June: 6, 2026
In September 1918, Turkish troops occupied Baku. After capturing the city, the Turkish-Tatar guerrilla groups under the leadership of the Turkish military began to massacre the unarmed Armenians of the city.
Apart from the Armenian sources, there are documentary materials about the massacres of Armenians in Baku in Russian sources as well. Decades later, German and Austrian sources also published exceptional documentary material. 1990 Armenian translations of German archival documents were also presented to the scientific community. In those exclusive documents, we read and learn that the massacres of Armenians in Baku were organized and carried out by Turkish-Tatar terrorist groups.
We present one of those unique documents, the author of which is the head of the German imperial delegation in the region, Von Kressy.
«Major of the General Staff of the Ottoman Empire,
General von Kress, head of the German imperial delegation in the Caucasus
Tiflis
German delegation
(20.09.1918)
Considering the unreliability of the Turkish military units, which, according to Nuri Pasha’s own admission, had to be regrouped later, it was not possible to use the Turkish military units for police purposes. A large number of Armenians, including women and children, as well as prisoners who were particularly fit for military service, were destroyed. So far, there are no exact data on several thousand. Credible locals claim that their number is much greater than the number of Armenians killed in March. The Germans, who can be believed, independently mentioned the number 10,000. The Turks claim that there were not only Tatars in the gangs, but also mostly Persians. During the battles of September 14 and 15, there were also reports of atrocities committed by Turkish soldiers. Two German settlers (these were subjects of the empire) were also killed and the wives of several German settlers (not subjects of the empire) were raped. Similar violence was committed against Austrians (subjects of the monarchy) and Russians. The Danish consul made a report on the murder of German settlers.
The local Danish, Swedish, Dutch and Persian consuls bitterly accepted the fact that Turkish military units were allowed to occupy Baku, which left an impression of political mystery. The neutral consuls sent a joint note to Nuri Pasha regarding the atrocities.
During the negotiations with the military fleet, which did not agree to the separation of Baku from Russia, the Turkish representative stated that the Turks attacked Baku only because the British were there, and they captured Baku only because there was no owner left in the city after the retreat of the British. Baku is now openly (though unofficially) called the capital of Azerbaijan.” (Manucharyan A. L., “1918. Armenian pogroms in Baku (documents of the political archive of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the GFA”, Social Sciences Journal, 1990, Yerevan, p. 78-79).
This exclusive document emphasizes that the massacres of Armenians in Baku were organized by Turks and carried out by Turkish-Tatar thugs. The Turks themselves do not deny that they organized the massacres of Armenians. Along with Armenians, Germans, Austrians and Russians were also killed in Baku. The numbers of massacred Armenians present in the document prove that the number of Armenians killed in Baku varies between 10-30 thousand according to unofficial and official data. This document is a foreign fact that shows that the plans of the Turkish-Tatar gangs never change.
They take advantage of the opportunity and carry out their crime. There was a just, healthy and honorable peace in the region only when the Armenian army defeated the Turkish-Tatar or Turkish-Azerbaijani terrorist groups. In all other cases, behind the illusion of false peace was and remains the extermination of Armenians and the destruction of our homeland.
Z. Sh:i was late
—
As a citizen of the Republic of Armenia, I am obliged to participate in the elections on June 7. Heinrich Mkhi
June: 6, 2026
As a citizen of the Republic of Armenia, I am obliged to participate in the elections on June 7. Henrikh Mkhitaryan wrote about this on his Facebook page.
“Make your choice,” concluded Mkhitaryan.
—
Turkish Press: FACTBOX – What to know about Armenia’s upcoming parliamentary e
İSTANBUL
—
As Armenia votes, Pashinyan’s European path faces domestic and Russian resist
June 6 2026
As Armenia votes, Pashinyan’s European path faces domestic and Russian resistance
FP News Desk • June 6, 2026, 14:56:48 IST
Armenians will head to the polls on June 7 in a closely watched election that could shape the country’s future for years to come, with PM Nikol Pashinyan seeking a fresh mandate
Armenians will head to the polls on June 7 in a closely watched election that could shape the country’s future for years to come, with Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan seeking a fresh mandate on promise of closer integration with Europe.
Since coming to power in 2018, Pashinyan has steadily moved Armenia away from Moscow’s sphere of influence, launching the process of European Union integration and pursuing closer political cooperation with Western partners.
His government has also made progress in normalising relations with Azerbaijan.
Earlier this year, Pashinyan hosted a summit in Yerevan attended by European leaders and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, underscoring Armenia’s increasingly Western-oriented foreign policy.
