ACNIS reView

Editorial

 

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MAY25 2018

 

 

 

In Armenia
An ambiguous situation, not foreseen by the Constitution, has been created: the parliament
the majority is the opposition, and the smallest faction is the government.
It is the consequence of the policy conducted by the RPA. Parliamentary majority
is not considered legitimate among the public, that is, the institution of elections
raped so much that she is treated as a prostitute,
as a result, the government was formed directly by the public
thanks to the intervention.

Created
the situation is not a constitutional crisis, but due to electoral fraud
the crisis of the discredited parliament, which brought about such an exotic existence.
As a result, the main topic of today’s public discourse in Armenia is that state 
are possible solutions. Two in particular are considered
possible option․

A/ Counter-revolution. National
the majority of the assembly, feeling that public to the existing government
confidence weakens, regains its position. That is, not being able to
pass the necessary bills, the government is forced to resign
gives, or a year later the majority of the National Assembly expresses no confidence
to the government.

B/ Rat race. RPA:
the faction collapses and the parliament becomes an executive body
manageable. A significant part of the RPA faction is businessmen and regional
authorities, pass under the control of the government. To them
the latter has two powerful tools to control: directly from the government
being addicted and the close attention of law enforcement agencies. RPA:
the political team becomes a minority in the National Assembly. 

Two possible
even in the case of scenarios, the created situation is not fully understood. either
Both “counter-revolutionaries” and “revolutionaries” are in the same trap
have one option: to submit to public demand. It’s one more
implement deep state reforms with joint efforts, which are not weak
let’s go back to the pre-revolutionary situation. Changes to the warranty
will happen so that both parties can continue to live in Armenia. And?
now let’s consider the probability of both scenarios one by one.

 

The revolution
it was not implemented for the sake of the “Civil Contract” party, but against it
of the system embodied by Serzh Sargsyan. The attitude of the people
towards the current government can be changed, but not towards the previous government
under no circumstances will it change, and a return to the old order and old faces will not be tolerated.
That is the core of popular agreement. And in that sense
The expectations of “counter-revolution” are in vain. Basic back to the old ways
the obstacle is neither Nikol Pashinyan nor the current government. That
it is the mass of young people who do not want to return to Old Armenia.

 

Similar
The “optimistic” approach is due to the “Republic” of the ANM in 1998.
with the precedent of the faction’s “land reservation” that took place within one day. Republicans are concerned about the possibility of the “rat race”, but one thing is simple
they don’t understand. the rat race will primarily be a blow not to them, but to
of the current government. In 1998, there was a coup and no government
there were no qualitative changes in the system or public consciousness. The “Runners” were traitors to their former teammates, and to the public
was indifferent to that phenomenon. In today’s case, the current government
he cannot tolerate that “gift” in his ranks, because he made a revolution
the public will not accept it. Are they in any position in the new management system?
they cannot be.

Both sides
are also condemned to fulfill the public demand to implement in the country
irreversible changes, which will not allow to return to the previous order and
to the relationship. The other scenarios are dangerous for both sides.