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    Categories: 2017

Azerbaijan may choose wrong timing for launching attack – Armenian analyst

Tert, Armenia

12:07 • 15.06.17

 In an interview with the paper, Director of the Regional Studies Center Richard Giragosian commented on possible scenarios evolving around Nagorno-Karabakh in the light of Azerbaijan's hostile intentions.

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But he did not point to specific timeframes for possible war operations, highlighting different factors on Armenia's domestic policy agenda.

The first, he said, is linked to President Serzh Sargsyan's future plans as to whether to stay in his current office or to remain at the helm of state by becoming a prime minister.

The second factor is whether the parliamentary system, which Armenia will eventually adopt after the 2018 presidential election (based upon the 2015 constitutional amendments), will really work in our political context, he added.

And last but not least, the president will no longer be the Armed Forces' commander-in-chief after the amended Constitutions takes effect. That does not pose national security hazards to Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh, yet there may be threats by Azerbaijan which may have misunderstandings as to the timing (thinking that the developments in Armenia might have made the country weaker or less stable), Giragosian warned.

Arpi Talalian:
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