The ongoing military operations around Iran and its possible escalation are a direct threat to the South Caucasus, as well as to Armenia. The intelligence services of the USA and Israel probably did not calculate that a blitzkrieg war would not be possible, and in fact, it has been a month since the war, tens of billions of dollars have been spent on both sides. The Iranian side was prepared for this scenario of development, and they tried to replace each neutralized political or military figure with another one. 168TVof « expressed such an opinion during the program Gor Gevorgyan, former deputy of RA NA, orientalist.

“The war is a direct threat to all regional projects. If the situation around Iran becomes more complicated, then, for example, the launch of TRIPP will be questioned. It would be very good if TRIPP became a geopolitical factor for Armenia, but it is primarily considered as an economic factor according to the shares. If the USA is the initiator of TRIPP and thereby ensures partial stability and peace, then this can be questioned at some point,” said the expert.

“In the recently declassified US intelligence document, for example, there is no provision that Armenia will benefit from the security component guaranteed by the US within the framework of TRIP. Conventional and short-term peace and stability should not be presented as cheap dopamine. It is not worth telling a section of our society, which is misled on various issues, that this is a lasting and lasting peace.

This is the biggest deception in the sense that only those regions and countries around which there is no potential source of conflict stand out for the duration of peace, such as, for example, individual countries of continental Europe,” said Gor Gevorgyan.

According to the public figure, any state, especially in our explosive region, should make it imperative to unite the people around an ideological pillar and increase military capabilities. “Our area is the South Caucasus, the Greater Middle East, where you cannot approach developments from a romantic and dreamy point of view.

History has shown that even the permanence of peace in the Arab countries of the Gulf is not guaranteed, and even the presence of the military bases of the state that gave them a security guarantee did not allow them to avoid these strikes. Psychologically, we should be ready for developments that are not desirable for us. The scope of the war is increasing, so the challenges will also increase.”

“Unfortunately, force, as a superior tool and formula, finds much more place in international relations after the 44-day war in Artsakh. And if the power factor becomes the engine of international law, a chaotic situation is created. Small states can always escape if there are poles of power around which you can shape your foreign political agenda, your security formula and environment,” said Gor Gevorgyan.

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