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A great war is brewing. Russia spoke at Putin’s level. Hrant Melik

April 3, 2026

The people are tired of Nikol Pashinyan. he is “driven” everywhere, he is sure Political scientist Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan, head of “Oskanapat” analytical centerh.

168 TVof Revue on the air of the program, Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan spoke about the current political developments and the situation surrounding Armenia, noting that the opposition forces should act more actively and start a real fight against Pashinyan’s government before the National Assembly elections in June.

“The people are ready and they give these messages all the time. The case of the same young woman from Artsakh, we saw the public response, because there was a fighting girl who asserted her position and put pressure on Nikol Pashinyan, and the people stood up, there was such a big wave that Nikol had to apologize in the evening.

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The same applies to the incident of these two young men. If a student movement was formed, there was an attempt to start a struggle in the street, I am more than sure that if some political force initiated such a thing, at least 5000 people would have gathered in the square, but no one took the initiative. With this logic, how can we expect Nikol Pashinyan to lose the elections? I am not saying that there is no such possibility.

If there is a fight like I said, let’s enter that stage, there is that possibility. The people are tired of Pashinyan, the people already reject him, don’t like him, maybe even hate him. large masses of the people hate him, drive him away from everywhere,” Melik-Shahnazaryan thinks.

According to the political scientist, the presence of such a leader in Armenia in the period of current geopolitical “turbulence” and instability is beneficial to all centers of geopolitical power.

Melik-Shahnazaryan is not surprised by the fact that Nikol Pashinyan and his team began to manipulate threats of war during the pre-election period and to scare the people betrayed and defeated in the war with a new “disastrous war”, noting that in 2020 After the 44-day war and the occupation of Artsakh, the fear of war will remain for a long time among the Armenian public, but it also draws attention to the developments taking place around Armenia and, in particular, to Russia’s certain activation, geopolitical conflicts, the statements of Russian Deputy Prime Minister Overchuk after the April 1st meeting between Pashinyan and Putin, mentioning TRIPP and the ongoing war against Iran.

According to the prediction of the political scientist, a BIG WAR is coming in the region.

“Russian Deputy Prime Minister Overchuk said in an interview to TASS yesterday that by signing the so-called “Trump’s path” and leaving Russia out of the negotiation process altogether, you violated the security balance in the region formed by the Treaty of Turkmencha signed in 1828, and this is against the interests of both Russia and Iran. Russia, in fact, says that you are violating the security system that has been operating for more than two centuries, and they consider it a threat. And I assure you that especially if the United States and Israel do not solve their problems in Iran, and I am sure they will not, after the end of the war Iran’s behavior will be very different in our region, Russia’s behavior will also be very different in our region, and there is not even a smell of peace here, on the contrary, it smells of a huge conflict, which they will try to hide in some way for two months, until Nikol tries to be elected, and that’s it, but in reality it is a big war. is maturing, and Russia is already talking about that war at the highest level,” comments the political scientist.

When speaking about the transparent hints and statements made by Russia at the highest level, Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan means, of course, the previous day, on April 1, in the Kremlin. Putin-Pashinyan meeting and statements of the President of the Russian Federation in front of cameras.

According to Melik-Shahnazaryan, even Putin said that the security issues of the region are connected with the developments taking place around Artsakh.

Melik-Shahnazaryan notices that Nikol Pashinyan is doing everything so that the name of Artsakh is not mentioned anywhere, but he goes to Moscow, the Russian president actually raises the Karabakh issue. Who was more to blame for Karabakh and whether the same Russia had its share of guilt is, of course, the other side of the question.

“Pashinyan tried to say that you handed over Karabakh, now we have peace, etc., but look at the message Putin sends, the security of the region is connected with the developments around Artsakh.

It means that the Karabakh issue is relevant for Russia, by the way, it is also relevant for the United States, France and many other countries. There is one important thing that we all need to understand now. Nikol says: “If I’m not there, there will be a war”, Russia says: “If Nikol happened, there will be a war”, they say: “You violated the security system of the region, it must be fixed”, and now our people must understand if Nikol did not happen, there will be a war or not.

It is clear that Azerbaijan and Turkey are interested in war, because as long as Nikol is there, they get what they want without war. If there is no Nicole, it is possible that they will try to get it through war.

What can counterbalance the appetite or aspirations of Azerbaijan and Turkey, naturally, the retaliatory actions of Russia and Iran? What does “restoration of the security system” mean in the perception of Russia and Iran?

In my deep conviction, one thing: the weakening of the influence of the West and the weakening of the Turkish factor in the South Caucasus. In the case of the “peace” that Nikol said, the exact opposite is true: the maximum increase of Turkish-Azerbaijani influence, and whatever they want, they will do whatever it takes to ensure that this war does not happen,” Melik-Shahnazaryan analyzes.

This political scientist’s analysis leads to the central question of what choice the Armenian people will make in this situation: will they choose the “restoration of the balance of power” that Russia says, which according to our interlocutor, means the Armenian-inhabited Artsakh and the weakening of the Turkish factor in the South Caucasus, or will they choose the “peace” that Pashinyan said, which means submitting to and serving the Turkish-Azerbaijani interest in our region? The bad news is that, according to Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan, both are “war paths”.

According to the predictions of the head of the “Oskanapat” analytical center, if Nikol Pashinyan is re-elected and after the end of the Iran-Israel-USA war, Russia and Iran will try to reduce the influence of TRIPP and Turkey and will do it through the conflict, and if the opposition wins in Armenia, Armenia will be in the same alliance with Russia and Iran against Turkey, Azerbaijan and the West.

Full interview in the video.




Liana Toganian:
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