A KARABAKH WAR MAY HAVE GLOBAL IMPACT, SAYS ANALYST

Asbarez
Feb 1st, 2010

AUSTIN, TX-An analyst for Strafor Global Intelligence has said that the
continuing Nagorno-Karabakh conflict can have global ramifications,
regardless of the role the regional powers play in the conflict
resolution process or in their positioning for regional dominance.

"Things could get out of hand, not because Russia, Turkey or Iran want
it to get out of hand, but because simply the internal dynamics of the
conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan take over and we have situation
like in 1914 when a local conflict in Bosnia created a global war,"
said Strafor analyst Marko Papic in a video interview obtained from
the organization’s Web site.

Warning that Russia, Turkey and Iran could find themselves in a
conflict that is out of their hands, Papic said that Nagorno-Karabakh
is a very important topic right now because "the interplay of these
major regional powers is going to depend on what happens in Armenia
and Azerbaijan."

"Russian interests from start for this particular conflict have been
to really involve Turkey in an intractable conflict that really cannot
be solved. And this really wastes Turkey’s time and energy in a region
where Russia feels very secure-it feels that its not going to lose any
leverage over either Armenia or Azerbaijan because of inroads Turkey
may make. Furthermore, Azerbaijan seems to slowly be drifting toward
Russia, as it feels spurned by Turkish negotiations with Armenia,"
added Papic.

Strafor Global Intelligence is an international think-tank specializing
in reports and analysis of global issues and events.

From: Emil Lazarian | Ararat NewsPress