—
Parliamentary elections mark ‘historical moment’ for Armenia, expert says
June 6 2026
Parliamentary elections mark ‘historical moment’ for Armenia, expert says
ASIA / PACIFIC
Issued on: 06/06/2026 – 12:22
Armenia’s upcoming parliamentary elections, which could reshape the country’s ties with Russia and the West, mark a “historic moment” for the country, according to Ulrich Schmid, Professor of Eastern European Studies at the University of St Gallen. Incumbent Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan is seeking to normalise relations with Turkey and neighbouring Azerbaijan, with which Armenia has been locked in conflict for decades.
Watch the video at
—
Armenpress: Voting begins in Armenia’s parliamentary elections
Voting has begun in Armenia’s parliamentary elections.
According to Armenpress, polling stations opened at 8:00 a.m. local time and will remain open until 8:00 p.m., after which the vote-counting process will begin.
According to data provided by the Migration and Citizenship Service of Armenia’s Ministry of Internal Affairs, a total of 2,489,031 citizens are eligible to vote in the parliamentary elections.
A total of 2,005 polling stations have been established across Armenia for the vote.
Seventy-one media outlets have been accredited to cover the elections, along with 13 local and eight international observation missions.
Eighteen political forces — including 16 parties and two alliances — have been registered to participate in the elections.
The participating political forces, listed according to their ballot numbers, are:
1. Reformists Party
2. “I Am Against Everyone” Democratic Party
3. Strong Armenia Alliance
4. Meritocratic Party of Armenia
5. New Force Reformist Party
6. Wings of Unity Party
7. Prosperous Armenia Party
8. National Democratic Pole Pan-Armenian Party
9. Kochari National Revival and National Awakening Party
10. Armenian National Congress Party
11. Republic Party
12. Christian Democratic Party
14. Democratic Consolidation Party
15. Democracy Law and Discipline Party
16. Civil Contract Party
17. Armenia Alliance
18. Defenders of Democracy for the Republic Alliance Party
19. Bright Armenia Party
The Alliance Party had also been registered to participate in the elections and had been assigned ballot number 13. However, the party later applied to the Central Electoral Commission to cancel its registration, and the commission approved the request.
Published by Armenpress, original at
—
Azerbaijan’s media apparatus goes all-in for Pashinyan
The world of Azerbaijani pro-government media has long been harshly critical of all things Armenia. Given the tight restrictions on the press in the country, pro-government media forms the bulk of what is actually available, creating a narrow information ecosystem in which narratives are largely uniform and distributed in a top-down fashion.
Yet, in recent months, it appears Azerbaijan’s media apparatus has begun churning out pro-Pashinyan content, just in time for Armenia’s parliamentary elections. At the same time, however, the government has appeared to give its consent to anti-Pashinyan messages to be released by detained former Nagorno-Karabakh officials.
While Azerbaijani media does not often make for the most nuanced takes, analysing the reports can provide valuable insights into how Baku’s media outlets have shifted from bashing Pashinyan to openly suggesting he is Armenia’s only hope — and provide hints to what is behind the contradictory messages.
Contrasting candidates of peace versus war
In rough terms, both Pashinyan and Azerbaijani pro-government media have portrayed the upcoming parliamentary elections as a referendum on war or peace. In particular, Pashinyan has declared himself the candidate of peace, looking forward to the future with the promise of a long-awaited treaty with Azerbaijan actually being signed, while casting the opposition as revanchist forces that will draw Armenia back into war.
The three main opposition figures — former President Robert Kocharyan, oligarch Gagik Tsarukyan, and detained Russian–Armenian tycoon Samvel Karapetyan — form what Pashinyan has deemed the ‘three-headed war party’, a narrative that Azerbaijani media has echoed.
Even Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev has used similar language, including in a recent speech on 10 May during which he alleged that ‘within Armenia’s political sphere there are still circles driven by hatred toward the Azerbaijani people and state’.
‘If they come to power, it is the Armenian people who will suffer’, Aliyev added.
For their part, while all three main opposition figures have criticised Pashinyan’s handling of the peace process, none have openly called for using military force to retake Nagorno-Karabakh.
Nonetheless, Kocharyan, who served as the leader of Nagorno-Karabakh in the 1990s, is one of the primary focuses of ire from Azerbaijani media, which views him as one of the ideological backbones of the Karabakh movement. Indeed, Azerbaijan media has repeatedly cast him as an extremist who is engaged in a ‘toothless attempt at revanchism’.
