If indeed the two-week ceasefire negotiated between the US and Iran tonight is preserved, then Iran will benefit the most from it, not only increasing the range of negotiating parties, but also increasing the price of the resumption of armed operations for the US and Israel.

And the negotiation logic has already changed in favor of Iran. The Strait of Hormuz opens with Iran’s permission. Something that didn’t exist before the war.

Wars are not about advanced weapons, they are about the systems that operate those weapons and the will and resistance of the elites willing to operate them. Iran has demonstrated this brilliantly in the last 1.5 months.

Turkologist Varuzhan Geghamyan

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