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All the calculations of the USA have failed, the war with Iran will affect the weight of the USA

March: 24, 2026

Backing away from his ultimatum to destroy Iran’s energy infrastructure, US President Donald Trump announces that negotiations are underway with Iran, and negotiations are planned. Hours ago, US President Donald Trump announced that the United States had conducted active negotiations with Iran, and both sides had reached “important points of agreement”.

Trump announced that the negotiations held on Sunday will continue.

“We had very, very productive negotiations. We will see what they will lead to. I would say that we agreed on many important points, almost all of them. “We will probably hold negotiations over the phone today,” he said.

Trump added that the talks are being led by his special envoy for the Middle East, Steve Wittkoff, and his son-in-law, Jared Kushner. He did not name the person in Iran with whom the US negotiated, but said that a high-ranking, respected leader was involved. Trump stated that the United States did not receive any information from Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei.

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He said that he does not know whether Khamenei is alive or not, and added that he does not want him to be killed.

The American leader claims that Iran has agreed not to create nuclear weapons and is ready for a peaceful settlement. “Now Iran has another chance to end its threats against America and its allies, and we hope they will take advantage of it,” he said, adding that if successful, “America and the whole world will become much safer.”

Trump also noted that the United States seeks the withdrawal of nuclear materials from Iran and considers that the negotiations are proceeding “almost perfectly”.

In his assessment, the implementation of the agreements “will essentially end this conflict”.

In addition, the US president considered possible serious political changes inside Iran. According to him, a “very serious change of regime” may take place in the country, the creation of a “joint leadership” with the participation of an unknown Iranian leader is also not excluded. At the same time, some officials in Tehran continue to deny the fact of the negotiations, which, according to Trump, may be due to the fact that the information “has not reached everyone”.

According to Axios data, Pakistan, Egypt and Turkey act as mediators. Direct and indirect contacts with Washington are denied in Tehran. According to Israeli sources, Iran’s contact with the American side is maintained by the Speaker of the Parliament, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. The Jerusalem Post, referring to its sources, reports that Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, is participating in the negotiations with the US from Iran’s side. Axios journalist Barak Ravid also writes about this, referring to the Israeli official.

He wrote in X that the special envoy of the US president, Steve Wittkoff, and the son-in-law of the American leader, Jared Kushner, communicated with Ghalibaf. Ghalibaf’s participation in the negotiations is also confirmed by the Israeli Ynet, at the same time noting that the process is mainly conducted through mediators, and it is not clear whether the speaker of the Iranian Parliament maintains direct contact with the Americans. Ghalibaf himself denies this.

He called the news about negotiations with the USA “fake news”, the purpose of which is to manipulate the financial and oil markets.

“The Iranian people demand full and severe punishment of the aggressors,” he wrote in X.

The spokesman of the Iranian Foreign Ministry denied that negotiations had taken place with the United States, just after the President of the United States, Donald Trump, announced that the parties had found “important points of agreement” in the last few days. The state news agency IRNA, citing the spokesman of the ministry, reports that in recent days, friendly countries have sent messages according to which the United States has asked to start negotiations to end the war, but Iran has not responded to that offer.

Parallel to all this, Tehran and Tel Aviv continue military strikes. On the 25th day of the war, Israel continued to attack the cities of Tehran, Tabriz, Spahan and Karzi, as well as the province of East Azerbaijan. There are victims, including children. Iran reported that Israel struck energy-related facilities in Isfahan and Khoramshahr regions. Iran, in its turn, hit both the capital Tel Aviv and the southern and central regions of Israel. According to Israeli media, there are injuries and destruction. Iran has also hit Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. According to Reuters, the operation of Amazon Web Services, a cloud services giant, was disrupted in Bahrain by a drone strike. The Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20 percent of the world’s consumed oil passes, is still closed.

Russian analyst Fyodor Lukyanov 168.amtold that the war of the USA and Israel against Iran has reached a milestone, when it is no longer clear to the initiators what should be done next, because this war is dragging on a lot.

According to him, Trump’s hope was the quick capitulation of Iran, which should have happened as a result of several strikes.

“That was the calculation and hope of the US, based on the belief that Iran does not have sufficient resources to resist, repulse, respond to its opponents, it does not have leverage. It was also a big miscalculation that by eliminating Iran’s leaders, Iran’s power pyramid would collapse. It turned out that this was a miscalculation. Iran’s real potential, levers, influence in the region were not fully appreciated, obviously Iran’s recent attacks on the energy infrastructure of the US allies in the region, together with the inflation of energy carriers and the closing of the Strait of Hormuz, became a serious problem for the US. However, Iran has often announced this,” Lukianov said.

He does not understand how such calculations could actually be the basis of such a serious decision, how Iran could be considered in the same way as, for example, Venezuela.

“In any case, a long war was not planned, so the delay of military operations violated all scenarios,” he said, continuing that Trump has found himself in a rather difficult situation and is trying to get out of it. found himself in a situation that he cannot control and which causes increasing problems for everyone else.

“Therefore, Trump is trying to present the negotiations as a victory, stating that they are going well when Iran denies them, the war continues, and the United States is trying to bring Iran to the negotiating table through mediation, trying to return the situation to a manageable field. In this whole situation, the world really felt the importance of the Strait of Hormuz in practice, this is the reason why Trump announces that he will also control the situation there, even though it is still closed by Iran. Obviously, although the situation is difficult for Iran as well, Iran will not negotiate easily,” Lukianov said.

In his opinion, how the American side will resolve the situation will determine the weight of the US on the world stage, as the real capabilities of the US are revealed.

“And it is decisive for all regions, including the South Caucasus, where the US has been strengthening recently,” he said.

Ani Basmajian:
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