Other articles in the stridently pro-government outlet Caliber, one of the most active (and vitriolic) commentators on foreign policy and Armenia, emphasise Kocharyan’s close ties with Russia and Kremlin propagandists such as Vladimir Solovyov.
Solovyov has become an effective persona non-grata in Azerbaijan amidst the breakdown in ties between Moscow and Baku.
Not all of the attacks on Kocharyan have focused solely on his connections to the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, however.
In one ‘analytical’ Caliber article entitled ‘Pashinyan’s fight against the “party of war” ’, unsurprisingly focusing on echoing Pashinyan’s narratives about the opposition, there were also appeals to Armenian voters that had nothing to do with threats of war.
‘The opposition is further weakened by the fact that a significant portion of Armenia’s population vividly remembers the dark times when the country was led by Robert Kocharyan and Serzh Sargsyan — both now fervently seeking power. That period was marked by a relentless economic crisis, total dependence on external patrons, rampant corruption, and unbridled abuse of authority’.
Similar articles critical of Karapetyan no longer focus solely on either past conflicts or the perceived threat the opposition poses for future fighting, but instead read almost as if they could be found in a pro-Pashinyan Armenian media outlet.
A piece in Caliber in March ostensibly centred around allegations that Karapetyan’s My Way party was operating a social media bot factory instead stooped to personal, sophomoric attacks on Karapetyan’s nephew Narek, who is effectively managing his uncle’s campaign. In addition to calling him ‘pampered’, the article took a pot-shot at Narek Karapetyan’s weight, describing him as a ‘well-fed man’.
Tsarukyan, arguably the least likely among the three to find success at the ballot box, was described by Caliber as a ‘clown in [an] Armenian political circus’. Most other reporting by Caliber on Tsarukyan has focused on his run-ins with the law.
Careful praise for Pashinyan
Name-calling, insults, and characterisation of Armenian politicians by Caliber and other Azerbaijani media outlets is nothing new, of course.
Indeed, much of the country’s entire media ecosystem has long been focused on not just demonising Armenia, but also pushing pseudo-history that claims Armenians are actually from India, among other fantastical theories.
Against this backdrop, seeing these same media outlets slowly increase their open support and praise for Pashinyan can be a jarring experience.
It has not always been this way.
Pashinyan’s rise to power after the 2018 Velvet Revolution was greeted by some in Azerbaijan, particularly in the country’s opposition, with careful optimism.
For the most part, however, Pashinyan has been subject to the same type of attacks in Azerbaijani media previous leaders had received. After his election, a number of media outlets claimed there was foul play, that Pashinyan would become a dictator, and other criticisms. The full-throated attacks continued for the first few years of his tenure in office — an article in Trend following the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War in 2020 cited an Armenian cleric who called Pashinyan ‘mentally ill’ and said he was ‘leading Armenia to death’.
However, the coverage of Pashinyan shifted alongside Armenia’s defeat in the war in 2020, the surrender of Nagorno-Karabakh in 2023, and subsequent progress towards peace that has occurred in the following years.
‘At the moment, a Pashinyan victory is more beneficial for the region, for Azerbaijan, and for Armenia as a whole, and the Azerbaijani leadership understands this well’, says Jamil Hasanli, chair of the National Council of Democratic Forces, an opposition coalition.
‘That’s why anti-Armenian rhetoric in government media has decreased today’, he says. ‘The government orders the media to do what suits it, and they carry out these orders’.
Indeed, in the leadup to the election, coverage of Pashinyan in Caliber and other media outlets is typically favourable, if not openly laudatory — a trend that is present in both articles produced by Caliber writers as well as external experts and respondents cited.
Azerbaijan’s public broadcaster has also openly supported Pashinyan’s election campaign, stating that ‘Pashinyan’s government is acceptable to Azerbaijan in terms of achieving lasting peace in the region’. Similarly, the state-run television channel AzTV has provided constant monitoring of Pashinyan’s campaign, translating all of his official statements into Azerbaijani.
In general, the narrative often promoted echoes that of Pashinyan’s own campaign strategy, that the election is existential, and that Pashinyan is the only one who can lead Armenia to victory.
An article in Caliber on 13 April described Pashinyan’s campaign strategy as being aimed at ‘recognising the new regional architecture that emerged following Azerbaijan’s restoration of its territorial integrity, and on attempting to integrate Armenia into a system of regional peace, open communications, and economic cooperation’.
