168.amis the interlocutor of Iranian political analyst Ehsan Mohavedian.

– The last few hours were quite dramatic in international relations. Against the backdrop of Trump’s threats, Pakistan started mediation efforts between Iran and the US, as a result of which the parties declared a ceasefire for two weeks. Iran announced that it was opening the Strait of Hormuz, and the United States announced that it was considering the ten points offered by Iran as a basis for negotiations. Both sides present what happened as a victory. Such sharp turns in international relations are not a manifestation of good will, but the result of either the balance of power or mutual fear. In the end, which side fell: Washington, due to the economic consequences of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and a major regional war, or Tehran, due to the possible unpredictable and harsh blows of the Trump administration?

– Without a doubt, it is the United States that fears Iran. Trump has acknowledged the fact that Iran has emerged as the world’s fourth superpower. Trump proposed a 15-point program to Iran. Iran rejected it and instead presented its own 10-point plan, and he accepted it. Because he was afraid of the damage caused by the war in America, the increase in gasoline prices, the hundreds of American casualties, the failure of the plot to invade Iran and the inability to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. He’s a professional idiot because he’s now trying to solve a crisis that didn’t even exist before the war: the closing of the Strait of Hormuz, rising oil prices, and global shortages of helium, fertilizers, petrochemicals, and steel.

All the experts and analysts in the American and Israeli media admit the victory of Iran and the defeat of Israel and the United States. The list of these wins and losses is as follows.

America’s defeats in the war against Iran.

• A waste of more than $40 billion of American taxpayer dollars.
• Hundreds of Americans killed and wounded,
• Doubling of oil prices,
• Destruction of American bases in the region,
• The petrodollar is dead.
• Europe has fallen out of line with global trends and has become hostile to America.
• NATO has weakened
• Israel and the US are at loggerheads and mistrust, and Zionists feel humiliated and isolated.

Iran’s victories.

• Iran’s 400 kg of uranium has been preserved.
• Sanctions will be lifted.
• Iran will collect tribute from the Strait of Hormuz and has new financing for reconstruction.
• Iran’s allies have been preserved and strengthened.
• The Islamic Republic has been strengthened by new, resilient and rational leaders.
• The Arab allies of the US and Israel have suffered serious losses.
• Iran’s missile program will be maintained and strengthened.
• Trump, who talked about the destruction of Iranian civilization, has been humiliated, discredited and broken, repeatedly changing his positions and accepting the 10-point demands.

In short, Iran has become the world’s fourth rising power. This is the “Art of the Deal” of the incompetent and ignorant Trump.

– What actually happened, what did Washington and Tehran agree on, and to what extent will this ceasefire turn into lasting stability?

– The 10 demands accepted by Iran are:

• A complete cessation of all aggression against Iran and allied resistance groups, especially Hezbollah in Lebanon.
• Withdrawal of US combat forces from the region, prohibition of any attack against Iran from military bases.
• For a period of two weeks, a limited daily passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz is established, according to the protocol of safe movement, which is subject to special monitoring and regulation carried out by Iran.
• The lifting of all primary, secondary and UN sanctions, as well as the release of Iranian assets and property.
• Compensation for the damages suffered by Iran through the creation of an investment and financial fund.
• Iran’s commitment not to build nuclear weapons.
• Acceptance of Iran’s right to enrichment by the US and negotiations on the level of enrichment.
• Iran’s agreement to negotiate bilateral and multilateral peace agreements with regional countries in accordance with its own interests.
• Extending the principle of non-aggression to all aggressors against all resistance groups.
• Termination of all resolutions of the Council of Governors and Security Council, and confirmation of all commitments by an official UN resolution.

Considering the advantage it has in the region, Iran will not back down from its terms. It is the United States that is facing problems and constraints with the World Cup, congressional elections, rising gasoline prices, the threat of impeachment against Trump, and the failure to achieve all of his goals against Iran. In this war, Iran used only 30% of the power of its “missile cities”, and the Iranian people supported the Islamic Republic throughout the war, with millions of street demonstrations. The United States and Israel will pay a high price if they violate the ceasefire. But if they respect it, Iran will also respect it. The choice is theirs.

– As you mentioned, the United States accepted the 10 points presented by Iran. In recent weeks, the media have been constantly reporting on Iranian preconditions and proposals. Do you think these last 10 points are revised versions of previous proposals and what are the “red lines” of Iran that are included in these proposals?

– In the presented 10-point program, all “red lines” of Iran were respected. The United States and Israel wanted to destroy Iran or at least change the regime so that Iran’s behavior would change. However, not only those goals did not come true, but Iran stands firm and strong today. A significant part of Iran’s missile and drone potential remains unused. The Iranian people, unlike the depressed and defeated peoples of the USA and Israel, are ready to continue the struggle.

Iran’s enriched uranium is still inside the country. Arab countries and Israel were hit hard and weakened. The forces of resistance have strengthened. The petrodollar has weakened and the United States has no choice but to withdraw from the Middle East and accept Iranian hegemony.

– According to you, there is no concession on the part of Tehran in this process?

– Iran has not made any concessions to the United States. On the contrary, the United States accepted everything that Iran demanded. The United States sought to destroy Iran’s nuclear, missile, and drone capabilities, force Iran into complete capitulation, annihilate Iranian civilization, destroy Iran’s entire infrastructure, and bring about regime change in Iran and its allies. However, none of them happened, and Trump was embarrassed and humiliated. China and Russia will undoubtedly take advantage of this situation in the future. Iran has dealt a heavy blow to the United States and Israel, and America’s decline has accelerated.

– How was the position of the South Caucasus considered in Iran during this war, is it about Azerbaijan or, in particular, Armenia? In your opinion, will the war, the policy of the RA authorities during the war affect the Armenian-Iranian agenda in any way?

– During this war, Baku supported Israel, and many Israeli and American drones entered Iran from the territory of Azerbaijan. Of course, Aliyev expressed sympathy for Iran on the surface, but in practice he hoped for Israel’s success. After Iran’s power and resilience became apparent, Aliyev and the pro-government media changed their hostile tone toward Iran, and Azerbaijani public opinion also began to support Iran. This made it very difficult for Aliyev to carry out malicious actions against Iran. At the same time, everyone in Iran is aware of Aliyev’s true intentions and the Azeri population of Iran about his interest in splitting the regions. The attack on Iran’s military facilities in Bandar Anzali and the attack on Parsabad on the Iran-Azerbaijani border are other questionable incidents that Baku needs to explain.

The good and dear people of Armenia, as well as some political parties of that country, showed great and strong support to Iran, and we in Iran will never forget that support. Although the Armenian government did not condemn the American crimes and only expressed regret, it did provide some assistance to Iran and, fortunately, bilateral trade was not seriously damaged.

However, there was an expectation in Iran that the Armenian government would come out with a clearer position and condemn the brutal aggression of the United States and Israel. If Armenia seeks stable relations with Iran, it must understand that after the last war, Iran will not tolerate the increase of Israeli presence in neighboring countries, nor the American efforts to create the “Trump Route” and the fake “Zangezur Corridor”. “Trump’s route” does not bring any economic benefit to Armenia. it will only surround the country with enemy states and endanger the Iran-Armenia border. Iran is committed to maintaining these borders and countering any attempts to weaken its geopolitical and corridor position, and expects the Armenian government to understand this important issue and strengthen bilateral relations, as in the past, by investing in joint corridor and economic projects.

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