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    Categories: News

Energy collapse and migration. Russia warns what will happen if it changes the game

April 3, 2026

After the Putin-Pashinyan meeting, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexei Overchuk’s statement that Armenia is very close to the point when Russia will have to rebuild its economic relations with it caused a great resonance in various circles.

Head of the “Armenia is me” political initiative, t:optician Nairi Sargsyan 168amin a conversation with, he mentioned that although similar statements have been made by the Russian side for a long time, the situation has worsened recently.

In this context, Nairi Sargsyan reminds about Armenia’s economic dependence on Russia. “Energy dependence on Russia. Nuclear power plants and thermal power plants are about 72%, the price of gas, which if sold to Europe is 600 euros, to Armenia – 170, if fuel is sold to other countries at a much higher price, it is sold to Armenia at the tariff of Russia’s domestic consumption, with quota sales, about 70 percent of remittances come from Russia, different figures are given for those who went to work abroad.

The Russian Federation continues to be the number 1 partner of Armenia’s export market or trade turnover of Armenia. trade turnover is around 40%.

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Under such conditions, if Russia goes to warn Armenia, then Armenia will feel all its harmful consequences. Every citizen of Armenia will feel it.”

To clarify how anti-Russian is real in the case of these indicators? Is it possible, it is only at the level of announcements, the specialist responded. “It is not excluded, because the Nikol Pashinyan-Vladimir Putin meeting a few days ago was very interesting for me. usually, the meetings of the leaders of the superpowers are not direct meetings, they are meetings with pre-planned agendas, approved, probable answers or predetermined expectations. In this case, this meeting still raised many questions for me.

But we see the side that is still visible. what was said behind the scenes is the most important for deep analysis and understanding.

Referring to the prospect of the warning from Russia and the specific possible consequences, Nairi Sargsyan elaborated:

“For example, the price of gas, I’m not saying it’s at the level of European prices, but if it only doubles, the heating costs of each family will double in the form of direct costs. Then comes the indirect costs. only the increase in the price of gas and the stoppage or increase in the price of the supply of electricity raw materials will lead to the collapse of the heating system in general, energy collapse, which will lead to the collapse of Armenia’s already weak industry, starting from the production of bread and pasta, to the production of cans and clothes, the main consumption market of which is still Russia.

In such conditions, poverty, energy crisis, unemployment will be followed by emigration, which will open a direct way for Azerbaijanis to settle in Armenia.”

Emma Jilavian:
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