In contrast, the opposition figures of Kocharyan, Tsarukyan, and Karapetyan were characterised not just as ‘revanchists’, but as figures who have avoided ‘providing a direct answer to the central question: “What exactly do you propose as an alternative?” ’.
Later on in the article, the black-and-white dichotomy is made even more clear:
‘For a significant portion of society, the choice appears to be between an imperfect but understandable strategy of peace and an uncertain, potentially dangerous course of revanchism. The prime minister and his team articulate the risks of returning to a confrontational policy fairly clearly and, importantly, speak to society in the language of reality rather than illusions’.
Azerbaijani historian Altay Goyushov, who currently lives in exile in France, told OC Media that Pashinyan’s re-election would be beneficial to Azerbaijan because ‘he rejects military rhetoric, renounces revenge, and also declares an interest in establishing relations with Azerbaijan and Turkey’.
He stressed that the issue of rapprochement with the EU would be very beneficial to Aliyev, since he is trying to restore relations.
At the same time, Goyushov emphasised that Aliyev did not want forces close to Russia — as most of Armenia’s opposition has been linked to — to come to power in Armenia, likely reflecting the tense relations Baku and Moscow hold currently.
Yet, the underlying narratives remain the same
Critics often co-opted Azerbaijan’s apparent preference of Pashinyan and his Civil Contract party, regularly accusing the prime minister of being in Baku’s pocket. Yet, these current trends do not mean Azerbaijani attacks against him, his associates, or the overall antagonism directed towards Armenia has ended.
‘For example, on social media, even on television, the rhetoric of “Western Azerbaijan” hasn’t weakened at all. It’s intensifying’, historian Altay Goyushov tells OC Media. Western Azerbaijan is a term used by some Azerbaijanis to describe some or all of Armenia.
Other rhetorical broadsides appear aimed at framing specific members of Pashinyan’s coterie as being extremist or revanchist, while others attempt to display the divisions on issues involving history and policy toward Azerbaijan within the government.
At times, there can be a jumbled mix of several of these elements within the same article, such as a piece in Caliber on 11 April that criticised the Armenian Foreign Ministry’s use of the Armenian toponym Maraga (Maragha) in a commemorative post about an Azerbaijani massacre of Armenian civilians during the First Nagorno-Karabakh War.
‘The peace agenda is declared at the level of Prime Minister Pashinyan, while the conflict-driven narrative is implemented at the level of the diplomatic apparatus, as if the left hand does not know what the right hand is doing. Or, more likely, it knows perfectly well’, the article read, arguing that ‘Armenian policy suffers from a severe form of institutional schizophrenia, in which official statements by one branch of government completely negate the efforts undertaken under the auspices of another’.
Elsewhere, even state-run outlets like Azertac continue to directly attack Pashinyan. In an interview the outlet published in December 2025 with political analyst Sahil Karimli, the analyst accused Pashinyan’s government of being a ‘dictatorship’ and carrying out human rights violations.
Karimli conceded ‘radical and occupation-minded forces in Armenia have become more active, attempting to create tension in the peace treaty process with Azerbaijan’, but argued it was no justification for increased ‘repression’.
Pashinyan’s feud with the Armenian Apostolic Church has also been criticised in Azerbaijani media — even as the same outlets describe the Church as a bastion of revanchism and pro-Russian sentiment.
Any comment or policy suggestions made by Pashinyan or his associates can garner condemnation in Azerbaijani media, as can the failure of the government to actively undertake measures that align completely with Baku’s preferences.
The issue of changing Armenia’s Constitution, which Azerbaijan says contains territorial claims and must be altered as a precondition for the signing of any peace treaty, is one such example. Pashinyan has pushed for the constitution to be changed, but rather than changing it unilaterally, he said it should be connected to a national referendum.
Although the end goals appear aligned, the process is not close enough to what Azerbaijan wants, creating a space for further criticism.
Caliber and other media outlets have published articles questioning Pashinyan’s sincerity about the constitution issue and suggesting that he is attempting to pass the buck on the difficult decision on to Armenian society.
Beyond the direct comments, Azerbaijani media has also continued to spread disinformation about Pashinyan and the Civil Contract party, Armenian fact-checkers have found.
Beyond Azerbaijan’s pro-government media, the Azerbaijani government itself has taken steps that could hinder Pashinyan in the elections.
Several former Nagorno-Karabakh officials detained in Azerbaijan have issued audio messages criticising Armenia’s government, and sending anti-Pashinyan remarks. Given the strict control exercised by Azerbaijani authorities over detainees and the absence of international monitoring in court, the frequency of such audio-messages in the pre-election period appears deliberate.
