“The war against Iran will continue for several weeks, the United States will try to find ways to turn the course of the war in favor of the United States and Israel, for which they should try to find an opportunity for a ground operation in the region.” 168.amexpressed a similar opinion in the conversation with Russian orientalist Viktor Nadein-Raevskyreferring to the global war against Iran unfolding in Armenia’s immediate neighborhood.

He believes that at this moment a difficult situation has arisen for the United States, because only the air force could not carry out a short-term operation and achieve the goals set before the United States, nor does extending the situation solve the problem of the United States by imposing US conditions on Iran.

According to him, the opposite is happening when Iran starts to hit the energy infrastructures in Israel, Qatar, UAE, closes the Strait of Hormuz, creating serious economic problems for the Trump administration, as well as accumulating both internal political dissatisfaction and external contradictions, particularly from Europe, which is the first to bear the consequences of this war and expensive energy carriers.

According to the analyst, maybe in the USA they will think about concentrating ground forces in the direction of Iran, but it is connected with too much resources due to the remoteness of the region.

“Also, according to some data, this war is very costly for the USA. Ahead of the pre-election campaign of the US President’s team, the course of such a war is very dangerous, because failures and miscalculations, spending millions of dollars only accumulate dissatisfaction within the country. But with all this, I don’t see a chance for Trump to back down, even though the statements sometimes give such an impression.

I am more inclined to think that he will try to use land opportunities to wage war against Iran, we are talking about the Kurds and the Azerbaijanis of Iran. However, here too, in my opinion, it will not succeed, because the Shia faith has a different system, in the current situation they mobilize differently, so hopes like the US will not be justified either. But it is certain that Iran’s opponents will try to involve as many countries as possible in all this, including Azerbaijan. We have already seen such an experience with the Nakhijevan incident. In other words, they will use all possible methods.

The fact that Israel is not inclined to negotiate with Iran and pushes the USA to the scenario of a long war, because it alone cannot face Iran for a long time, adds to all this tension,” he said.

The expert drew attention to the resignation and statements of the director of the US National Anti-Terrorism Center, Joseph Kent.

Nadein-Raevsky believes that many people in the United States understand that this is not the war of the United States and that only Israel needs this.

“Therefore, the USA seems to be in a trap, it is a rather complicated mosaic for the USA,” he said.

He expresses his surprise regarding the statements of US President Trump that the people of Iran should elect a leader who will have the approval of the US. “In the USA, they really think that Iran is Venezuela. In the US, they don’t know what Shia Islam is, what system the Islamic Republic of Iran lives in, and how leaders are elected, in this case, the supreme spiritual leader. Everything can be announced in this way, but they will never come true,” said Victor Nadein-Raevsky.

Speaking about the South Caucasus, he said that the main danger in the South Caucasus is that the USA and Israel will try or are trying to use the neighborhood, particularly Azerbaijan, in the war against Iran.

According to him, if something like this happens, it will be a dramatic event for the region.

“Why dramatic, because Iran regularly warns Azerbaijan?” And since the beginning of this war, the attacks on the American bases in the Persian Gulf and not only on the bases are worrying not only for the region, but also for the whole world. Therefore, the involvement of the South Caucasus in any way will expand the geography of the war, because Iran is determined and is fighting this war as the last war. Armenia, for its part, tries to maintain great neutrality, although, I think, Iran expects support from partner countries, but taking into account the recent relations between Armenia and the USA, I think it is naive to expect something like this,” said Victor Nadein-Raevsky.

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