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Editorial

 

An ambiguous situation has arisen in Armenia,
unforeseen situation: the majority of parliament is the opposition, and the smallest
faction – power. This is a consequence of the RPA policy. The parliamentary majority is not
is considered legitimate by society, that is, the institution of elections is so
raped, that he is treated as a prostitute, and the government,
in fact, it was formed through direct public intervention.

The current situation is not a constitutional crisis, but
discredited parliamentary crisis due to election fraud, which
caused such an exotic situation. As a result, the main topic of public
the discourse of today’s Armenia is a possible solution to this situation. B
In particular, two possible options are being considered:

A / Counter-revolution. The majority of the National Assembly, feeling that public confidence in
the current government is weakening and regaining its position. Others
In other words, being unable to pass the necessary bills, the government
either forced to resign, or a year later the majority of the National
The meeting expresses a vote of no confidence in the government.

B/ Rat race: The RPA faction is collapsing, and the parliament
becomes manageable for the executive body. A significant part of the faction
The RPA, businessmen and local authorities, come under the control of the government.
To control them, the government has at hand two effective
instrument – direct dependence on it and increased attention
law enforcement agencies. The RPA political group becomes a minority in
National Assembly.

Both “counter-revolutionaries” and “revolutionaries” are in
one trap and have one option – to meet public demand.
The demand is still the same: to jointly implement deep state
reforms that will not allow a return to the pre-revolutionary situation. Changes
will guarantee that both parties will be able to continue to live in Armenia.Now let’s look at
probability of two scenarios.

 

The revolution was not realized for the sake of the Civil Party
agreement,” but against the system embodied by Serzh Sargsyan. People’s attitude towards
the current government may change, but in no case will it change
in relation to the previous government and a return to the previous order and the old
persons will not be allowed. This is the cornerstone of the national agreement.
And in this sense, the expectations of “counter-revolution” are false. Neither Nikol Pashinyan nor
the current government is not the main obstacle to return
to the old order. This is a mass of young people who do not want to return to
Old Armenia.

 

This “optimistic” approach is driven by precedent
“Yerkrapaization” of the “Hanrapetutyun” faction of the ANM, which occurred within one
days in 1998. Republicans are concerned about the possibility of a “rat race”
however, they do not understand one simple thing: the rat race will not be the first blow
for themselves, but for the current government. In 1998 there was
coup d’etat, and there were no qualitative changes in either
management system, nor in the public consciousness. “Runners” were traitors to
their former teammates, and the public was indifferent to this phenomenon. B
Given the situation, the current government cannot tolerate this “gift” in its
ranks, because revolutionary society will not accept him. They can’t be in
new management system in no status.

Both sides are forced to comply with the public demand
– make irreversible changes in the country that will not allow a return to the previous
orders and relationships.Other scenarios are dangerous for both sides.

 

 

 

 

https://acnis.am/ru/editorial/19-2018-ru