For example, in former State Minister and Russian-Armenian tycoon Ruben Vardanyan’s latest address, published on 25 May, Vardanyan launched his strongest criticism yet of Pashinyan, calling him ‘a liar, a fantasist, and a plagiarist’, after reading a copy of a book authored by Pashinyan.
Commenting on the elections, he said that the war was not over, but continued ‘in other forms’.
‘We are in great danger. If we do not change our conduct, neither Russia nor the European Union awaits us. What awaits us is becoming a Turkish [province]’, Vardanyan said.
Two days after Vardanyan’s message, former Nagorno-Karabakh Parliamentary Speaker Davit Ishkhanyan shared what appears to be a second audio message, in which he claimed that the length of their detention in Azerbaijan was up to the will of the Armenian authorities.
These messages, which could only have been shared with the permission of the Azerbaijani authorities, appear to go against the rhetoric shared more broadly within Azerbaijani media in support of Pashinyan.
‘The main problem here is that I don’t believe Ilham Aliyev wants peace’, Goyushov argues.
‘That is, I don’t believe he wants peace of his own free will. Therefore, I don’t believe the nationalist spirit and sentiment in the country, the issue of Western Azerbaijan, Zangezur — all of these are very important issues for Ilham Aliyev to exploit and retain power’, he concludes.
—
Armenia Vote Tests Europe’s Democratic Reach in the South Caucasus
Armenia’s parliamentary election on Sunday, 7 June 2026, has become more than a domestic contest. It is a test of whether a small European neighbourhood democracy can choose its strategic direction under pressure from Russia, while the European Union tries to turn support for sovereignty, resilience and fair elections into practical policy.
Voters will decide the composition of Armenia’s parliament after a campaign shaped by security anxiety, economic pressure and a widening argument over the country’s place between Moscow and Brussels. Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s government has sought deeper ties with the EU and the United States after years of disappointment with Russia’s role as Armenia’s traditional security partner.
The vote comes two days after the EU moved to soften the impact of Russian trade restrictions. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said Brussels was preparing more than €50 million in immediate assistance for Armenia, along with measures to help affected exporters and a joint EU-Armenia task force to coordinate further support.
A domestic election with regional consequences
The campaign has exposed a central tension in Armenian politics: many citizens want stronger European links, but the country remains economically and strategically exposed to Russia. Armenia is still tied to Russian-led security and economic structures, relies heavily on Russian gas and grain, and hosts a Russian military base in Gyumri.
That dependence makes the election unusually consequential for the EU. A stable, credible vote would strengthen Armenia’s claim to sovereign choice at a time when European institutions are trying to support democratic resilience across their eastern neighbourhood. A disputed or destabilising outcome would give Moscow and domestic hardliners more room to challenge Yerevan’s European course.
The European Parliament’s research service has warned that foreign policy orientation is now one of the campaign’s defining issues. It has also noted that support for closer EU integration is significant, while many Armenians still favour balanced relations with both Russia and the West. That mixed public mood helps explain why the election is not simply a referendum on Brussels or Moscow, but a broader argument over security, economic risk and national dignity.
Observers watch for interference and intimidation
International scrutiny will be high. The OSCE Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights has deployed an election observation mission for the 7 June parliamentary elections, with other European parliamentary observers also expected to follow the vote.
The presence of observers matters because concerns about foreign interference, disinformation, campaign finance and intimidation have grown across Europe’s neighbourhood. Earlier European discussions on Russian influence operations have already highlighted Armenia among countries vulnerable to pressure through politics, media, religion and civic networks, as reported in European Parliament concerns over Russian interference.
For Armenian voters, those risks are not abstract. The country is still absorbing the political and humanitarian shock of Azerbaijan’s 2023 takeover of Nagorno-Karabakh, which displaced more than 100,000 ethnic Armenians. Many Armenians blame Moscow for failing to prevent the crisis despite Russia’s long-standing security role in the region.
That experience helped accelerate Yerevan’s search for other partners. But closer EU ties also come with difficult questions: whether Armenia can diversify trade quickly enough, whether European support can reach affected workers and businesses, and whether democratic reforms can proceed without deepening polarisation at home.
Europe’s credibility is also at stake
For Brussels, Armenia is a test case for a wider promise. The EU says countries in its neighbourhood should be free to choose democratic, economic and security partnerships without coercion. Yet such promises are only meaningful if they are backed by timely help, patient diplomacy and attention to rights on the ground.
