negotiations with Putin are also expected. An in-depth analysis of the negotiations shows that we are dealing with the manifestation of a new type of multipolar world order, where the superpowers limit the independence of regional players. The dynamics of global developments, according to leading analysts, will henceforth proceed in the realm of a tough US-China balance, where regional conflicts are not resolved, but “managed” based on the global interests of the superpowers. According to estimates, Iran preserved its sovereignty, but found itself between Washington’s sanctions and Beijing’s political patronage.

168.amIn a conversation with , Iranian analyst Khayal Muazzin said that despite the difficulties, Iran continues to maintain its position on the “stage” of global politics, and for Armenia, in his opinion, the fact of resisting Iran’s strikes and maintaining the balance of power is of fundamental importance.

According to him, the stability of Tehran allowed to prevent the complete collapse of the regional system, which would immediately affect the situation in Armenia.

According to his assessment, the fact that Iran did not lose is a deterrent factor for many players who could take advantage of Tehran’s weakening and were waiting for that milestone.

“In this sense, Iran’s strategic confrontation gives Armenia an opportunity to strengthen its own positions. However, as long as the situation around Iran remains suspended, but not resolved, large international logistics projects, in my opinion, will operate in a limited mode, because usually logistics works well in good relations.

Yerevan deepens cooperation with the West, which is not welcomed by Russia and Iran, but at the same time, Yerevan, as well as many other players, cannot ignore the contours of the US-China major agreements, which affect the regions, the global economy and other vital issues,” said Khayal Muazin.

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