From the beginning, Pashinyan’s administration refused any strategy, particularly related to Armenia’s national security. The working style of Pashinyan’s government is strategic incompetence. About this 168TVof Revue mentioned on the air of the program Member of the “HayaVote” national-civil unification department, former chairman of the Military Industry Committee (2018-2020) Avetik Kerobyanspeaking about the concept of the national security strategy of Armenia presented by “HayaVote” the previous day and the topic of threats to Armenia’s security.

Avetik Kerobyan reminds that the RA national security strategy document was last adopted in 2007, and in 2020, a few months before the 44-day war, the document with the same title, published by Nikol Pashinyan’s administration, did not receive legal status.

According to Kerobyan, “HayaVote” has adopted a set of national interests in its proposed concept of the national security strategy of the Republic of Armenia as the cornerstone of building a lasting security and a lasting Armenian state. By developing this strategy, as he stated during the presentation of the concept, they aim to “turn from food at the table into an eater, from a topic of conversation into a conversation leader”.

As Avetik Kerobyan comments, the concept mentions the increase in the probability of regional conflicts and the possibility of Armenia’s territory becoming the scene of these conflicts as an external threat.

In this context, speaking about the US-Israel-Iran military operations that have been going on for two weeks and the threats arising from them, the former head of the military-industrial complex of Armenia emphasized that we are dealing with a large-scale war.

“This is a real war. The United States and Israel have failed to achieve their primary goal of regime change, and quite the opposite has happened, with a new leader filled with a thirst for revenge and radicalized from the start coming to power. We are dealing with a government full of thirst for revenge, and judging by what is happening, it is a situation contrary to the goals of the United States and Israel, and parallel to this attack, a very strong internal consolidation is taking place in Iran,” the interlocutor notes.

According to Kerobyan, the Iran-US-Israel conflict is an element of a “great war”. He believes that the Iran-Israel conflict, Libya, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen, India-Pakistan, India-China, Russia-Ukraine and other well-known conflicts are enough to call all this a world war.

“Considering what is happening in the world with the participation of the United States, it is already a world war, which has not yet taken the form we used to call a world war, that is, large coalitions have not been formed and these coalitions are not clashing with each other, but its turn will come,” concludes the expert.

According to our interlocutor, China is very seriously preparing for a conflict with the United States.

Avetik Kerobyan sees clear dangers in the backdrop of the Iranian war. According to Kerobyan, the Turks are waiting for an opportune moment to cut off Syunik from Armenia. According to him, Turkey and Azerbaijan will most likely engage in a ground operation against Iran if the United States and Israel make such a demand to them.

“Turkey is playing a very skillful diplomatic game, as always, although it is clear that Turkey’s military infrastructure can be used at any time to escalate an attack against Iran, and I think that they will go to war against Iran if they calculate that they can digest it, that is, it will not cause them harm or harm that is not acceptable. There is a clear danger for us here. if the northern and western fronts were opened in the ground war against Iran, Turkey will most likely take the short border between Armenia and Iran under military control with the tacit or active consent of the USA, and this is fraught with irreversible consequences. Turks, as you know, consider that wherever a Turkish soldier steps, it is “Turkish land”.

And they are just waiting for a suitable opportunity to cut off Syunik from Armenia. We need to clearly understand these threats and clearly imagine what we need to face them. The most important thing is to understand our interest and have a government in the country that pursues that interest,” Avetik Kerobyan predicts and analyzes.

Full interview in the video.

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