The Commission’s support package is therefore not just financial. It signals that the EU sees economic pressure as part of a broader contest over sovereignty. Assistance for agriculture, trade routes and connectivity may sound technical, but for a landlocked country under pressure it can shape whether political independence is viable in everyday life.
The election result will not settle Armenia’s future in one night. Coalition arithmetic, observer findings and the response of losing parties will all matter. So will the conduct of state institutions if allegations of interference or abuse arise.
But the stakes are already clear. Armenia’s voters are deciding who governs them. Europe is being tested on whether it can support that choice without treating the country merely as a geopolitical chessboard. For a region still marked by war, displacement and pressure from larger powers, that distinction matters.
—
Armenia heads to polls amid Russian pressure and threat of ‘Ukrainian scenario
Relationship between Vladimir Putin and traditional ally has slowly unravelled under current PM Nikol Pashinyan
The bottling line at the Abovyan cognac factory in Armenia is running at full tilt.
Women in white coats and hairnets work the conveyor with practised speed – labelling, stacking, loading pallets – racing to fill a truck.
The spirit’s destination is Russia. But it probably won’t make it there.
Last month, Moscow announced a ban on imports from Abovyan, alongside two other leading producers of Armenian cognac – the name under which Armenian brandy is sold in Russia.
The official reason for the move was sanitary concerns, but it was widely viewed as political pressure aimed at discouraging the country’s westward tilt ahead of parliamentary elections on Sunday.
It was the latest in a long line of recent trade restrictions – affecting everything from flowers and fish to fruit and its famed brandy – that the Kremlin has imposed on a nation of 3 million people that sends roughly 40% of its exports to nearby Russia.
“We just hope this all blows over,” said Samvel Goroyan, Abovyan’s director, in his office on the outskirts of the capital, Yerevan. “All our cognac is sold in Russia, 7m bottles a year,” he shrugged. “We have nowhere else to go.”
For most of its post-Soviet existence since 1991, Armenia was Moscow’s closest ally in the South Caucasus, which bridges eastern Europe and west Asia. It hosted Russian troops, bought Russian weapons and integrated with Kremlin-led political and economic structures.
But the relationship has slowly unravelled under the current prime minister, Nikol Pashinyan, whose Civil Contract party came to power on the back of a popular revolution in 2018.
His push to reorient Armenia towards Europe represents its most significant foreign policy shift since independence, and Sunday’s vote will be a test of that policy, which Pashinyan is pursuing despite the reality of his country’s deep economic dependence on Russia.
“Moscow feels it is losing Armenia, that the country has got a bit too big for its boots,” said Thomas de Waal, a senior fellow with global analysts Carnegie Europe. “So Moscow is trying to force Pashinyan to make a choice – for Russia.”
Last month, the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, warned that Armenia could face a “Ukrainian scenario” if it continued its European integration aims. Dmitry Medvedev, the hawkish deputy chair of Russia’s powerful security council, has meanwhile hinted that Pashinyan could suffer the fate of the Bolshevik leader Leon Trotsky, whom Joseph Stalin had killed with an ice pick.
Ties between the two countries first nosedived after Azerbaijan – which neighbours both – seized the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region in 2023, triggering an exodus of more than 100,000 ethnic Armenians from the enclave.
For many Armenians, Russia’s response was a watershed moment. Despite being in a security alliance with Armenia and maintaining peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh, Moscow stood aside as Azerbaijan seized control – exposing the limits of Russian security guarantees.
The loss prompted officials in Yerevan to openly question the value of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO), the Moscow-led military alliance Armenia had long treated as the cornerstone of its security. Last year, Pashinyan suspended Armenia’s participation altogether.
The country drew further ire from Moscow in April, when it hosted a European Political Community summit – with the Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, in attendance.
In recent months, Pashinyan has not only spoken about Armenia’s aspirations to join the EU – a prospect that remains distant – but also made inroads with Washington.
Donald Trump has publicly endorsed him, while the vice-president, JD Vance, and the secretary of state, Marco Rubio, have both visited Yerevan, underscoring a level of US political attention and economic engagement it has never previously enjoyed.
For Moscow, Armenia’s westward drift comes at a particularly sensitive moment, four years into the grinding war in Ukraine, as it engages in an increasingly complex effort to preserve its influence across the former Soviet sphere and beyond.
Areg Kochinyan, the president of the Yerevan-based Research Center on Security Policy, said: “Russians are concerned about losing, in their understanding, yet another country that they see as their rightful sphere of interest. And they are acting on it.”
In Moldova and Hungary, the Kremlin has previously sought – without success – to bolster friendly political forces in elections using what western intelligence services have described as a combination of disinformation campaigns and covert influence operations.
Analysts and western officials say elements of the same playbook are now being deployed in Armenia. Kremlin backing has flowed toward Pashinyan’s main challenger, Samvel Karapetyan, a Russian-Armenian billionaire whose Stronger Armenia party advocates for closer ties with Moscow. He is currently under house arrest on charges linked to calls for the seizure of power.
But despite Moscow’s pressure, opinion polls suggest Pashinyan’s party is on course to comfortably emerge as the largest political force on about 30% of the vote, while Karapetyan trails at roughly 10%.
“What’s interesting is this Russian campaign has backfired. It’s only strengthened Pashinyan at home,” said Richard Giragosian, the director of the Regional Studies Center, a thinktank based in Yerevan.
De Waal added that the Armenian opposition had largely discredited itself in the public’s perception through its perceived closeness to Russia. “Pashinyan’s Civil Contract party is likely to win the elections more or less by default,” De Waal said. “Not because the prime minister is still popular – he isn’t – but because Armenia’s opposition is even less competent or impressive and too associated with Russia.”
Analysts say Moscow has also been careful not to push too hard, as the Kremlin understands that excessive pressure could backfire and fuel further anti-Russian sentiment.
Hovhannes Nikoghosyan, an Armenian political scientist, said: “No one can confidently predict how far Moscow will continue pressure if Pashinyan is re-elected, but if he remains in power, Russia will still have to find some modus operandi with the existing political landscape. Leaving Armenia to their geopolitical competitors’ embrace is something Kremlin will not want to do.”
Pashinyan, a former journalist, has centred his campaign on what he calls the “crossroads of peace” – a vision of Armenia as a regional transit hub reconnecting long-closed borders with Azerbaijan and its ally Turkey, moving the country beyond decades of conflict and poor connectivity.
He has also made clear that, like many Armenians, he seeks diversification rather than divorce from Russia. Pashinyan has stressed that Moscow will keep its large military base in Armenia, and said he would travel to meet Putin shortly after the elections.
Giragosian said: “Russia has such dominance that the west is not a peer competitor. Pashinyan’s policies are based on a realistic assessment. Nobody is talking about replacing Russia with France, Europe or the United States overnight.”
Still, European leaders have made little secret of their preference for a Pashinyan victory.
The Armenian prime minister has cultivated particularly close ties with the French president, Emmanuel Macron, and the two leaders even performed a musical act together during Macron’s visit to Armenia – with Pashinyan on drums as the French president sang at an official dinner.
That support has come despite growing concerns about Pashinyan’s democratic record. Dozens of opposition activists have been detained in the run-up to the election, including allies of Karapetyan.
Those criticisms have largely fallen on deaf ears in Brussels. On Thursday, eager to support Armenia’s drift away from Moscow, the EU announced an initial €50m economic support package to help the country weather Russian trade pressure, and vowed further economic cooperation.
In a symbolic gesture of solidarity, Ukraine has also begun importing Armenian roses following Russia’s ban on flower imports.
But for all Armenia’s efforts to diversify its partnerships, Moscow still holds powerful economic and political levers. Russian officials have hinted in recent weeks that Armenia may no longer be able to rely on the subsidised gas that underpins much of its economy.
“When Russia demands to renegotiate the price of subsidised gas, that tells you Armenia has gone too far, too fast,” said Giragosian. “Then there will be a real crisis.”
—
Armenia Finalizes Voter Roll at 2,485,851 on Eve of Pivotal Parliamentary Elec
June 6 2026
Armenia Finalizes Voter Roll at 2,485,851 on Eve of Pivotal Parliamentary Election
With 2,485,851 citizens on the roll and Russian interference warnings hanging over the count, Armenia votes Sunday on whether to continue Pashinyan’s westward turn.
by Europe Desk
June 6, 2026
YEREVAN — On the last day before polls open, the number that matters most to Armenia’s electoral authorities is 2,485,851 — the total citizens whose names are inscribed in the national voter registry as of June 6. It is a bureaucratic figure, published by the Migration and Citizenship Service of the Ministry of Internal Affairs under a constitutional obligation, but it carries unusual weight this cycle. The parliamentary election that begins Sunday morning is not a routine transfer of power. It is the first Armenia has held on schedule, without a war or revolution forcing the calendar, since 2017.
Within that headline figure, the registration data reveals the geography and circumstance of a country that has changed dramatically in the intervening years. Some 22,734 voters are registered not at their permanent addresses but at polling stations corresponding to their current location — a figure that reflects both internal mobility and the residual presence of Karabakh Armenians who fled Azerbaijan’s military offensive in September 2023 and have not formally resettled. Another 492 people appear on the rolls with no registered address at all; eight more are classified as having limited mobility. A total of 5,239 police officers have been deployed to polling stations across the country, while 627 voters will cast their ballots from stationary medical institutions.
Those details, dry as administrative data tends to be, point toward a register that has shrunk from the nearly 2.6 million who were eligible in 2021. The decline reflects a real demographic reality: emigration, primarily to Russia, has accelerated since the 2020 war, and a sizable portion of ethnic Armenians now living abroad are not physically present to vote. Armenian law provides no absentee or overseas voting mechanism — citizenship alone does not create a ballot. Whatever the diaspora thinks of Nikol Pashinyan’s pivot away from Moscow, it will not express that view at the polls on Sunday.
The election itself pits Pashinyan’s ruling Civil Contract party against a fragmented field of 18 political forces — 16 parties and two alliances — competing for the at-least-101 seats of the National Assembly. According to polling aggregated by the International Foundation for Electoral Systems, Civil Contract holds a commanding lead. The most formidable opposition comes from the Armenia bloc of former President Robert Kocharyan, whose pro-Russian positioning has become the central dividing line of the campaign. Samvel Karapetyan’s Strong Armenia party, also oriented toward Moscow, rounds out the principal competition on that side of the geopolitical ledger.
The stakes extend well beyond domestic politics. Armenia’s direction on the ballot Sunday will shape whether the country pursues EU membership in earnest, how it handles the still-unsigned formal peace treaty with Azerbaijan, and whether the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity — the American-backed infrastructure corridor that US President Donald Trump explicitly endorsed this week while backing Pashinyan for re-election — advances from an agreement on paper to construction on the ground.
Police officers on duty at Republic Square in Yerevan, Armenia, May 2026. Some 5,239 officers have been deployed to polling stations across the country for Sunday’s vote. [Image Source: Xinhua/Chen Junfeng]
Russia, for its part, has made its preferences plain without subtlety. Reuters, citing Western intelligence officials and documents, reported that Moscow had mounted covert influence operations including disinformation campaigns and a plan to transport Russian Armenians into the country to dilute Civil Contract’s margin. The Kremlin has also issued a formal warning through its Embassy in Yerevan that the 2013 treaty guaranteeing duty-free Russian gas, oil products and rough diamonds could be suspended should Armenia continue its EU accession process — a pressure lever applied to a country that has historically drawn roughly four-fifths of its natural gas supply from Russia, according to Interfax.
That gas threat lands against the backdrop of what Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service, the SVR, has called a Brussels-fabricated campaign against the Russian Orthodox Diocese in Yerevan — a charge analysts have characterized as pre-election narrative management by Moscow, with no documentary support from any EU body. As the Eastern Herald reported this week, Armenian security services have maintained active surveillance of church sites linked to the Diocese, whose senior clergy have faced criminal charges after alleged calls for violent overthrow of the elected government.
The institutional machinery for Sunday’s vote has been reinforced against those pressures. The Central Electoral Commission of Armenia, which operates under constitutional independence from the executive, told the IFES that it has upgraded cybersecurity protocols for its voter databases and results-transmission systems ahead of this cycle, and has put contingency procedures in place against disruption. Thirty-eight territorial electoral commissions — 28 in the regions and 10 in Yerevan — will oversee the count at the precinct level. International observation missions from the OSCE, the Council of Europe and the Commonwealth of Independent States have been accredited.
What happens if no party wins the threshold required to form a government outright remains an open question that the voter figures do not resolve. Under Armenia’s electoral code, if no government is formed within six days of the preliminary results, a run-off between the top two parties must be held 28 days later. The party winning the run-off receives additional seats to guarantee a 54 percent governing majority, with the first-round seat distribution otherwise preserved.
Polling opens Sunday at 8 a.m. local time across the country’s precincts. The Central Election Commission is expected to publish preliminary results during the evening of June 7, with certified totals to follow in the days after. Whether the electorate that has been formally counted at 2,485,851 turns out at levels approaching the 49 percent recorded in 2021 — or whether the political intensity of this particular moment brings more of them to the ballot box — is a question Armenia answers on Sunday.
—